1 Center St · Angola, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.1/30.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT NEWS! HUD STILL THINKS IT'S CHRISTMAS AND IS ALMOST GIVING THIS ONE AWAY! PRICED AT 1/2 IT'S ASSESSED VALUE, COME SEE THIS LARGE 3 BEDROOM, 1.5 BATHS, VINYL SIDED, NEWER ARCH. ROOF, LOCATED ON A CORNER WITH OVER 23000 SQ FT LOT. THE INTERIOR FEATURES A BREAKFEAST DING AREA, HUGE LIVING ROOM, DEN, FAMILY ROOM, ENCLOSED FRONT PORCH, AND A 2+ CAR DETACHED GARAGE. MAKE YOUR APPOINTMENT TODAY.
Key facts
- Office
- Modernized kitchen
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#555 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, cost of living A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Evans-Brant Central School District (Lake Shore) (suburban): math 43% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #424 of 590 in NY (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $37k; list at $120k implies a 224% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.65%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $240,634
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Orchard Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,494 (-2%) | 10mo | $230,000 | $154 | 78 |
| 29 School St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,621 (+6%) | 13mo | $151,000 | $93 | 73 |
| 1 Forest Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,581 (+4%) | 3mo | $249,100 | $158 | 72 |
| 75 Woodward Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-5%) | 10mo | $325,000 | $224 | 71 |
| 89 Center St | 0.25mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,465 (-4%) | 7mo | $227,000 | $155 | 69 |
| 41 Mill St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-8%) | 7mo | $226,000 | $161 | 68 |
| 27 Dellwood Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,518 (-0%) | 16mo | $211,000 | $139 | 66 |
| 17 Lorain St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,596 (+5%) | 18mo | $207,100 | $130 | 64 |
| 73 Mill St | 0.24mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,384 (-9%) | 12mo | $279,000 | $202 | 55 |
| 206 Lake St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,380 (-9%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $152 | 49 |
| 27 Newton St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,321 (-13%) | 10mo | $230,000 | $174 | 49 |
| 68 Sunset Blvd | 0.55mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,401 (-8%) | 11mo | $261,000 | $186 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-5,630
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $13,324
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14006
- Home prices YoY
- -16.8%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,609 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$378 /mo · $4,541/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $214
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-12status Pending
-
2026-04-02$119,900 Active
-
2017-11-03soldstatus $37,050 Closed Sale or Rented 397-char remark
Show marketing remark (397 chars)
GREAT NEWS! HUD STILL THINKS IT'S CHRISTMAS AND IS ALMOST GIVING THIS ONE AWAY! PRICED AT 1/2 IT'S ASSESSED VALUE, COME SEE THIS LARGE 3 BEDROOM, 1.5 BATHS, VINYL SIDED, NEWER ARCH. ROOF, LOCATED ON A CORNER WITH OVER 23000 SQ FT LOT. THE INTERIOR FEATURES A BREAKFEAST DING AREA, HUGE LIVING ROOM, DEN, FAMILY ROOM, ENCLOSED FRONT PORCH, AND A 2+ CAR DETACHED GARAGE. MAKE YOUR APPOINTMENT TODAY.
-
2017-09-07status Pending Sale 397-char remark
Show marketing remark (397 chars)
GREAT NEWS! HUD STILL THINKS IT'S CHRISTMAS AND IS ALMOST GIVING THIS ONE AWAY! PRICED AT 1/2 IT'S ASSESSED VALUE, COME SEE THIS LARGE 3 BEDROOM, 1.5 BATHS, VINYL SIDED, NEWER ARCH. ROOF, LOCATED ON A CORNER WITH OVER 23000 SQ FT LOT. THE INTERIOR FEATURES A BREAKFEAST DING AREA, HUGE LIVING ROOM, DEN, FAMILY ROOM, ENCLOSED FRONT PORCH, AND A 2+ CAR DETACHED GARAGE. MAKE YOUR APPOINTMENT TODAY.
