230 E Lawrence Ave · Springfield, IL 62704

$120,000

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,645 sqft · Other · 14 Days on market

Built 1905

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +23.1/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +7.4/10.0
• 1% rule +6.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.1/5.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.7/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Affordable living close to downtown, State Capitol, State office buildings and medical centers, or an attractive investment opportunity. This 3 story property offers 3-4 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, & main floor laundry. The charm of the past is evident in the hardwood floors, glass french doors between the formal dining room & living room. 7 windows throught out the house were recently replaced (2020). New roof 2022. Eat-in kitchen with stylish exposed brick chimney. 1/2 bath on main floor. Second floor has 3 bedrooms & full bath, 3rd floor has 4th bedroom with large walk-in closet, or perfect space for in home office, play room, etc. Railroad relocation is scheduled to remove tr

Key facts

• Glass french doors
• Large walk-in closet
• Hardwood floors

Tags

• HARDWOOD FLOORS
• GLASS FRENCH DOORS
• RECENTLY REPLACED WINDOWS
• NEW ROOF
• EXPOSED BRICK CHIMNEY
• LARGE WALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Parking pad (no garage)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Built in 1905
• Construction: Shingle roof; Unfinished basement
• Exterior features: Corner, level lot; Paved road access; Shingle roof; Unfinished basement

Interior

• Kitchen: Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (bedrooms located on upper levels; one additional bedroom/room on third floor)
• Flooring: Carpet in upper-level bedrooms and additional rooms; Hardwood in main-level living and dining rooms; Laminate in kitchen and laundry
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central air; Forced air heating; Gas water heater; Window unit(s)
• Interior features: Vaulted/cathedral/tray ceilings; Ceiling fan(s)
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main-level laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $120k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
• Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.9% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#122 in IL, #2,138 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F.
• Springfield SD 186 (urban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #438 of 620 in IL (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 177 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 73% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 225 units permitted in Sangamon County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Sangamon County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $120,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.10% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.44%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.66%
• DSCR: 1.34
• GRM: 7.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.32% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -0.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.96×
• Total profit: $-1,192
• Equity at exit: $17,892

10-year hold

• IRR: 12.0%
• Equity multiple: 2.09×
• Total profit: $36,722
• Equity at exit: $10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Illinois: 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 62704

• Home prices YoY: -31.1%
• Rents YoY: 6.3%
• Active inventory: 177
• Price-to-rent: 7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,324 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$629
• Tax from tax record: −$152 /mo · $1,829/yr
• Insurance: −$50
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$278
• Net cashflow: $214

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,053

Max offer price $120,000

Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $30,000
• Closing costs: $3,600
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 15 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
229 W Allen St Springfield, IL	3.0	1.5	1050	$1,305	$1.24	21d	1	0.42mi
1214 S 7th St Unit C Springfield, IL	3.0	1.0	1200	$1,350	$1.12	43d	1	0.46mi
525 E Pine St Springfield, IL	2.0	2.0	1250	$1,200	$0.96	43d	1	0.57mi
525 E Pine St Unit 4 Springfield, IL	2.0	2.0	1250	$1,200	$0.96	21d	1	0.57mi
400 E Jefferson St Springfield, IL	2.0	1.0	1420	$1,220	$0.86	43d	1	0.60mi
1104 S 11th St Unit A Springfield, IL	3.0	1.0	1200	$1,000	$0.83	43d	1	0.65mi
1600 S 6th St Unit 1 Springfield, IL	3.0	2.0	1100	$1,250	$1.14	21d	1	0.67mi
1726 S 6th St Springfield, IL	3.0	1.5	1408	$1,500	$1.07	43d	1	0.77mi
922 Governor St Springfield, IL	3.0	1.0	1682	$1,200	$0.71	43d	1	0.86mi
1933 S 2nd St Springfield, IL	4.0	2.0	1433	$1,400	$0.98	43d	1	1.01mi
1213 E Ash St Springfield, IL	3.0	2.0	1861	$2,030	$1.09	21d	1	1.21mi
2257 S 10th St Springfield, IL	2.0	1.0	1100	$1,150	$1.05	43d	1	1.37mi
1929 E Spruce St Springfield, IL	3.0	1.0	1500	$1,300	$0.87	43d	1	1.42mi
2328 S 10th St Springfield, IL	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,200	$1.09	43d	1	1.47mi
401 W Elliott Ave Unit A Springfield, IL	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,300	$1.18	43d	1	1.47mi

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   remarks 687-char remark
7. 2026-06-14
   listed $120,000 Active 8 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,829 · $152/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,277 · $190/mo
• Expected delta: +$447/yr (+$37/mo · 24.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,892
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,722
• − Property taxes: −$1,829
• − Insurance: −$600
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,271
• − Management: −$1,271
• − Depreciation: −$3,491
• Taxable income: $707
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$170
• After-tax cash flow: $2,404/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Springfield SD 186
• NCES district ID: 1737080
• Math proficiency: 17% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 22% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $43,744
• Composite: 16.89/100
• National rank: #9142
• State rank: #438 of 620 in IL

Livability — Springfield

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #122
• US rank: #2138

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Springfield, IL
• County: Sangamon County · 115,414 people
• City population: 59,955
• Metro: Springfield, IL
• Population (ZIP): 40,046
• Household income: $69,976
• Rent vs Own: 38.0% rent · 62.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1529.0

Population outlook (Sangamon County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 198,317 people
• By 2030: 196,127 · -1.1%
• By 2040: 188,664 · -4.9%
• By 2050: 179,624 · -9.4%
• By 2075: 155,027 · -21.8%
• By 2100: 122,588 · -38.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (74%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 74% Black 15% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 4%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada, China, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sangamon

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.6% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -9.3pp toward R · 2008: 4.4pp · 2024: -5.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+5.0 2020: R+4.4 2016: R+9.4 2012: R+8.7 2008: D+4.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -70.79%
• Current HPI: 156.7086
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.32%
• Metro: Springfield, IL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.59%
• F500 in state: 60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	4	$201B
▸Consumer Goods	4	$87B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$64B
▸Healthcare	2	$55B
▸Retail / Pharmacy	1	$148B
▸Agriculture / Food	1	$86B

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,829 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.