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395 Birch
C Composite 57.49
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$75,000

395 Birch · Wilson, OK 73463
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 600 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 2018 0.40 ac lot ↓ 21% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tiny Home Living! Adorable one-bedroom, one-bathroom tiny home built in 2018. Home features a large, attached carport and covered deck.

Key facts

  • Immediate cash flow
  • Turnkey investment
  • 0.4 acre lot

Tags

IMMEDIATE CASH FLOWTURNKEY INVESTMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 0.4 acre lot with additional land available

Exterior

  • Security: Smoke detector(s); No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Faces south; Crawlspace foundation
  • Construction: Built with HardiPlank siding and wood frame; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Porch; Patio; Partial fencing; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in range; Built-in oven; Oven; Range; Plumbed for ice maker
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless cooling; Ductless electric heating
  • Interior features: Vinyl windows; Tile flooring; Laminate countertops; Ceiling fan(s); Cable TV; Electric oven connection
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $130 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($758 rent vs $75k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#103 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wilson (rural): math 20% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #437 of 513 in OK (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Carter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-0.7%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $544 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carter County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask is 36% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.38%
Cash-on-cash
7.44%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.73% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$3,564
Equity at exit
$19,096
10-year hold
IRR
9.9%
Equity multiple
1.99×
Total profit
$20,794
Equity at exit
$20,911

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73463

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$758 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $530/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$159
Net cashflow
$130

Break-even live

Break-even rent $593
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    price $75,000 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $55,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 2 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    remarks 699-char remark
  11. 2026-06-08
    listed $55,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$530 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$675 · $56/mo
Expected delta
+$145/yr (+$12/mo · 27.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,099
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$530
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$728
− Management
−$728
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$355
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$85
After-tax cash flow
$1,478/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wilson
NCES district ID
4032940
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,642
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#14046
State rank
#437 of 513 in OK

Livability — Wilson

Score
66/100
State rank
#103
US rank
#11329

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wilson, OK
Population (ZIP)
3,902

Population outlook (Carter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,892 people
By 2030
51,913 · +2.0%
By 2040
53,857 · +5.8%
By 2050
55,604 · +9.3%
By 2075
60,670 · +19.2%
By 2100
62,366 · +22.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 9% Native American 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China, Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carter

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.7) · D 21.9% · R 76.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: -40.5pp · 2024: -54.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.7 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+42.7 2008: R+40.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.73%
Current HPI
282.4056
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-21.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $55,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
  • 2022-05-18 Sold (MLS) $72,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-04-18 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-04-06 Price Changed $65,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2022-02-13 Listed $69,900 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

+24.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $530 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…