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1600 Rhododendron Dr #278
D+ Composite 48.7
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.1/30.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0

$209,500

1600 Rhododendron Dr #278 · Florence, OR 97439
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 135 Days on market
Built 1978 7,405 sqft lot $227/sqft · 19% above area Est $320k · 34% under $335/mo HOA · 20% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Greentrees, a sought-after 55+ gated community in scenic Florence, Oregon. This inviting 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring in the kitchen, dining room and bonus room, providing a modern look with easy maintenance. The functional floor plan is ideal for comfortable everyday living.Outside, you’ll appreciate dedicated RV parking and a tool shed with electricity—perfect for projects, storage, or hobbies. Enjoy the peace of mind that comes with living in a gated community known for its friendly atmosphere and well-kept surroundings. Greentrees Village offers secure gated entry, clubhouse with pool, spa, fitness room, community events, walking paths, and RV/boat storage. HOA includes water, sewer, and trash. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, medical services, and the Oregon coast, this home offers a relaxed coastal lifestyle with all the essentials close by.

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Fitness room
  • Dedicated rv parking

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGDEDICATED RV PARKINGTOOL SHED WITH ELECTRICITYCLUBHOUSE WITH POOLFITNESS ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-301 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $156k (25.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (18.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $156k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.6% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#142 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A, crime A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Siuslaw SD 97J (town): math 33% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #106 of 183 in OR (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Siuslaw Elementary School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #263 of 412 statewide, top 68%, 520 students, 68% FRL); Siuslaw Middle School (math 15% / reading 37%, grade F, #101 of 128 statewide, top 80%, 270 students, 68% FRL); Siuslaw High School (math 24% / reading 75%, grade D+, #32 of 143 statewide, top 34%, 459 students, 68% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 416 active listings in the ZIP; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $22k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $155k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $156,378 (25.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
4.57%
Cash-on-cash
-6.15%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$319,544
List price
$209,500
Delta
-34.44%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1600 Rhododendron Dr #131 0.00mi 2/1.0 924 (0%) 2mo $180,000 $195 94
1600 Rhododendron Dr #103 0.00mi 2/2.0 938 (+2%) 6mo $215,000 $229 93
1600 Rhododendron Dr #171 0.00mi 2/1.0 924 (0%) 10mo $250,000 $271 88
1600 Rhododendron Dr #57 0.00mi 2/2.0 938 (+2%) 14mo $185,000 $197 86
1601 Rhododendron Dr W #516 0.28mi 2/2.0 924 (0%) 15mo $285,000 $308 75
1600 Rhododendron Dr #91 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,008 (+9%) 10mo $170,000 $169 72
1600 Rhododendron Dr #275 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,022 (+11%) 17mo $145,000 $142 68
1601 Rhododendron Dr #506 0.28mi 2/1.0 924 (0%) 18mo $230,000 $249 68
1601 Rhododendron Dr #657 0.28mi 2/2.0 960 (+4%) 17mo $230,000 $240 66
1600 Rhododendron Dr #230 0.21mi 2/1.0 840 (-9%) 14mo $125,000 $149 59
1600 Rhododendron Dr Unit SP 4 0.21mi 2/2.0 840 (-9%) 20mo $170,000 $202 58
1601 Rhododendron Dr #693 0.28mi 2/1.0 840 (-9%) 14mo $295,000 $351 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
2.62×
Total profit
$95,100
Equity at exit
$188,734
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
6.04×
Total profit
$295,419
Equity at exit
$407,012

Cash invested: $58,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97439

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
416
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,714 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,099
Tax from tax record
$134 /mo · $1,609/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$335
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$-301

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,095
Max offer price $156,378
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-182 -5% $-241 +0% $-301 +5% $-360 +10% $-419
Rent -10% $-436 -5% $-368 +0% $-301 +5% $-233 +10% $-165
Rate -1.0pp $-195 -0.5pp $-247 base $-301 +0.5pp $-355 +1.0pp $-410

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,375
Closing costs
$6,285
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$335 · $4,020/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrashelectricpoolsecurity

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $209,500 Active 135 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $209,500 Active 134 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $209,500 Active 132 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $209,500 Active 131 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $209,500 Active 130 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $209,500 Active 129 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $209,500 Active 127 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $209,500 Active 126 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $209,500 Active 123 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $209,500 Active 122 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $209,500 Active 121 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $209,500 Active 120 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $209,500 Active 117 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $209,500 Active 116 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $209,500 Active 115 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $209,500 Active 114 DOM
  17. 2026-04-29
    price $209,500 934-char remark
    Show marketing remark (934 chars)

    Welcome to Greentrees, a sought-after 55+ gated community in scenic Florence, Oregon. This inviting 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring in the kitchen, dining room and bonus room, providing a modern look with easy maintenance. The functional floor plan is ideal for comfortable everyday living.Outside, you’ll appreciate dedicated RV parking and a tool shed with electricity—perfect for projects, storage, or hobbies. Enjoy the peace of mind that comes with living in a gated community known for its friendly atmosphere and well-kept surroundings. Greentrees Village offers secure gated entry, clubhouse with pool, spa, fitness room, community events, walking paths, and RV/boat storage. HOA includes water, sewer, and trash. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, medical services, and the Oregon coast, this home offers a relaxed coastal lifestyle with all the essentials close by.

