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3250 Alice St
D Composite 42.89
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.2/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

3250 Alice St · Dearborn, MI 48124
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1948 6,098 sqft lot Est $199k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Quaint bungalow in great west Dearborn neighborhood. Newer carpet, cove ceilings, clean and well maintained. Basement PF w/ bath. Deep lot with 2 car detached garage and no neighbors behind. Occupancy could be sooner. C of O is ready for new owner.

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • Finished upper level
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

NEW MAIN SEWER LINENEW FURNACENEW GARAGE DOOR WITH REMOTEHARDWOOD FLOORING THROUGHOUTFINISHED UPPER LEVELUPDATED KITCHEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage with electricity
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer at street; Natural gas; Electric service (garage electric)
  • Home design: Residential property; 1.5-story structure; Built in 1948; Basement foundation
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Basement (partially finished)
  • Exterior features: Aluminum exterior; Fenced yard; Patio; Porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Ceramic floor; Kitchen approx. 9 x 14; Range/Oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 (entry level) with wood flooring, approx. 12 x 13; Bedroom 2 (entry level) with wood flooring, approx. 9 x 11; Bedroom 3 (second level) with laminate flooring, approx. 18 (width)
  • Flooring: Wood flooring in primary rooms and main bath; Laminate flooring in one bedroom; Ceramic in kitchen; Linoleum in basement bathroom
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Main-level bathroom with wood flooring, approx. 13 x 14; Basement bathroom with linoleum flooring, approx. 5 x 6
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating fuel; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s); Gas water heater
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Partially finished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $44 ($528/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (9.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $181k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.3% in Dearborn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#84 in MI, #1,904 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D.
  • Dearborn City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #325 of 540 in MI (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Whitmorebolles Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #923 of 1,397 statewide, top 69%, 299 students, 69% FRL); Smith Middle School (math 24% / reading 40%, grade F, #317 of 493 statewide, top 65%, 465 students, 62% FRL); Edsel Ford High School (math 20% / reading 43%, grade F, #425 of 713 statewide, top 60%, 1,639 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools at 67% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 8 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask is 82% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $105k; list at $200k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $180,861 (9.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.94%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$198,744
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2931 Katherine St 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,197 (+2%) 2mo $262,500 $219 80
3131 Mckinley St 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,110 (-6%) 2mo $200,000 $180 72
21230 Audette St 0.25mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (+6%) 1mo $202,500 $162 68
20728 Carlysle St 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,087 (-8%) 2mo $185,000 $170 67
4196 Clippert St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,243 (+6%) 2mo $189,500 $152 60
3020 Williams St 0.15mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,352 (+15%) 2mo $220,000 $163 59
2829 Bennett St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,244 (+6%) 1mo $209,900 $169 57
4205 Katherine St 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,080 (-8%) 1mo $205,000 $190 54
22923 Columbia St 0.73mi 3/3.0 1,100 (-6%) 1mo $229,000 $208 46
4204 Hipp St 0.70mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,296 (+10%) 1mo $95,000 $73 45
4204 Hipp St 0.70mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,296 (+10%) 1mo $95,000 $73 45
4408 Gertrude St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-15%) 1mo $155,000 $155 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.57% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.1%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-28,515
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
-4.4%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-16,770
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48124

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
152
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,809 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$253 /mo · $3,038/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$380
Net cashflow
$44

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,753
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $157 -5% $101 +0% $44 +5% $-13 +10% $-69
Rent -10% $-99 -5% $-27 +0% $44 +5% $115 +10% $187
Rate -1.0pp $145 -0.5pp $95 base $44 +0.5pp $-8 +1.0pp $-60

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
21337 Audette St Dearborn, MI 3.0 1.0 964 $1,850 $1.92 45d 1 0.25mi
3620 Monroe St Dearborn, MI 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 12d 1 0.32mi
20728 Carlysle St Dearborn, MI 3.0 1.0 1087 $1,850 $1.70 0d 1 0.40mi
2825 Queen St Dearborn, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,299 $1.30 45d 1 0.80mi
2823 Queen St Dearborn, MI 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,599 $1.14 19d 1 0.80mi
4638 Gertrude St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,700 $1.67 6d 1 0.83mi
4757 Dudley St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 995 $1,350 $1.36 12d 1 0.85mi
4810 Campbell St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,700 $1.70 0d 1 0.86mi
2631 Woodside St Dearborn, MI 3.0 1.0 894 $1,650 $1.85 0d 1 0.91mi
4914 Gertrude St Dearborn Heights, MI 2.0 1.0 908 $1,230 $1.35 19d 1 0.93mi
3901 Academy St Dearborn Heights, MI 4.0 2.0 1400 $2,100 $1.50 0d 1 0.97mi
4934 McKinley St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1051 $1,700 $1.62 0d 1 1.00mi
22340 Park St Dearborn, MI 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,350 $1.28 6d 1 1.02mi
4681 Weddell St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 860 $1,600 $1.86 0d 1 1.04mi
4704 Jackson St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 23d 1 1.08mi
4631 Ziegler St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,650 $1.57 45d 1 1.09mi
1008 S Military St Dearborn, MI 2.0 1.5 1500 $2,295 $1.53 45d 1 1.13mi
22700 Garrison St Dearborn, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 780 $1,550 $1.99 45d 2 1.27mi
4481 Westpoint St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 2.0 768 $1,549 $2.02 16d 1 1.35mi
24154 Dartmouth St Dearborn, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,275 $1.34 16d 1 1.41mi
21954 Morley Ave #108 Dearborn, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 26d 1 1.44mi
24442 Union St Dearborn, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,900 $1.90 0d 1 1.49mi
4565 Fleming St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 12d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on marketlisting id $199,900 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $199,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,038 · $253/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,058 · $255/mo
Expected delta
+$20/yr (+$2/mo · 0.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,703
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$3,038
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,736
− Management
−$1,736
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$2,820
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$677
After-tax cash flow
$1,205/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dearborn City School District
NCES district ID
2611600
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$46,884
Composite
27.93/100
National rank
#6864
State rank
#325 of 540 in MI

Livability — Dearborn

Score
80/100
State rank
#84
US rank
#1904

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dearborn, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
86,476
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,479
Household income
$81,796
Rent vs Own
18.1% rent · 81.9% own
Severe rent burden
444.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Arabic 12% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -278.39%
Current HPI
204.5229
Rent YoY
▲ 3.57%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+40.3% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Coming Soon $199,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $104,900 Public Records
  • 2017-08-31 Sold (MLS) $104,900 REALCOMP
  • 2017-08-31 Sold (MLS) $104,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-07-24 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-07-17 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-07-07 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-07-05 Listed $109,900 REALCOMP
  • 2017-07-05 Listed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $68,400 Public Records
  • 2011-12-26 Sold (MLS) $67,000 REALCOMP
  • 2011-12-26 Sold (MLS) $67,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-11-12 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-07-05 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
  • 2011-07-05 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-05-12 Sold (MLS) $28,710 REALCOMP
  • 2011-05-12 Sold (MLS) $28,710 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-04-19 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-04-14 Listed $28,710 REALCOMP
  • 2011-04-14 Listed $28,710 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $142,500 Public Records
  • 2005-07-07 Sold (MLS) $142,500 REALCOMP
  • 2005-05-01 Listed $142,500 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,038 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…