50 Midway Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.5/30.0
- ARV discount +14.7/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$154,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 50 Midway Ave, a well-maintained single-family home in the City of Buffalo offering a great opportunity for both owner-occupants and investors alike. This property features 4 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, providing ample living space and flexibility. The interior offers a combination of hardwood floors throughout with some vinyl flooring, adding both character and durability. A full basement provides additional storage or potential workspace, while the home’s solid mechanics offer peace of mind. Exterior features include a detached one-car garage and a manageable yard. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, grocery stores, and other everyday amenities, this property is ideally situated for accessibility and convenience. Currently rented for $1,300 per month, this home presents an excellent income-producing opportunity or a future primary residence.
Key facts
- Vinyl flooring
- Manageable yard
- Full basement
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 239 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $155k implies a 588% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.67%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $184,240
- List price
- $154,900
- Delta
- -15.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Thornton Ave | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 | 1,445 (+4%) | 4mo | $239,900 | $166 | 84 |
| 37 Elmer Ave | 0.24mi | 4/1.0 | 1,327 (-5%) | 0mo | $170,000 | $128 | 79 |
| 157 Roosevelt Ave | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 1,394 (+0%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $143 | 70 |
| 461 Stockbridge Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,336 (-4%) | 4mo | $96,500 | $72 | 70 |
| 84 Elmer Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,510 (+8%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $83 | 67 |
| 496 Berkshire Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,266 (-9%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $99 | 62 |
| 59 Martha Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,282 (-8%) | 1mo | $149,000 | $116 | 62 |
| 153 Stockbridge Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-10%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $120 | 58 |
| 622 Lasalle Ave | 0.54mi | 4/1.0 | 1,258 (-10%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $91 | 54 |
| 597 Norfolk Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,490 (+7%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $107 | 52 |
| 601 Lasalle Ave | 0.50mi | 4/1.0 | 1,188 (-15%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $139 | 49 |
| 347 Lisbon Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,558 (+12%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $116 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-15,713
- Equity at exit
- $23,096
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-11,251
- Equity at exit
- $13,393
Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14215
- Home prices YoY
- -30.0%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 239
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,615 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$812
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$194 /mo · $2,324/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $205
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $312 | -5% $259 | +0% $205 | +5% $152 | +10% $98 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $78 | -5% $141 | +0% $205 | +5% $269 | +10% $333 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $283 | -0.5pp $244 | base $205 | +0.5pp $165 | +1.0pp $124 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,725
- Closing costs
- $4,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97 Davidson Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 2d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 140 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 189 Westminster Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1065 | $1,595 | $1.50 | 11d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 263 Minnesota Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1242 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 15d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 265 Lisbon Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 222 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 222 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1024 | $2,997 | $2.93 | 2d | 10 | 0.79mi |
| 74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 65 Northrup Pl Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $2,500 | $1.70 | 15d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 60 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 2d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 76 Vernon Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,445 | $1.21 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 76 Vernon Pl Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,595 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 163 Carmel Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 4d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $154,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $154,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $154,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $154,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $154,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $154,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $154,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $154,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $154,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $154,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $154,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,400 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $169,400 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $169,400 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,400 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $169,400 904-char remark
Show marketing remark (904 chars)
Welcome to 50 Midway Ave, a well-maintained single-family home in the City of Buffalo offering a great opportunity for both owner-occupants and investors alike. This property features 4 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, providing ample living space and flexibility. The interior offers a combination of hardwood floors throughout with some vinyl flooring, adding both character and durability. A full basement provides additional storage or potential workspace, while the home’s solid mechanics offer peace of mind. Exterior features include a detached one-car garage and a manageable yard. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, grocery stores, and other everyday amenities, this property is ideally situated for accessibility and convenience. Currently rented for $1,300 per month, this home presents an excellent income-producing opportunity or a future primary residence.
-
2026-03-27$169,900 Active 904-char remark
Show marketing remark (904 chars)
Welcome to 50 Midway Ave, a well-maintained single-family home in the City of Buffalo offering a great opportunity for both owner-occupants and investors alike. This property features 4 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, providing ample living space and flexibility. The interior offers a combination of hardwood floors throughout with some vinyl flooring, adding both character and durability. A full basement provides additional storage or potential workspace, while the home’s solid mechanics offer peace of mind. Exterior features include a detached one-car garage and a manageable yard. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, grocery stores, and other everyday amenities, this property is ideally situated for accessibility and convenience. Currently rented for $1,300 per month, this home presents an excellent income-producing opportunity or a future primary residence.
-
2025-07-06historical $1,300
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2025-07-03$1,300
-
2025-07-02historical $1,300
-
2025-07-02$1,300
-
2011-12-07soldstatus $22,500 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
LARGER THAN IT LOOKS * THIS HOUSE HAS 4 BEDROOMS * 1.5 BATHROOMS * FORMAL DINING ROOM * EAT-IN KITCHEN * HARDWOOD FLOORS THRUOUT HOME * BASEMENT IN GOOD CONDITION FOR A HOME BUILT IN 1919 * ROOF IS THREE YEARS OLD * FURNACE IN GOOD CONDITION WITH CENTRAL AIR * LOTS OF POTENTIAL IN THIS HOME & THE PRICE IS RIGHT *
-
2011-08-30$23,599 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
LARGER THAN IT LOOKS * THIS HOUSE HAS 4 BEDROOMS * 1.5 BATHROOMS * FORMAL DINING ROOM * EAT-IN KITCHEN * HARDWOOD FLOORS THRUOUT HOME * BASEMENT IN GOOD CONDITION FOR A HOME BUILT IN 1919 * ROOF IS THREE YEARS OLD * FURNACE IN GOOD CONDITION WITH CENTRAL AIR * LOTS OF POTENTIAL IN THIS HOME & THE PRICE IS RIGHT *
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,376
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,677
- − Property taxes
- −$2,324
- − Insurance
- −$774
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,550
- − Management
- −$1,550
- − Depreciation
- −$4,506
- Taxable loss
- −$5
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,462/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,524
- Household income
- $44,955
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2873.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 67% White 15% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -126.29%
- Current HPI
- 295.2966
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.67%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+617.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $169,400 WNYREIS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $169,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-07-06 Rental Removed $1,300 PROPERTYWARE
- 2025-07-03 Listed for Rent $1,300 PROPERTYWARE
- 2025-07-02 Rental Removed $1,300 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-07-02 Listed for Rent $1,300 SHOWMOJO
- 2011-12-07 Sold (MLS) $22,500 WNYREIS
- 2011-08-30 Listed $23,599 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $269 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…