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95 126th Ave NW
D Composite 42.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

95 126th Ave NW · Coon Rapids, MN 55448
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 988 sqft · Condo public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1988 $329/mo HOA · 17% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CHARMING, WELL MAINTAINED HOME WITH MANY UPDATES, READY TO MOVE IN AND STOP PAYING RENT. ALL APPLIANCES INCLUDED, WOOD BURNING FIREPLACE IN LIVING ROOM. PRICED TO SELL, CALL FOR YOUR SHOWING TODAY!

Key facts

  • Walk in closet
  • White cabinetry
  • Upstairs laundry

Tags

WOOD BURNING FIREPLACESTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESWHITE CABINETRYUPSTAIRS LAUNDRYWALK IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished living area: 987 square feet; Main level finished area: 494 square feet; Common road frontage on paved, public-maintained city streets
  • HOA & community: Community Association Group, Inc. HOA; Monthly HOA fee of $329; HOA covers hazard insurance, lawn care, grounds maintenance, professional management, and snow removal

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener (1-car); Asphalt driveway
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Electric with circuit breakers; Natural gas
  • Home design: Attached residential property; Two levels; Entry on main level
  • Construction: Block construction; Roof age 8 years or newer; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Stucco exterior; Patio; Light tree coverage; Zero lot line

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms (both on upper level)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level); One half bathroom (main floor)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Fireplace provides supplemental heat
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Kitchen window; Natural woodwork; Patio; In-ground sprinkler; Walk-in closet; Fireplace in living room (wood burning)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup (upper level); Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-29 ($-346/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $180k (2.8% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $180k (2.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.8% in Coon Rapids — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#12 in MN, #390 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D.
  • Anoka-Hennepin Public School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #71 of 301 in MN (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Sand Creek Elementary (math 60% / reading 55%, grade C+, #261 of 857 statewide, top 31%, 601 students, 52% FRL); Northdale Middle (math 40% / reading 55%, grade C-, #93 of 258 statewide, top 37%, 1,274 students, 46% FRL); Blaine High School (math 46% / reading 67%, grade C, #77 of 471 statewide, top 17%, 2,969 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 24% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,083 units permitted in Anoka County in 2024 (134 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Anoka County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $90k; list at $185k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $179,909 (2.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
6.11%
Cash-on-cash
-0.67%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.3%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-31,624
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
-9.0%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-29,130
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55448

Home prices YoY
-27.6%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,913 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$164 /mo · $1,968/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$329
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$-29

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,950
Max offer price $179,909
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $76 -5% $24 +0% $-29 +5% $-81 +10% $-134
Rent -10% $-180 -5% $-104 +0% $-29 +5% $47 +10% $122
Rate -1.0pp $64 -0.5pp $18 base $-29 +0.5pp $-77 +1.0pp $-126

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
370 125th Ave NE Blaine, MN 1.0 1.0 929 $2,188 $2.36 0d 18 0.53mi
12373 Oak Park Blvd NE Blaine, MN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1023 $1,776 $1.74 0d 1 1.26mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$329 · $3,948/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    historical Contingent - Inspection
  2. 2026-05-20
    listed $185,000 Active
  3. 2008-09-05
    soldstatus $90,000 197-char remark
    Show marketing remark (197 chars)

    CHARMING, WELL MAINTAINED HOME WITH MANY UPDATES, READY TO MOVE IN AND STOP PAYING RENT. ALL APPLIANCES INCLUDED, WOOD BURNING FIREPLACE IN LIVING ROOM. PRICED TO SELL, CALL FOR YOUR SHOWING TODAY!

  4. 2008-08-04
    historical 197-char remark
    Show marketing remark (197 chars)

    CHARMING, WELL MAINTAINED HOME WITH MANY UPDATES, READY TO MOVE IN AND STOP PAYING RENT. ALL APPLIANCES INCLUDED, WOOD BURNING FIREPLACE IN LIVING ROOM. PRICED TO SELL, CALL FOR YOUR SHOWING TODAY!

  5. 2008-07-17
    listed $92,000 197-char remark
    Show marketing remark (197 chars)

    CHARMING, WELL MAINTAINED HOME WITH MANY UPDATES, READY TO MOVE IN AND STOP PAYING RENT. ALL APPLIANCES INCLUDED, WOOD BURNING FIREPLACE IN LIVING ROOM. PRICED TO SELL, CALL FOR YOUR SHOWING TODAY!

  6. 2008-06-15
    historical
  7. 2008-04-22
    listed $114,900
  8. 2008-04-21
    historical
  9. 2007-11-27
    listed $125,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,968 · $164/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,020 · $168/mo
Expected delta
+$52/yr (+$4/mo · 2.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,958
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$1,968
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,837
− Management
−$1,837
− HOA
−$3,948
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$3,301
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$792
After-tax cash flow
$446/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anoka-Hennepin Public School District
NCES district ID
2703180
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$73,837
Composite
46.7/100
National rank
#2400
State rank
#71 of 301 in MN

Livability — Coon Rapids

Score
86/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#390

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Coon Rapids, MN
County
Anoka County · 277,116 people
City population
63,468
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
29,005
Household income
$103,461
Rent vs Own
15.9% rent · 84.1% own
Severe rent burden
221.0

Population outlook (Anoka County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
375,223 people
By 2030
387,850 · +3.4%
By 2040
407,239 · +8.5%
By 2050
417,541 · +11.3%
By 2075
448,447 · +19.5%
By 2100
464,954 · +23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 8% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 13% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Anoka

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.0% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: -4.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+9.7 2012: R+2.6 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.29%
Current HPI
254.7687
Rent YoY
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+46.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $185,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-09-05 Sold (MLS) $90,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-08-04 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-07-17 Listed $92,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-06-15 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-04-22 Listed $114,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-04-21 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-11-27 Listed $125,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+8.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,968 · +17.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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