-
2017-09-01status Active 397-char remark
Show marketing remark (397 chars)
GREAT NEWS! HUD STILL THINKS IT'S CHRISTMAS AND IS ALMOST GIVING THIS ONE AWAY! PRICED AT 1/2 IT'S ASSESSED VALUE, COME SEE THIS LARGE 3 BEDROOM, 1.5 BATHS, VINYL SIDED, NEWER ARCH. ROOF, LOCATED ON A CORNER WITH OVER 23000 SQ FT LOT. THE INTERIOR FEATURES A BREAKFEAST DING AREA, HUGE LIVING ROOM, DEN, FAMILY ROOM, ENCLOSED FRONT PORCH, AND A 2+ CAR DETACHED GARAGE. MAKE YOUR APPOINTMENT TODAY.
-
2017-05-19status Pending Sale 397-char remark
Show marketing remark (397 chars)
GREAT NEWS! HUD STILL THINKS IT'S CHRISTMAS AND IS ALMOST GIVING THIS ONE AWAY! PRICED AT 1/2 IT'S ASSESSED VALUE, COME SEE THIS LARGE 3 BEDROOM, 1.5 BATHS, VINYL SIDED, NEWER ARCH. ROOF, LOCATED ON A CORNER WITH OVER 23000 SQ FT LOT. THE INTERIOR FEATURES A BREAKFEAST DING AREA, HUGE LIVING ROOM, DEN, FAMILY ROOM, ENCLOSED FRONT PORCH, AND A 2+ CAR DETACHED GARAGE. MAKE YOUR APPOINTMENT TODAY.
-
2017-05-04historical Under Contract- Do Not Show 397-char remark
Show marketing remark (397 chars)
GREAT NEWS! HUD STILL THINKS IT'S CHRISTMAS AND IS ALMOST GIVING THIS ONE AWAY! PRICED AT 1/2 IT'S ASSESSED VALUE, COME SEE THIS LARGE 3 BEDROOM, 1.5 BATHS, VINYL SIDED, NEWER ARCH. ROOF, LOCATED ON A CORNER WITH OVER 23000 SQ FT LOT. THE INTERIOR FEATURES A BREAKFEAST DING AREA, HUGE LIVING ROOM, DEN, FAMILY ROOM, ENCLOSED FRONT PORCH, AND A 2+ CAR DETACHED GARAGE. MAKE YOUR APPOINTMENT TODAY.
-
2017-04-14$40,000 Active 397-char remark
Show marketing remark (397 chars)
GREAT NEWS! HUD STILL THINKS IT'S CHRISTMAS AND IS ALMOST GIVING THIS ONE AWAY! PRICED AT 1/2 IT'S ASSESSED VALUE, COME SEE THIS LARGE 3 BEDROOM, 1.5 BATHS, VINYL SIDED, NEWER ARCH. ROOF, LOCATED ON A CORNER WITH OVER 23000 SQ FT LOT. THE INTERIOR FEATURES A BREAKFEAST DING AREA, HUGE LIVING ROOM, DEN, FAMILY ROOM, ENCLOSED FRONT PORCH, AND A 2+ CAR DETACHED GARAGE. MAKE YOUR APPOINTMENT TODAY.
-
2014-10-29historical
-
2014-02-13$37,050
-
2000-08-02soldstatus $76,320
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,541 · $378/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,541 · $378/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,310
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$4,541
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,545
- − Management
- −$1,545
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $875
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$210
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,359/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evans-Brant Central School District (Lake Shore)
- NCES district ID
- 3616560
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,433
- Composite
- 40.89/100
- National rank
- #3619
- State rank
- #424 of 590 in NY
Livability — Angola
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #555
- US rank
- #9956
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Angola, NY
- City population
- 9,354
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,354
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Asian 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Italian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.95%
- Current HPI
- 401.7461
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+57.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-12 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $119,900 WNYREIS
- 2017-11-03 Sold (MLS) $37,050 WNYREIS
- 2017-09-07 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2017-09-01 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2017-05-19 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2017-05-04 Contingent — WNYREIS
- 2017-04-14 Listed $40,000 WNYREIS
- 2014-10-29 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2014-02-13 Listed $37,050 WNYREIS
- 2000-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $76,320 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,541 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…