CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
50 Midway Ave
C Composite 59.48
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.7/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$154,900

50 Midway Ave · Buffalo, NY 14215
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,392 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 86 Days on market
Built 1919 3,300 sqft lot $111/sqft · 16% below area Est $184k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 50 Midway Ave, a well-maintained single-family home in the City of Buffalo offering a great opportunity for both owner-occupants and investors alike. This property features 4 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, providing ample living space and flexibility. The interior offers a combination of hardwood floors throughout with some vinyl flooring, adding both character and durability. A full basement provides additional storage or potential workspace, while the home’s solid mechanics offer peace of mind. Exterior features include a detached one-car garage and a manageable yard. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, grocery stores, and other everyday amenities, this property is ideally situated for accessibility and convenience. Currently rented for $1,300 per month, this home presents an excellent income-producing opportunity or a future primary residence.

Key facts

  • Vinyl flooring
  • Manageable yard
  • Full basement

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSVINYL FLOORINGFULL BASEMENTDETACHED GARAGEMANAGEABLE YARDINCOME PRODUCING OPPORTUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 239 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $155k implies a 588% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $145,606 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.88%
Cash-on-cash
5.67%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$184,240
List price
$154,900
Delta
-15.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14 Thornton Ave 0.09mi 4/2.0 1,445 (+4%) 4mo $239,900 $166 84
37 Elmer Ave 0.24mi 4/1.0 1,327 (-5%) 0mo $170,000 $128 79
157 Roosevelt Ave 0.53mi 4/2.0 1,394 (+0%) 4mo $200,000 $143 70
461 Stockbridge Ave 0.29mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,336 (-4%) 4mo $96,500 $72 70
84 Elmer Ave 0.22mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,510 (+8%) 1mo $125,000 $83 67
496 Berkshire Ave 0.33mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,266 (-9%) 1mo $125,000 $99 62
59 Martha Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,282 (-8%) 1mo $149,000 $116 62
153 Stockbridge Ave 0.31mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,248 (-10%) 3mo $150,000 $120 58
622 Lasalle Ave 0.54mi 4/1.0 1,258 (-10%) 3mo $115,000 $91 54
597 Norfolk Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,490 (+7%) 4mo $160,000 $107 52
601 Lasalle Ave 0.50mi 4/1.0 1,188 (-15%) 1mo $165,000 $139 49
347 Lisbon Ave 0.56mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,558 (+12%) 3mo $180,000 $116 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.2%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-15,713
Equity at exit
$23,096
10-year hold
IRR
-4.4%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-11,251
Equity at exit
$13,393

Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14215

Home prices YoY
-30.0%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
239
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,615 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$812
Tax est. 1.5%
$194 /mo · $2,324/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$339
Net cashflow
$205

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,355
Max offer price $154,900
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $312 -5% $259 +0% $205 +5% $152 +10% $98
Rent -10% $78 -5% $141 +0% $205 +5% $269 +10% $333
Rate -1.0pp $283 -0.5pp $244 base $205 +0.5pp $165 +1.0pp $124

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,725
Closing costs
$4,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
97 Davidson Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 925 $1,495 $1.62 2d 1 0.29mi
140 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 990 $1,500 $1.52 44d 1 0.35mi
189 Westminster Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.5 1065 $1,595 $1.50 11d 1 0.43mi
263 Minnesota Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1242 $1,500 $1.21 15d 1 0.55mi
265 Lisbon Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 44d 1 0.60mi
222 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,400 $1.00 44d 1 0.66mi
222 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 24d 1 0.66mi
89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY 1.0–4.0 1.0–4.0 1024 $2,997 $2.93 2d 10 0.79mi
74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 44d 1 0.87mi
65 Northrup Pl Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 1467 $2,500 $1.70 15d 1 0.87mi
60 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,650 $1.18 2d 1 1.16mi
76 Vernon Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1190 $1,445 $1.21 15d 1 1.37mi
76 Vernon Pl Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1190 $1,595 $1.34 15d 1 1.37mi
163 Carmel Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,800 $1.29 4d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $154,900 Active 86 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $154,900 Active 83 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $154,900 Active 82 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $154,900 Active 81 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $154,900 Active 80 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $154,900 Active 78 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $154,900 Active 77 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $154,900 Active 75 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $154,900 Active 74 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $154,900 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $154,900 Active 72 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,400 Active 68 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,400 Active 67 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,400 Active 66 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,400 Active 65 DOM
  16. 2026-04-16
    price $169,400 904-char remark
    Show marketing remark (904 chars)

