CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
9071 3rd Ave
D+ Composite 45.38
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.1/30.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

9071 3rd Ave · Jacksonville, FL 32208
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 850 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 91 Days on market
Built 1966 4,791 sqft lot Est $91k · 37% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a great rental? Nestled in north Jacksonville, this home is minutes to I-95, downtown, and airport. This low maintenance rental is perfect for any new or seasoned investor looking to add to their portfolio. Tenant occupied until may 2022. 11% cap.

Key facts

  • Large driveway
  • Private backyard
  • Major updates

Tags

PRIVATE BACKYARDLARGE DRIVEWAYMAJOR UPDATES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Septic tank; Cable available; Electricity connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Used as a single-family home
  • Exterior features: Lot of about 0.11 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Central heating; Central air conditioning

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $156 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,659 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
7.79%
Cash-on-cash
5.35%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$90,950
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9135 5th Ave 0.12mi 3/1.0 896 (+5%) 1mo $80,500 $90 84
9152 6th Ave 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-7%) 4mo $119,000 $150 71
9058 Jefferson Ave 0.26mi 3/1.0 936 (+10%) 0mo $94,250 $101 71
8974 Jackson Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 808 (-5%) 2mo $69,000 $85 65
9043 8th Ave 0.24mi 3/1.0 952 (+12%) 10mo $111,500 $117 60
9346 10th Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (+2%) 12mo $124,000 $144 60
9230 4th Ave 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 752 (-12%) 12mo $36,000 $48 57
2140 Jayson Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 768 (-10%) 3mo $82,000 $107 56
8728 1st Ave 0.41mi 3/1.0 972 (+14%) 9mo $35,000 $36 49
8726 4th Ave 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 952 (+12%) 10mo $85,000 $89 48
9703 Campus Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 760 (-11%) 6mo $90,000 $118 42
9742 Highland Ave N 0.67mi 3/2.0 960 (+13%) 9mo $110,000 $115 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.7%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-14,320
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
-8.1%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-15,184
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32208

Home prices YoY
-33.6%
Rents YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
291
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,395 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$239 /mo · $2,870/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$156

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,198
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9017 6th Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1038 $1,098 $1.06 23d 1 0.16mi
9050 7th Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 896 $1,485 $1.66 23d 1 0.23mi
9131 Jefferson Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 910 $1,350 $1.48 4d 1 0.30mi
9248 9th Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 646 $995 $1.54 23d 1 0.40mi
8663 5th Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,045 $1.45 23d 1 0.44mi
8642 2nd Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1074 $1,245 $1.16 1d 1 0.47mi
9346 10th Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 985 $1,825 $1.85 23d 1 0.50mi
8617 3rd Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1048 $1,200 $1.15 10d 1 0.51mi
2389 Hilly Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 908 $1,650 $1.82 23d 1 0.64mi
1975 Rugby Rd Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 992 $1,100 $1.11 7d 1 0.83mi
8253 Lexington Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 910 $1,330 $1.46 23d 1 0.98mi
7927 Reid Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1055 $1,500 $1.42 23d 1 1.02mi
912 Saratoga Blvd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 930 $1,250 $1.34 23d 1 1.03mi
2534 Aubrey Ave Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 759 $1,250 $1.65 23d 1 1.15mi
2312 Palmdale St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 972 $1,231 $1.27 23d 1 1.16mi
1000 Island Point Dr Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 949 $1,684 $1.77 2d 9 1.27mi
10535 Lem Turner Rd Jacksonville, FL 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1012 $1,562 $1.54 3d 40 1.46mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 85 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $124,900 Active 82 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 80 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,900 Active 76 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 75 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 74 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 73 DOM
  13. 2026-05-19
    price $124,900
  14. 2026-04-04
    status Active
  15. 2026-03-21
    historical Active Under Contract
  16. 2026-03-18
    listed $125,000 Active
  17. 2021-08-24
    soldstatus $120,000
  18. 2021-08-11
    soldstatus $125,000 Sold 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Looking for a great rental? Nestled in north Jacksonville, this home is minutes to I-95, downtown, and airport. This low maintenance rental is perfect for any new or seasoned investor looking to add to their portfolio. Tenant occupied until may 2022. 11% cap.

  19. 2021-06-29
    status Pending 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Looking for a great rental? Nestled in north Jacksonville, this home is minutes to I-95, downtown, and airport. This low maintenance rental is perfect for any new or seasoned investor looking to add to their portfolio. Tenant occupied until may 2022. 11% cap.

  20. 2021-06-21
    listed $125,000 95-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Looking for a great rental? Nestled in north Jacksonville, this home is minutes to I-95, downtown, and airport. This low maintenance rental is perfect for any new or seasoned investor looking to add to their portfolio. Tenant occupied until may 2022. 11% cap.

  21. 2021-06-21
    historical 95-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Looking for a great rental? Nestled in north Jacksonville, this home is minutes to I-95, downtown, and airport. This low maintenance rental is perfect for any new or seasoned investor looking to add to their portfolio. Tenant occupied until may 2022. 11% cap.

  22. 2021-06-21
    listed $125,000 Active 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Looking for a great rental? Nestled in north Jacksonville, this home is minutes to I-95, downtown, and airport. This low maintenance rental is perfect for any new or seasoned investor looking to add to their portfolio. Tenant occupied until may 2022. 11% cap.

  23. 2019-05-14
    soldstatus $88,000
  24. 2019-05-08
    soldstatus $88,000 Sold
  25. 2019-04-17
    status Pending
  26. 2019-03-14
    price $89,500
  27. 2019-01-05
    price $95,000
  28. 2018-09-24
    listed $97,000 Active
  29. 2018-06-08
    soldstatus $34,500
  30. 2018-06-06
    soldstatus $34,500 Sold
  31. 2018-05-25
    status Pending
  32. 2018-05-23
    listed $38,900 Active
  33. 1987-04-01
    soldstatus $28,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,870 · $239/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,870 · $239/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 26% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,742
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$2,870
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,339
− Management
−$1,339
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable loss
−$61
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$15
After-tax cash flow
$1,887/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
32,699
Household income
$41,324
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
1765.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 77% White 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.56%
Current HPI
217.9706
Rent YoY
▼ -1.36%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+338.2% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $124,900 realMLS
  • 2026-04-04 Relisted realMLS
  • 2026-03-21 Contingent realMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $125,000 realMLS
  • 2021-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2021-08-11 Sold (MLS) $125,000 realMLS
  • 2021-06-29 Pending realMLS
  • 2021-06-21 Listed $125,000 realMLS
  • 2021-06-21 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2021-06-21 Listed $125,000 realMLS
  • 2019-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
  • 2019-05-08 Sold (MLS) $88,000 realMLS
  • 2019-04-17 Pending realMLS
  • 2019-03-14 Price Changed $89,500 realMLS
  • 2019-01-05 Price Changed $95,000 realMLS
  • 2018-09-24 Listed $97,000 realMLS
  • 2018-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $34,500 Public Records
  • 2018-06-06 Sold (MLS) $34,500 realMLS
  • 2018-05-25 Pending realMLS
  • 2018-05-23 Listed $38,900 realMLS
  • 1987-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+22.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,870 · +12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…