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9 Golf Dr
D+ Composite 45.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0

$260,000

9 Golf Dr · Clayton, GA 30525
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,476 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 88 Days on market
Built 1973 4,791 sqft lot Est $294k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Completely renovated 3BR/2BA home with new hardwood floors, new granite in kitchen & baths located convenient to Clayton & walking distance to Rabun County Golf Course. This home is situated on two lots with an adjoining lot included (Lot 8,9 & 10). Partial basement with new bath & extra living area. Ready to move right in. Also has dual heat system -gas & electric.

Key facts

  • Massive storage
  • Huge kitchen sink
  • Granite countertops

Tags

CORNER LOTHAND SCRAPED HARDWOOD FLOORSVENTED FREESTANDING GAS STOVEGRANITE COUNTERTOPSHUGE KITCHEN SINKMASSIVE STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-123 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (8.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (30.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $180k (30.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.6% in Clayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#197 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Rabun County (rural): math 42% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #37 of 174 in GA (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 256 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 147 units permitted in Rabun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
  • Rabun County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($244k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $118k; list at $260k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $180,000 (30.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
5.72%
Cash-on-cash
-2.03%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
12.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$293,724
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
164 Colorado Ln 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+2%) 12mo $370,000 $247 65
247 Hillside Dr 0.08mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,408 (-5%) 14mo $197,500 $140 64
60 Mitchell St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-2%) 6mo $240,000 $167 63
345 Leaning Chimney Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,581 (+7%) 11mo $440,000 $278 60
167 Travelers Ln 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-2%) 4mo $299,000 $208 57
106 Dunlap St 0.51mi 2/3.0 (-1) 1,407 (-5%) 9mo $140,000 $100 56
1627 Old 441 S 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,352 (-8%) 14mo $230,000 $170 51
104 Travelers Ln 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,536 (+4%) 12mo $157,500 $103 49
51 Travelers 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+2%) 21mo $298,350 $199 42
152 Toole St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-12%) 15mo $135,000 $104 34
172 Toole St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,293 (-12%) 17mo $327,000 $253 33
633 Highway 441 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,600 (+8%) 20mo $410,000 $256 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-7,179
Equity at exit
$84,424
10-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$27,012
Equity at exit
$108,912

Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30525

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
256
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $879/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$-123

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,956
Max offer price $238,261
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,000
Closing costs
$7,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
37 Bynum St Clayton, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 890 $1,800 $2.02 3d 6 1.09mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-03-30
    price $260,000
  3. 2026-01-30
    listed $285,000 New
  4. 2026-01-28
    historical
  5. 2025-12-11
    price $295,000
  6. 2025-10-10
    price $299,900
  7. 2025-07-29
    status Back On Market
  8. 2025-07-28
    historical
  9. 2025-07-22
    price $309,000
  10. 2025-06-04
    price $314,000
  11. 2025-01-24
    listed $319,000 New
  12. 2016-10-17
    soldstatus $118,000
  13. 2016-10-14
    soldstatus $118,000 388-char remark
    Show marketing remark (388 chars)

    Completely renovated 3BR/2BA home with new hardwood floors, new granite in kitchen & baths located convenient to Clayton & walking distance to Rabun County Golf Course. This home is situated on two lots with an adjoining lot included (Lot 8,9 & 10). Partial basement with new bath & extra living area. Ready to move right in. Also has dual heat system -gas & electric.

  14. 2016-03-14
    listed $119,900 388-char remark
    Show marketing remark (388 chars)

    Completely renovated 3BR/2BA home with new hardwood floors, new granite in kitchen & baths located convenient to Clayton & walking distance to Rabun County Golf Course. This home is situated on two lots with an adjoining lot included (Lot 8,9 & 10). Partial basement with new bath & extra living area. Ready to move right in. Also has dual heat system -gas & electric.

  15. 2013-10-31
    historical
  16. 2012-11-20
    listed $128,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$879 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,392 · $199/mo
Expected delta
+$1,513/yr (+$126/mo · 172.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,600
− Mortgage interest
−$14,564
− Property taxes
−$879
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,728
− Management
−$1,728
− Depreciation
−$7,564
Taxable loss
−$6,163
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,479
After-tax cash flow
$2/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rabun County
NCES district ID
1304320
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$35,980
Composite
35.64/100
National rank
#4882
State rank
#37 of 174 in GA

Livability — Clayton

Score
66/100
State rank
#197
US rank
#12208

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,265

Population outlook (Rabun County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,227 people
By 2030
16,000 · -1.4%
By 2040
15,213 · -6.2%
By 2050
13,974 · -13.9%
By 2075
10,717 · -34.0%
By 2100
7,824 · -51.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rabun

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.9) · D 21.3% · R 78.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.9pp · 2024: -56.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.9 2020: R+57.4 2016: R+60.9 2012: R+56.4 2008: R+45.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.68%
Current HPI
310.5456
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+102.3% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $260,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $285,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-01-28 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-12-11 Price Changed $295,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-10-10 Price Changed $299,900 GAMLS
  • 2025-07-29 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2025-07-28 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-07-22 Price Changed $309,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-06-04 Price Changed $314,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-01-24 Listed $319,000 GAMLS
  • 2016-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
  • 2016-10-14 Sold (MLS) $118,000 GAMLS
  • 2016-03-14 Listed $119,900 GAMLS
  • 2013-10-31 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2012-11-20 Listed $128,500 GAMLS

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $879 · +22.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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