  18. 2026-02-06
    listed $222,500 Active 934-char remark
    Show marketing remark (934 chars)

    Welcome to Greentrees, a sought-after 55+ gated community in scenic Florence, Oregon. This inviting 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring in the kitchen, dining room and bonus room, providing a modern look with easy maintenance. The functional floor plan is ideal for comfortable everyday living.Outside, you’ll appreciate dedicated RV parking and a tool shed with electricity—perfect for projects, storage, or hobbies. Enjoy the peace of mind that comes with living in a gated community known for its friendly atmosphere and well-kept surroundings. Greentrees Village offers secure gated entry, clubhouse with pool, spa, fitness room, community events, walking paths, and RV/boat storage. HOA includes water, sewer, and trash. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, medical services, and the Oregon coast, this home offers a relaxed coastal lifestyle with all the essentials close by.

  19. 2020-03-12
    soldstatus $155,000 Sold 284-char remark
    Show marketing remark (284 chars)

    Large addition to the 66x14 manufactured home. Newer vinyl clad windows, updated kitchen counters, flooring, ductless heat pump. Front kitchen with 2 hutches, great home for entertaining. Beautiful yard, palm trees, RV parking with hookups, deck, shop. Neat & clean-Move in ready.

  20. 2020-03-12
    soldstatus $155,000
    Show marketing remark (284 chars)

    Large addition to the 66x14 manufactured home. Newer vinyl clad windows, updated kitchen counters, flooring, ductless heat pump. Front kitchen with 2 hutches, great home for entertaining. Beautiful yard, palm trees, RV parking with hookups, deck, shop. Neat & clean-Move in ready.

  21. 2020-01-11
    historical 284-char remark
    Show marketing remark (284 chars)

    Large addition to the 66x14 manufactured home. Newer vinyl clad windows, updated kitchen counters, flooring, ductless heat pump. Front kitchen with 2 hutches, great home for entertaining. Beautiful yard, palm trees, RV parking with hookups, deck, shop. Neat & clean-Move in ready.

  22. 2020-01-11
    listed $165,000 284-char remark
    Show marketing remark (284 chars)

    Large addition to the 66x14 manufactured home. Newer vinyl clad windows, updated kitchen counters, flooring, ductless heat pump. Front kitchen with 2 hutches, great home for entertaining. Beautiful yard, palm trees, RV parking with hookups, deck, shop. Neat & clean-Move in ready.

  23. 2016-06-27
    soldstatus $70,000 Sold
  24. 2016-06-27
    soldstatus $70,000
  25. 2016-05-16
    status Pending
  26. 2016-05-09
    status Active
  27. 2016-04-08
    status Pending
  28. 2016-03-14
    price $72,900
  29. 2016-02-25
    status Active
  30. 2016-02-17
    status Pending
  31. 2016-01-29
    price $74,900
  32. 2015-12-04
    listed $78,000 Active
  33. 1999-09-10
    soldstatus $58,715

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,609 · $134/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,032 · $169/mo
Expected delta
+$424/yr (+$35/mo · 26.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥77°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,571
− Mortgage interest
−$11,735
− Property taxes
−$1,609
− Insurance
−$1,048
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,646
− Management
−$1,646
− HOA
−$4,020
− Depreciation
−$6,095
Taxable loss
−$7,226
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,734
After-tax cash flow
$-1,874/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Siuslaw SD 97J
NCES district ID
4105100
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$36,892
Composite
36.82/100
National rank
#9169
State rank
#106 of 183 in OR

Livability — Florence

Score
70/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#8094

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A- Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Florence, OR
Population (ZIP)
15,643

Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
391,933 people
By 2030
405,860 · +3.6%
By 2040
429,386 · +9.6%
By 2050
452,016 · +15.3%
By 2075
508,825 · +29.8%
By 2100
531,208 · +35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Portuguese 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lane

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.79%
Current HPI
717.84
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+256.8% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $209,500 RMLS
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $222,500 RMLS
  • 2020-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
  • 2020-03-12 Sold (MLS) $155,000 RMLS
  • 2020-01-11 Listed $165,000 RMLS
  • 2020-01-11 Delisted RMLS
  • 2016-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2016-06-27 Sold (MLS) $70,000 RMLS
  • 2016-05-16 Pending RMLS
  • 2016-05-09 Relisted RMLS
  • 2016-04-08 Pending RMLS
  • 2016-03-14 Price Changed $72,900 RMLS
  • 2016-02-25 Relisted RMLS
  • 2016-02-17 Pending RMLS
  • 2016-01-29 Price Changed $74,900 RMLS
  • 2015-12-04 Listed $78,000 RMLS
  • 1999-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $58,715 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,609 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…