1207 W Mcnichols Rd Rd · Highland Park, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$122,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
THIS HOME IS UNIQUE COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME IN EXTREMLY GOOD CONDITION . i HOME YOU WILL FULL RIGHT AWAY IS INVESTMENT HOME WHERE SELLERS RESTRUCTURED THE HOME TO MAKE THIS HOME IDEAL FOR A FAMILY TO LIVE INBEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH THE HOME NEXT DOOR
Key facts
- 3,049 sq ft lot
- Built 1917
- Listed 224 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $122k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $122k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 14.2% in Highland Park — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#214 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,644/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1192% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $843 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 224 days — a 12% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 224 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.69%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $174,657
- List price
- $122,000
- Delta
- -30.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16844 Inverness St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,130 (+1%) | 13mo | $198,000 | $93 | 67 |
| 16194 Princeton St | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 2,132 (+1%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $75 | 61 |
| 16147 Normandy St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,082 (-1%) | 2mo | $189,000 | $91 | 60 |
| 16532 Parkside St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,097 (-1%) | 3mo | $223,850 | $107 | 57 |
| 16875 Normandy St | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 | 2,253 (+7%) | 11mo | $205,000 | $91 | 54 |
| 55 Moss St | 0.74mi | 4/1.5 | 2,094 (-1%) | 10mo | $204,000 | $97 | 54 |
| 16125 Linwood St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,927 (-9%) | 1mo | $178,900 | $93 | 46 |
| 36 Louise St | 0.67mi | 4/2.5 | 2,339 (+11%) | 1mo | $58,000 | $25 | 44 |
| 16570 Princeton St | 0.59mi | 4/1.5 | 1,839 (-13%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $73 | 42 |
| 16219 Normandy St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,860 (-12%) | 10mo | $162,000 | $87 | 38 |
| 16634 Parkside St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 2,323 (+10%) | 12mo | $162,000 | $70 | 38 |
| 161 Eason St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,848 (-12%) | 8mo | $138,000 | $75 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $5,122
- Equity at exit
- $18,191
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $36,693
- Equity at exit
- $10,548
Cash invested: $34,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48203
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Active inventory
- 216
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,644 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$640
- Tax from tax record
- −$218 /mo · $2,618/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$345
- Net cashflow
- $390
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,500
- Closing costs
- $3,660
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 Geneva St Highland Park, MI | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1920 | $1,450 | $0.76 | 10d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 16503 Linwood St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2415 | $1,800 | $0.75 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 15537 Normandy St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2626 | $1,400 | $0.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $122,000 Active 224 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $122,000 Active 223 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $122,000 Active 222 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $122,000 Active 221 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $122,000 Active 219 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $122,000 Active 215 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $122,000 Active 214 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $122,000 Active 213 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $122,000 Active 210 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $122,000 Active 209 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $122,000 Active 208 DOM
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2026-06-02remarks 385-char remark
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2026-06-01days on market $122,000 Active 207 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $122,000 Active 206 DOM
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2026-05-12price $122,000 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
THIS HOME IS UNIQUE COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME IN EXTREMLY GOOD CONDITION . i HOME YOU WILL FULL RIGHT AWAY IS INVESTMENT HOME WHERE SELLERS RESTRUCTURED THE HOME TO MAKE THIS HOME IDEAL FOR A FAMILY TO LIVE INBEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH THE HOME NEXT DOOR
-
2026-05-11price $122,000 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
THIS HOME IS UNIQUE COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME IN EXTREMLY GOOD CONDITION . i HOME YOU WILL FULL RIGHT AWAY IS INVESTMENT HOME WHERE SELLERS RESTRUCTURED THE HOME TO MAKE THIS HOME IDEAL FOR A FAMILY TO LIVE INBEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH THE HOME NEXT DOOR
-
2026-05-11price $122,000
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
THIS HOME IS UNIQUE COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME IN EXTREMLY GOOD CONDITION . i HOME YOU WILL FULL RIGHT AWAY IS INVESTMENT HOME WHERE SELLERS RESTRUCTURED THE HOME TO MAKE THIS HOME IDEAL FOR A FAMILY TO LIVE INBEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH THE HOME NEXT DOOR
