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C Composite 56.24
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$140,000

2602 Reeves St · Mena, AR 71953
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,657 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 247 Days on market
Built 1978 0.51 ac lot Est $197k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nice cozy brick Home on a really nice Lot in the Mena city limits. The Home has 3 bedrooms and 2 & 1/2 Baths. This Home sits on approximately 1/2 acre! Lots of room for your yard with this property! New Flooring has been installed as well as other updates to the inside of the House! New Roof has also been applied!

Key facts

  • Brick home
  • 0.51 acre lot
  • Built 1978

Tags

BRICK HOMEAPPROXIMATELY 1/2 ACRE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Financing available: conventional loan or cash

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric service (Entergy)
  • Home design: Brick exterior
  • Construction: 3-tab shingle roof; Slab foundation; Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Approximately 147' x 150' lot (about 0.51 acres); Inside city limits

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing stove
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Tile
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms and one half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Carpet, vinyl, and tile flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $83 ($997/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (13.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.0% in Mena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#142 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D, amenities F.
  • Mena School District (rural): math 42% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #70 of 238 in AR (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 204 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 247 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $63k; list at $140k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $120,659 (13.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 247 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
7.00%
Cash-on-cash
2.54%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$197,183
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
908 Texas 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,616 (-2%) 2mo $192,500 $119 66
2504 Sutherland Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,584 (-4%) 9mo $213,500 $135 62
2467 Hwy 375 E 0.50mi 3/2.5 1,550 (-6%) 6mo $375,000 $242 61
211 Turner St 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,554 (-6%) 11mo $160,000 $103 58
1900 Church Ave 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,782 (+8%) 7mo $210,000 $118 56
1902 Smith Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,519 (-8%) 1mo $41,000 $27 55
901 S Reine St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,749 (+6%) 10mo $140,000 $80 52
1903 Smith Ave 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,750 (+6%) 13mo $173,500 $99 51
265 Polk Road 76e 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,500 (-10%) 8mo $316,000 $211 47
1602 Miller Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,524 (-8%) 12mo $240,000 $157 46
1107 S Reine St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,814 (+10%) 12mo $310,000 $171 43
1610 Reeves Ave 0.57mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,753 (+6%) 16mo $60,000 $34 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.8%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-6,459
Equity at exit
$32,554
10-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$11,230
Equity at exit
$33,139

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71953

Home prices YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
204
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,207 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $932/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$83

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,101
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $162 -5% $123 +0% $83 +5% $43 +10% $4
Rent -10% $-12 -5% $35 +0% $83 +5% $131 +10% $178
Rate -1.0pp $154 -0.5pp $119 base $83 +0.5pp $47 +1.0pp $10

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    price $140,000
  2. 2026-03-31
    price $150,000
  3. 2025-09-22
    listed $165,000 New Listing
  4. 1999-12-22
    soldstatus $63,000
  5. 1999-02-23
    soldstatus $50,000
  6. 1988-07-01
    soldstatus $38,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$932 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$932 · $78/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,479
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$932
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,158
− Management
−$1,158
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$1,384
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$332
After-tax cash flow
$1,329/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mena School District
NCES district ID
0509750
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$32,941
Composite
32.88/100
National rank
#5607
State rank
#70 of 238 in AR

Livability — Mena

Score
65/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#12615

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mena, AR
Population (ZIP)
13,412

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,065 people
By 2030
18,369 · -3.7%
By 2040
17,156 · -10.0%
By 2050
16,177 · -15.1%
By 2075
14,642 · -23.2%
By 2100
13,020 · -31.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.5) · D 13.8% · R 84.3% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-24.7pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -70.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.5 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+66.4 2012: R+56.9 2008: R+45.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.18%
Current HPI
278.2854
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+268.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $140,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $150,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-09-22 Listed $165,000 CARMLS
  • 1999-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
  • 1999-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 1988-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $932 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…