    Welcome to 50 Midway Ave, a well-maintained single-family home in the City of Buffalo offering a great opportunity for both owner-occupants and investors alike. This property features 4 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, providing ample living space and flexibility. The interior offers a combination of hardwood floors throughout with some vinyl flooring, adding both character and durability. A full basement provides additional storage or potential workspace, while the home’s solid mechanics offer peace of mind. Exterior features include a detached one-car garage and a manageable yard. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, grocery stores, and other everyday amenities, this property is ideally situated for accessibility and convenience. Currently rented for $1,300 per month, this home presents an excellent income-producing opportunity or a future primary residence.

  17. 2026-03-27
    listed $169,900 Active 904-char remark
    Show marketing remark (904 chars)

    Welcome to 50 Midway Ave, a well-maintained single-family home in the City of Buffalo offering a great opportunity for both owner-occupants and investors alike. This property features 4 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, providing ample living space and flexibility. The interior offers a combination of hardwood floors throughout with some vinyl flooring, adding both character and durability. A full basement provides additional storage or potential workspace, while the home’s solid mechanics offer peace of mind. Exterior features include a detached one-car garage and a manageable yard. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, grocery stores, and other everyday amenities, this property is ideally situated for accessibility and convenience. Currently rented for $1,300 per month, this home presents an excellent income-producing opportunity or a future primary residence.

  18. 2025-07-06
    historical $1,300
  19. 2025-07-03
    listed $1,300
  20. 2025-07-02
    historical $1,300
  21. 2025-07-02
    listed $1,300
  22. 2011-12-07
    soldstatus $22,500 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    LARGER THAN IT LOOKS * THIS HOUSE HAS 4 BEDROOMS * 1.5 BATHROOMS * FORMAL DINING ROOM * EAT-IN KITCHEN * HARDWOOD FLOORS THRUOUT HOME * BASEMENT IN GOOD CONDITION FOR A HOME BUILT IN 1919 * ROOF IS THREE YEARS OLD * FURNACE IN GOOD CONDITION WITH CENTRAL AIR * LOTS OF POTENTIAL IN THIS HOME & THE PRICE IS RIGHT *

  23. 2011-08-30
    listed $23,599 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (339 chars)

    LARGER THAN IT LOOKS * THIS HOUSE HAS 4 BEDROOMS * 1.5 BATHROOMS * FORMAL DINING ROOM * EAT-IN KITCHEN * HARDWOOD FLOORS THRUOUT HOME * BASEMENT IN GOOD CONDITION FOR A HOME BUILT IN 1919 * ROOF IS THREE YEARS OLD * FURNACE IN GOOD CONDITION WITH CENTRAL AIR * LOTS OF POTENTIAL IN THIS HOME & THE PRICE IS RIGHT *

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,376
− Mortgage interest
−$8,677
− Property taxes
−$2,324
− Insurance
−$774
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,550
− Management
−$1,550
− Depreciation
−$4,506
Taxable loss
−$5
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1
After-tax cash flow
$2,462/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
42,524
Household income
$44,955
Rent vs Own
50.0% rent · 50.0% own
Severe rent burden
2873.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 67% White 15% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -126.29%
Current HPI
295.2966
Rent YoY
▲ 0.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+617.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $169,400 WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $169,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-07-06 Rental Removed $1,300 PROPERTYWARE
  • 2025-07-03 Listed for Rent $1,300 PROPERTYWARE
  • 2025-07-02 Rental Removed $1,300 SHOWMOJO
  • 2025-07-02 Listed for Rent $1,300 SHOWMOJO
  • 2011-12-07 Sold (MLS) $22,500 WNYREIS
  • 2011-08-30 Listed $23,599 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $269 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…