395 Birch · Wilson, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Appreciation +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tiny Home Living! Adorable one-bedroom, one-bathroom tiny home built in 2018. Home features a large, attached carport and covered deck.
Key facts
- Immediate cash flow
- Turnkey investment
- 0.4 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 0.4 acre lot with additional land available
Exterior
- Security: Smoke detector(s); No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Faces south; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Built with HardiPlank siding and wood frame; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Porch; Patio; Partial fencing; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in range; Built-in oven; Oven; Range; Plumbed for ice maker
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Ductless cooling; Ductless electric heating
- Interior features: Vinyl windows; Tile flooring; Laminate countertops; Ceiling fan(s); Cable TV; Electric oven connection
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $130 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($758 rent vs $75k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#103 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Wilson (rural): math 20% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #437 of 513 in OK (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Carter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-0.7%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $544 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carter County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask is 36% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.44%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.73% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $3,564
- Equity at exit
- $19,096
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.99×
- Total profit
- $20,794
- Equity at exit
- $20,911
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73463
- Home prices YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $758 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $530/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$159
- Net cashflow
- $130
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18price $75,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $55,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-08$55,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $530 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $675 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- +$145/yr (+$12/mo · 27.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,099
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$530
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$728
- − Management
- −$728
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $355
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$85
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,478/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wilson
- NCES district ID
- 4032940
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,642
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #14046
- State rank
- #437 of 513 in OK
Livability — Wilson
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #103
- US rank
- #11329
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wilson, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,902
Population outlook (Carter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 50,892 people
- By 2030
- 51,913 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 53,857 · +5.8%
- By 2050
- 55,604 · +9.3%
- By 2075
- 60,670 · +19.2%
- By 2100
- 62,366 · +22.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 9% Native American 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.7) · D 21.9% · R 76.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.2pp toward R · 2008: -40.5pp · 2024: -54.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.7 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+42.7 2008: R+40.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.73%
- Current HPI
- 282.4056
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-21.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $55,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
- 2022-05-18 Sold (MLS) $72,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-04-18 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-04-06 Price Changed $65,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-02-13 Listed $69,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+24.0%/yrLatest (2025): $530 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…