1600 Edwards Ave · Richmond, VA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great corner-lot cape. Big back yard. Updated kitchen and bath a few years ago. Eat-in kitchen. Updated HVAC few years old. Large sitting front porch
Key facts
- Back yard
- Updated bath
- Corner-lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $384 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $184k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.2% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#33 in VA, #793 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-.
- Richmond City Public School District (urban): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #123 of 131 in VA (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 177 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,540 units permitted in Richmond city in 2024 (2,077 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,978/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 3584% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $101k; list at $190k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.67%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $229,936
- List price
- $189,900
- Delta
- -17.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1718 Fairfax Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 986 (-3%) | 3mo | $184,950 | $188 | 81 |
| 2020 Ingram Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 985 (-4%) | 2mo | $157,000 | $159 | 70 |
| 1100 E 16th St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,136 (+11%) | 3mo | $237,000 | $209 | 68 |
| 1712 Halifax Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,084 (+6%) | 11mo | $254,950 | $235 | 65 |
| 2004 Edwards Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,136 (+11%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $198 | 61 |
| 2115 Dinwiddie Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,106 (+8%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $208 | 60 |
| 1807 Mansion Ave | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,048 (+3%) | 11mo | $259,950 | $248 | 55 |
| 2010 Gordon Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,164 (+14%) | 1mo | $260,200 | $224 | 54 |
| 2004 Harwood St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,067 (+4%) | 8mo | $255,000 | $239 | 50 |
| 1322 Lynhaven Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,160 (+14%) | 7mo | $239,000 | $206 | 34 |
| 1421 Drewry St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 867 (-15%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $236 | 31 |
| 1404 Enfield Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 912 (-11%) | 10mo | $255,900 | $281 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-3,237
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $41,728
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23224
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 177
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,978 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $384
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $491 | -5% $438 | +0% $384 | +5% $330 | +10% $276 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $228 | -5% $306 | +0% $384 | +5% $462 | +10% $540 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $480 | -0.5pp $432 | base $384 | +0.5pp $335 | +1.0pp $285 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1808 Edwards Ave Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,750 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1112 E 16th St Richmond, VA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1206 | $1,595 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1709 Everett St Richmond, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1460 | $1,995 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 116 E 15th St Richmond, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $2,250 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2208 Keswick Ave Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $1,775 | $1.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1100 Richmond Hwy Richmond, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1062 | $2,345 | $2.21 | 2d | 16 | 0.62mi |
| 1912 Porter St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1415 | $1,950 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1411 Porter St Unit B Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,145 | $1.43 | 5d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1410 Enfield Ave Unit 1410 Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,500 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 403 Stockton St Richmond, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 882 | $2,140 | $2.42 | 4d | 22 | 0.83mi |
| 15 W 7th St Richmond, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 881 | $3,031 | $3.44 | 3d | 6 | 0.84mi |
| 84 W 6th St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $2,715 | $1.82 | 4d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1429 McDonough St Richmond, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 826 | $2,469 | $2.99 | 3d | 15 | 0.91mi |
| 815 Perry St Richmond, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1004 | $1,800 | $1.79 | 2d | 10 | 0.95mi |
| 2522 Porter St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1390 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2100 Wright Ave Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,695 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3154 Stockton St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1169 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-05-08price $189,900 149-char remark
Show marketing remark (149 chars)
Great corner-lot cape. Big back yard. Updated kitchen and bath a few years ago. Eat-in kitchen. Updated HVAC few years old. Large sitting front porch
-
2026-05-08status Active 149-char remark
Show marketing remark (149 chars)
Great corner-lot cape. Big back yard. Updated kitchen and bath a few years ago. Eat-in kitchen. Updated HVAC few years old. Large sitting front porch
-
2026-03-27status Pending 149-char remark
Show marketing remark (149 chars)
Great corner-lot cape. Big back yard. Updated kitchen and bath a few years ago. Eat-in kitchen. Updated HVAC few years old. Large sitting front porch
-
2026-03-09$194,900 Active 149-char remark
Show marketing remark (149 chars)
Great corner-lot cape. Big back yard. Updated kitchen and bath a few years ago. Eat-in kitchen. Updated HVAC few years old. Large sitting front porch
-
2024-11-06historical
-
2024-09-05$210,000 Active
-
2009-09-22historical
-
2007-03-05soldstatus $101,000
-
2007-02-22soldstatus $101,000
-
2007-02-22soldstatus $101,000
-
2007-01-05$109,000
-
2007-01-05$109,000
-
2007-01-01historical
-
2006-11-08$109,000
-
2006-11-08$109,000
-
2006-06-20soldstatus $79,000
-
2006-06-19soldstatus $79,000
-
2006-06-19soldstatus $79,000
-
2006-03-29$79,000
-
2006-03-29$79,000
-
2003-12-09soldstatus $65,000
-
2003-12-08soldstatus $65,000
-
2003-12-08soldstatus $65,000
-
2003-08-19$59,950
-
2003-08-19$59,950
-
1992-09-29soldstatus $39,975
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,248 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,557 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- +$309/yr (+$26/mo · 24.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,741
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$1,248
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,899
- − Management
- −$1,899
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable income
- $1,583
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$380
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,228/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richmond City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103240
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,276
- Composite
- 33.09/100
- National rank
- #5564
- State rank
- #123 of 131 in VA
Livability — Richmond
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #33
- US rank
- #793
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Richmond, VA
- County
- Richmond City · 178,280 people
- City population
- 287,109
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,575
- Household income
- $50,475
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3584.0
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 262,263 people
- By 2030
- 284,503 · +8.5%
- By 2040
- 327,353 · +24.8%
- By 2050
- 367,946 · +40.3%
- By 2075
- 449,560 · +71.4%
- By 2100
- 500,301 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 22% White 15% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 19% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+66.3) · D 82.0% · R 15.8% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.2pp toward D · 2008: 59.1pp · 2024: 66.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+66.3 2020: D+68.0 2016: D+63.8 2012: D+55.7 2008: D+59.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -283.99%
- Current HPI
- 336.9345
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.55%
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+375.0% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $189,900 CVRMLS
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — CVRMLS
- 2026-03-27 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $194,900 CVRMLS
- 2024-11-06 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2024-09-05 Listed $210,000 CVRMLS
- 2009-09-22 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2007-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $101,000 Public Records
- 2007-02-22 Sold (MLS) $101,000 CVRMLS
- 2007-02-22 Sold (MLS) $101,000 CVRMLS
- 2007-01-05 Listed $109,000 CVRMLS
- 2007-01-05 Listed $109,000 CVRMLS
- 2007-01-01 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2006-11-08 Listed $109,000 CVRMLS
- 2006-11-08 Listed $109,000 CVRMLS
- 2006-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-19 Sold (MLS) $79,000 CVRMLS
- 2006-06-19 Sold (MLS) $79,000 CVRMLS
- 2006-03-29 Listed $79,000 CVRMLS
- 2006-03-29 Listed $79,000 CVRMLS
- 2003-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2003-12-08 Sold (MLS) $65,000 CVRMLS
- 2003-12-08 Sold (MLS) $65,000 CVRMLS
- 2003-08-19 Listed $59,950 CVRMLS
- 2003-08-19 Listed $59,950 CVRMLS
- 1992-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $39,975 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2022): $1,248 · +82.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…