68 County Road 1543 · Louin, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Three car carport. Deer stand/shed. Set in concrete. Wildlife aplenty with rabbits, turtles, squirrels and deer. Fruit trees.
Key facts
- Deer stand
- Fruit trees
- Three car carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (4.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $115k (4.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#167 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- West Jasper Consolidated Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #53 of 130 in MS (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $938 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
- Jasper County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.20%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $11,986
- Equity at exit
- $39,608
- IRR
- 11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $45,485
- Equity at exit
- $51,601
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39338
- Home prices YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,147 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $634/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $174
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $242 | -5% $208 | +0% $174 | +5% $140 | +10% $106 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $83 | -5% $128 | +0% $174 | +5% $219 | +10% $264 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $234 | -0.5pp $204 | base $174 | +0.5pp $143 | +1.0pp $111 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $120,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $120,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $120,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$120,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $634 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $948 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- +$314/yr (+$26/mo · 49.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,759
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$634
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,101
- − Management
- −$1,101
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $111
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$27
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,058/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Jasper Consolidated Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2804590
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,785
- Composite
- 29.65/100
- National rank
- #6467
- State rank
- #53 of 130 in MS
Livability — Louin
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #16062
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louin, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,857
Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,383 people
- By 2030
- 14,629 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 13,119 · -14.7%
- By 2050
- 11,742 · -23.7%
- By 2075
- 9,102 · -40.8%
- By 2100
- 7,062 · -54.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (54%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% White 43% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Jasper
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.0) · D 47.2% · R 52.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.7pp toward R · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: -5.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.0 2020: D+0.5 2016: D+4.0 2012: D+9.7 2008: D+9.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.78%
- Current HPI
- 108.8083
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $120,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $634 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…