1600 Rhododendron Dr #278 · Florence, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 77°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.1/30.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
$209,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Greentrees, a sought-after 55+ gated community in scenic Florence, Oregon. This inviting 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring in the kitchen, dining room and bonus room, providing a modern look with easy maintenance. The functional floor plan is ideal for comfortable everyday living.Outside, you’ll appreciate dedicated RV parking and a tool shed with electricity—perfect for projects, storage, or hobbies. Enjoy the peace of mind that comes with living in a gated community known for its friendly atmosphere and well-kept surroundings. Greentrees Village offers secure gated entry, clubhouse with pool, spa, fitness room, community events, walking paths, and RV/boat storage. HOA includes water, sewer, and trash. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, medical services, and the Oregon coast, this home offers a relaxed coastal lifestyle with all the essentials close by.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Fitness room
- Dedicated rv parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-301 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $156k (25.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (18.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $156k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.6% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#142 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A, crime A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Siuslaw SD 97J (town): math 33% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #106 of 183 in OR (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Siuslaw Elementary School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #263 of 412 statewide, top 68%, 520 students, 68% FRL); Siuslaw Middle School (math 15% / reading 37%, grade F, #101 of 128 statewide, top 80%, 270 students, 68% FRL); Siuslaw High School (math 24% / reading 75%, grade D+, #32 of 143 statewide, top 34%, 459 students, 68% FRL).
- Market conditions: 416 active listings in the ZIP; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $22k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $155k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.15%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $319,544
- List price
- $209,500
- Delta
- -34.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1600 Rhododendron Dr #131 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (0%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $195 | 94 |
| 1600 Rhododendron Dr #103 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 938 (+2%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $229 | 93 |
| 1600 Rhododendron Dr #171 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (0%) | 10mo | $250,000 | $271 | 88 |
| 1600 Rhododendron Dr #57 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 938 (+2%) | 14mo | $185,000 | $197 | 86 |
| 1601 Rhododendron Dr W #516 | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (0%) | 15mo | $285,000 | $308 | 75 |
| 1600 Rhododendron Dr #91 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (+9%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $169 | 72 |
| 1600 Rhododendron Dr #275 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,022 (+11%) | 17mo | $145,000 | $142 | 68 |
| 1601 Rhododendron Dr #506 | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (0%) | 18mo | $230,000 | $249 | 68 |
| 1601 Rhododendron Dr #657 | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+4%) | 17mo | $230,000 | $240 | 66 |
| 1600 Rhododendron Dr #230 | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-9%) | 14mo | $125,000 | $149 | 59 |
| 1600 Rhododendron Dr Unit SP 4 | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (-9%) | 20mo | $170,000 | $202 | 58 |
| 1601 Rhododendron Dr #693 | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-9%) | 14mo | $295,000 | $351 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $95,100
- Equity at exit
- $188,734
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.04×
- Total profit
- $295,419
- Equity at exit
- $407,012
Cash invested: $58,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97439
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 416
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,714 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,099
- Tax from tax record
- −$134 /mo · $1,609/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$335
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $-301
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-182 | -5% $-241 | +0% $-301 | +5% $-360 | +10% $-419 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-436 | -5% $-368 | +0% $-301 | +5% $-233 | +10% $-165 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-195 | -0.5pp $-247 | base $-301 | +0.5pp $-355 | +1.0pp $-410 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,375
- Closing costs
- $6,285
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $335 · $4,020/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrashelectricpoolsecurity
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $209,500 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $209,500 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $209,500 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $209,500 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $209,500 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $209,500 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $209,500 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $209,500 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $209,500 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $209,500 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $209,500 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $209,500 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $209,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $209,500 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $209,500 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $209,500 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $209,500 934-char remark
Show marketing remark (934 chars)
Welcome to Greentrees, a sought-after 55+ gated community in scenic Florence, Oregon. This inviting 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring in the kitchen, dining room and bonus room, providing a modern look with easy maintenance. The functional floor plan is ideal for comfortable everyday living.Outside, you’ll appreciate dedicated RV parking and a tool shed with electricity—perfect for projects, storage, or hobbies. Enjoy the peace of mind that comes with living in a gated community known for its friendly atmosphere and well-kept surroundings. Greentrees Village offers secure gated entry, clubhouse with pool, spa, fitness room, community events, walking paths, and RV/boat storage. HOA includes water, sewer, and trash. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, medical services, and the Oregon coast, this home offers a relaxed coastal lifestyle with all the essentials close by.
