Duplex
266 S Main St · Nichols, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Price Improvement! Investor Special & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; 2-Family Home with Strong ARV Potential 266 S Main St, Nichols, NY & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; Don & acirc; & euro; & trade; t miss this 2,600 sq ft multi-family opportunity with major upside! This 2-unit property features separate electric meters, making it ideal for rental income, house hacking, or a full renovation resale. The home offers generous living space across both units and includes a ~600 sq ft basement with dirt/stone flooring for storage and utility access. ?? Fixer-upper & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; Sold As-Is Property will require significant repairs, including a leaky
Key facts
- Dirt stone flooring
- 2 family home
- Convenient location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $642/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#908 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Tioga Central School District (rural): math 51% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 590 in NY (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 139 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
- Tioga County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 76.51%
- DSCR
- 4.40
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.87% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 78.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.49×
- Total profit
- $94,393
- Equity at exit
- $37,472
- IRR
- 77.6%
- Equity multiple
- 11.35×
- Total profit
- $217,421
- Equity at exit
- $60,850
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13812
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,402 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$134 /mo · $1,609/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$504
- Net cashflow
- $1,283
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,402 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,201 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,201 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,402 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-13status Under Contract
-
2026-05-12$75,000 Active
-
2015-08-10$45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,609 · $134/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,609 · $134/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,824
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,609
- − Insurance
- −$1,042
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,306
- − Management
- −$2,306
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $15,179
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,643
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,758/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tioga Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628710
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,082
- Composite
- 46.16/100
- National rank
- #2500
- State rank
- #322 of 590 in NY
Livability — Nichols
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #908
- US rank
- #17764
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Nichols, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,313
Population outlook (Tioga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,155 people
- By 2030
- 42,801 · -5.2%
- By 2040
- 37,960 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 33,071 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 24,144 · -46.5%
- By 2100
- 16,545 · -63.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tioga
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.9) · D 38.6% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.2pp · 2024: -22.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.9 2020: R+20.6 2016: R+27.6 2012: R+15.1 2008: R+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.87%
- Current HPI
- 272.2293
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+66.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — FSBO.com
- 2026-05-12 Listed $75,000 FSBO.com
- 2015-08-10 Listed $45,000 GBAOR
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,609 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…