-
2026-03-28price $130,000 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
THIS HOME IS UNIQUE COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME IN EXTREMLY GOOD CONDITION . i HOME YOU WILL FULL RIGHT AWAY IS INVESTMENT HOME WHERE SELLERS RESTRUCTURED THE HOME TO MAKE THIS HOME IDEAL FOR A FAMILY TO LIVE INBEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH THE HOME NEXT DOOR
-
2026-03-27price $130,000 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
THIS HOME IS UNIQUE COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME IN EXTREMLY GOOD CONDITION . i HOME YOU WILL FULL RIGHT AWAY IS INVESTMENT HOME WHERE SELLERS RESTRUCTURED THE HOME TO MAKE THIS HOME IDEAL FOR A FAMILY TO LIVE INBEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH THE HOME NEXT DOOR
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2026-03-27price $130,000
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
THIS HOME IS UNIQUE COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME IN EXTREMLY GOOD CONDITION . i HOME YOU WILL FULL RIGHT AWAY IS INVESTMENT HOME WHERE SELLERS RESTRUCTURED THE HOME TO MAKE THIS HOME IDEAL FOR A FAMILY TO LIVE INBEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH THE HOME NEXT DOOR
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2026-01-30price $136,900 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
THIS HOME IS UNIQUE COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME IN EXTREMLY GOOD CONDITION . i HOME YOU WILL FULL RIGHT AWAY IS INVESTMENT HOME WHERE SELLERS RESTRUCTURED THE HOME TO MAKE THIS HOME IDEAL FOR A FAMILY TO LIVE INBEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH THE HOME NEXT DOOR
-
2026-01-29price $136,900 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
THIS HOME IS UNIQUE COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME IN EXTREMLY GOOD CONDITION . i HOME YOU WILL FULL RIGHT AWAY IS INVESTMENT HOME WHERE SELLERS RESTRUCTURED THE HOME TO MAKE THIS HOME IDEAL FOR A FAMILY TO LIVE INBEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH THE HOME NEXT DOOR
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2026-01-29price $136,900
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
THIS HOME IS UNIQUE COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME IN EXTREMLY GOOD CONDITION . i HOME YOU WILL FULL RIGHT AWAY IS INVESTMENT HOME WHERE SELLERS RESTRUCTURED THE HOME TO MAKE THIS HOME IDEAL FOR A FAMILY TO LIVE INBEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH THE HOME NEXT DOOR
-
2025-11-06$139,900 Active 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
THIS HOME IS UNIQUE COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME IN EXTREMLY GOOD CONDITION . i HOME YOU WILL FULL RIGHT AWAY IS INVESTMENT HOME WHERE SELLERS RESTRUCTURED THE HOME TO MAKE THIS HOME IDEAL FOR A FAMILY TO LIVE INBEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH THE HOME NEXT DOOR
-
2025-11-06$139,900 Active 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
THIS HOME IS UNIQUE COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME IN EXTREMLY GOOD CONDITION . i HOME YOU WILL FULL RIGHT AWAY IS INVESTMENT HOME WHERE SELLERS RESTRUCTURED THE HOME TO MAKE THIS HOME IDEAL FOR A FAMILY TO LIVE INBEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH THE HOME NEXT DOOR
-
2025-11-06$139,900 Active
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
THIS HOME IS UNIQUE COMPLETLY UPDATED 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME IN EXTREMLY GOOD CONDITION . i HOME YOU WILL FULL RIGHT AWAY IS INVESTMENT HOME WHERE SELLERS RESTRUCTURED THE HOME TO MAKE THIS HOME IDEAL FOR A FAMILY TO LIVE INBEING SOLD AS A PACKAGE WITH THE HOME NEXT DOOR
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2023-07-31soldstatus $116,250
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,618 · $218/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,618 · $218/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,725
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,834
- − Property taxes
- −$2,618
- − Insurance
- −$610
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,578
- − Management
- −$1,578
- − Depreciation
- −$3,549
- Taxable income
- $2,958
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$710
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,968/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Highland Park
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #214
- US rank
- #5271
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Highland Park, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,049
- Household income
- $38,404
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1192.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.13%
- Current HPI
- 297.0176
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+4.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $122,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $122,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $122,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $130,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $130,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $136,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-29 Price Changed $136,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-29 Price Changed $136,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-11-06 Listed $139,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-11-06 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-06 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $116,250 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,618 · -18.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…