-
2026-02-06$222,500 Active 934-char remark
Show marketing remark (934 chars)
Welcome to Greentrees, a sought-after 55+ gated community in scenic Florence, Oregon. This inviting 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers brand-new luxury vinyl plank flooring in the kitchen, dining room and bonus room, providing a modern look with easy maintenance. The functional floor plan is ideal for comfortable everyday living.Outside, you’ll appreciate dedicated RV parking and a tool shed with electricity—perfect for projects, storage, or hobbies. Enjoy the peace of mind that comes with living in a gated community known for its friendly atmosphere and well-kept surroundings. Greentrees Village offers secure gated entry, clubhouse with pool, spa, fitness room, community events, walking paths, and RV/boat storage. HOA includes water, sewer, and trash. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, medical services, and the Oregon coast, this home offers a relaxed coastal lifestyle with all the essentials close by.
-
2020-03-12soldstatus $155,000 Sold 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Large addition to the 66x14 manufactured home. Newer vinyl clad windows, updated kitchen counters, flooring, ductless heat pump. Front kitchen with 2 hutches, great home for entertaining. Beautiful yard, palm trees, RV parking with hookups, deck, shop. Neat & clean-Move in ready.
-
2020-03-12soldstatus $155,000
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Large addition to the 66x14 manufactured home. Newer vinyl clad windows, updated kitchen counters, flooring, ductless heat pump. Front kitchen with 2 hutches, great home for entertaining. Beautiful yard, palm trees, RV parking with hookups, deck, shop. Neat & clean-Move in ready.
-
2020-01-11historical 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Large addition to the 66x14 manufactured home. Newer vinyl clad windows, updated kitchen counters, flooring, ductless heat pump. Front kitchen with 2 hutches, great home for entertaining. Beautiful yard, palm trees, RV parking with hookups, deck, shop. Neat & clean-Move in ready.
-
2020-01-11$165,000 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Large addition to the 66x14 manufactured home. Newer vinyl clad windows, updated kitchen counters, flooring, ductless heat pump. Front kitchen with 2 hutches, great home for entertaining. Beautiful yard, palm trees, RV parking with hookups, deck, shop. Neat & clean-Move in ready.
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2016-06-27soldstatus $70,000 Sold
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2016-06-27soldstatus $70,000
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2016-05-16status Pending
-
2016-05-09status Active
-
2016-04-08status Pending
-
2016-03-14price $72,900
-
2016-02-25status Active
-
2016-02-17status Pending
-
2016-01-29price $74,900
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2015-12-04$78,000 Active
-
1999-09-10soldstatus $58,715
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,609 · $134/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,032 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- +$424/yr (+$35/mo · 26.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥77°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,571
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,735
- − Property taxes
- −$1,609
- − Insurance
- −$1,048
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,646
- − Management
- −$1,646
- − HOA
- −$4,020
- − Depreciation
- −$6,095
- Taxable loss
- −$7,226
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,734
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,874/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Siuslaw SD 97J
- NCES district ID
- 4105100
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,892
- Composite
- 36.82/100
- National rank
- #9169
- State rank
- #106 of 183 in OR
Livability — Florence
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #8094
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florence, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,643
Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 391,933 people
- By 2030
- 405,860 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 429,386 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 452,016 · +15.3%
- By 2075
- 508,825 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 531,208 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Portuguese 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lane
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 17.79%
- Current HPI
- 717.84
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+256.8% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $209,500 RMLS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $222,500 RMLS
- 2020-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2020-03-12 Sold (MLS) $155,000 RMLS
- 2020-01-11 Listed $165,000 RMLS
- 2020-01-11 Delisted — RMLS
- 2016-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2016-06-27 Sold (MLS) $70,000 RMLS
- 2016-05-16 Pending — RMLS
- 2016-05-09 Relisted — RMLS
- 2016-04-08 Pending — RMLS
- 2016-03-14 Price Changed $72,900 RMLS
- 2016-02-25 Relisted — RMLS
- 2016-02-17 Pending — RMLS
- 2016-01-29 Price Changed $74,900 RMLS
- 2015-12-04 Listed $78,000 RMLS
- 1999-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $58,715 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,609 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…