708 10th St · Ferriday, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home in a well established neighborhood.
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1975
- Listed 139 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $273 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#215 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime D+.
- Concordia Parish (town): math 19% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #65 of 98 in LA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Concordia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.8% local appreciation)).
- Concordia County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $72k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.79%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $61,248
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- 38.78%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27661 La Hwy 15 | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,198 (-8%) | 23mo | $41,600 | $35 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.84% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $41,139
- Equity at exit
- $52,569
- IRR
- 24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.52×
- Total profit
- $107,584
- Equity at exit
- $94,594
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71334
- Home prices YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,048 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $880/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $273
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $85,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-01-29$85,000 Active 65-char remark
Show marketing remark (65 chars)
Cozy 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home in a well established neighborhood.
-
2017-04-11soldstatus
-
2017-04-11soldstatus $72,000
-
2017-03-20$72,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $880 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $880 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,576
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$880
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,006
- − Management
- −$1,006
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $2,025
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$486
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,795/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Concordia Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200480
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -34.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,931
- Composite
- 18.45/100
- National rank
- #8929
- State rank
- #65 of 98 in LA
Livability — Ferriday
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #215
- US rank
- #16581
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ferriday, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,382
Population outlook (Concordia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,933 people
- By 2030
- 18,157 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 16,559 · -12.5%
- By 2050
- 15,067 · -20.4%
- By 2075
- 11,770 · -37.8%
- By 2100
- 8,541 · -54.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% White 40% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Concordia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.4) · D 34.8% · R 64.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.0pp · 2024: -29.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.4 2020: R+26.9 2016: R+24.8 2012: R+17.2 2008: R+20.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.84%
- Current HPI
- 108.4427
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+17.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-29 Listed $85,000 NELABOR
- 2017-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 2017-04-11 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2017-03-20 Listed $72,500 MLSU
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $880 · +22.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…