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222 W Maple Ave
C+ Composite 63.01
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

222 W Maple Ave · Ottumwa, IA 52501
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,148 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 182 Days on market
Built 1910 $83/sqft · 38% above area Est $69k · 38% over ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a centrally located home? Here's the one for you! Many updates in this 2 story, 3 bedroom, 1 bath house including new HVAC system, water heater, newer carpet in the upstairs and newer vinyl flooring in the kitchen, metal roof within the last 10+ years, and new interior paint throughout. Original hardwood floors in the living room and dining room. Enjoy the deck with sliding doors off of the dining area. Contact and agent today to take a look.

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Water heater
  • Newer carpet

Tags

NEW HVAC SYSTEMWATER HEATERNEWER CARPETNEWER VINYL FLOORINGMETAL ROOFORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 5.7% in Ottumwa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#91 in IA, #1,900 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, employment D-.
  • Ottumwa Community School District (town): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #277 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 192 active listings in the ZIP; 44 units permitted in Wapello County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wapello County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $83,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
12.71%
Cash-on-cash
22.91%
DSCR
2.02
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$69,034
List price
$95,000
Delta
37.61%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
212 Albany St 0.06mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,221 (+6%) 11mo $130,000 $106 70
610 N Fifth 0.15mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,282 (+12%) 10mo $85,000 $66 60
110 E Woodland Ave 0.29mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,096 (-4%) 20mo $30,500 $28 58
1220 N Wapello St 0.47mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,293 (+13%) 2mo $125,000 $97 50
218 N Benton St 0.52mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,261 (+10%) 7mo $44,000 $35 47
1314 N Elm St 0.73mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,188 (+4%) 21mo $139,500 $117 36
1040 W 2nd St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,280 (+12%) 17mo $25,000 $20 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.8%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$16,936
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
24.5%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$56,326
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52501

Active inventory
192
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,393 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $656/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$508

Break-even live

Break-even rent $750
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $562 -5% $535 +0% $508 +5% $481 +10% $454
Rent -10% $398 -5% $453 +0% $508 +5% $563 +10% $618
Rate -1.0pp $556 -0.5pp $532 base $508 +0.5pp $483 +1.0pp $458

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 182 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 181 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 180 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 179 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 178 DOM
  6. 2026-03-26
    price $98,000 458-char remark
    Show marketing remark (458 chars)

    Looking for a centrally located home? Here's the one for you! Many updates in this 2 story, 3 bedroom, 1 bath house including new HVAC system, water heater, newer carpet in the upstairs and newer vinyl flooring in the kitchen, metal roof within the last 10+ years, and new interior paint throughout. Original hardwood floors in the living room and dining room. Enjoy the deck with sliding doors off of the dining area. Contact and agent today to take a look.

  7. 2026-01-29
    price $105,000 458-char remark
    Show marketing remark (458 chars)

    Looking for a centrally located home? Here's the one for you! Many updates in this 2 story, 3 bedroom, 1 bath house including new HVAC system, water heater, newer carpet in the upstairs and newer vinyl flooring in the kitchen, metal roof within the last 10+ years, and new interior paint throughout. Original hardwood floors in the living room and dining room. Enjoy the deck with sliding doors off of the dining area. Contact and agent today to take a look.

  8. 2025-12-03
    listed $120,000 Active 458-char remark
    Show marketing remark (458 chars)

    Looking for a centrally located home? Here's the one for you! Many updates in this 2 story, 3 bedroom, 1 bath house including new HVAC system, water heater, newer carpet in the upstairs and newer vinyl flooring in the kitchen, metal roof within the last 10+ years, and new interior paint throughout. Original hardwood floors in the living room and dining room. Enjoy the deck with sliding doors off of the dining area. Contact and agent today to take a look.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$656 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,074 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$418/yr (+$35/mo · 63.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,714
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$656
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,337
− Management
−$1,337
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$4,824
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,158
After-tax cash flow
$4,937/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ottumwa Community School District
NCES district ID
1922110
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$39,864
Composite
43.46/100
National rank
#3004
State rank
#277 of 289 in IA

Livability — Ottumwa

Score
80/100
State rank
#91
US rank
#1900

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ottumwa, IA
Population (ZIP)
30,341

Population outlook (Wapello County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,472 people
By 2030
35,563 · +0.3%
By 2040
36,083 · +1.7%
By 2050
37,287 · +5.1%
By 2075
43,898 · +23.8%
By 2100
52,973 · +49.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Black 4% Pacific Islander 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wapello

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.6% · R 65.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-45.0pp toward R · 2008: 13.5pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+20.8 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+13.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -94.66%
Current HPI
174.6021
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $98,000 IAR
  • 2026-01-29 Price Changed $105,000 IAR
  • 2025-12-03 Listed $120,000 IAR

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $656 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…