18875 La Hwy 22 · French Settlement, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.92%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Situated on 1.5 acres near the intersection of Hwy 22 & 16 and the Diversion Canal, this well-appointed property offers a blend of space, comfort, and functionality. The open-concept floor plan features a spacious family room anchored by a bricked-in, wood-burning fireplace, creating an inviting atmosphere ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The galley-style kitchen is thoughtfully designed with abundant cabinetry, ample counter space, and a generously sized breakfast bar suited for casual dining. The home includes three well-proportioned bedrooms, highlighted by a primary suite with a private en suite bath, as well as a large walk-in laundry room for added convenience. Outdoors, the property is further enhanced by two substantial storage buildings, providing ample space for equipment, recreational vehicles, or hobby use.
Key facts
- Galley-style kitchen
- Abundant cabinetry
- 1.5 acres
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Has carport
- Home design: Detached single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Brick exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Lot approximately 1.5 acres; Lot dimensions about 117 x 556
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 partial bathroom
- Interior features: Fireplace with masonry surround; Central heating; Central air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
- Recommended offer: $218k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.2% in French Settlement — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#293 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, schools A-, housing A-; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Livingston Parish (suburban): math 40% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 98 in LA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 794 units permitted in Livingston Parish in 2024 (99 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Livingston County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $164k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.42%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $365,696
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -38.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18104 Bayou Pierre Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,651 (-2%) | 0mo | $365,000 | $221 | 65 |
| 12361 Home Port Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,682 (-0%) | 8mo | $394,900 | $235 | 56 |
| 18080 Bayou Pierre Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,689 (-0%) | 16mo | $300,000 | $178 | 52 |
| 12756 St Lucia Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,616 (-4%) | 21mo | $325,000 | $201 | 49 |
| 12764 St Lucia Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 | 1,888 (+12%) | 10mo | $365,900 | $194 | 49 |
| 12433 Home Port Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,573 (-7%) | 10mo | $362,500 | $230 | 46 |
| 18068 Bayou Pierre Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,558 (-8%) | 19mo | $345,000 | $221 | 36 |
| 19111 La Hwy 22 | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,456 (-14%) | 23mo | $177,900 | $122 | 36 |
| 18044 Bayou Pierre Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 | 1,538 (-9%) | 22mo | $335,000 | $218 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-28,601
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-14,240
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70449
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,449 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,373/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$514
- Net cashflow
- $120
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $248 | -5% $184 | +0% $120 | +5% $57 | +10% $-7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-73 | -5% $24 | +0% $120 | +5% $217 | +10% $314 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $234 | -0.5pp $178 | base $120 | +0.5pp $62 | +1.0pp $3 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12811 N St Croix Ct Maurepas, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1757 | $3,000 | $1.71 | 15d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 18076 Bayou Pierre Dr Maurepas, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $2,300 | $1.46 | 15d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 12386 River Highlands Dr Unit K Saint Amant, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1177 | $1,400 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 0.77mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $225,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $225,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $225,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $225,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $225,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $225,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $225,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $225,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $225,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-02$225,000 Active 850-char remark
Show marketing remark (850 chars)
Situated on 1.5 acres near the intersection of Hwy 22 & 16 and the Diversion Canal, this well-appointed property offers a blend of space, comfort, and functionality. The open-concept floor plan features a spacious family room anchored by a bricked-in, wood-burning fireplace, creating an inviting atmosphere ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The galley-style kitchen is thoughtfully designed with abundant cabinetry, ample counter space, and a generously sized breakfast bar suited for casual dining. The home includes three well-proportioned bedrooms, highlighted by a primary suite with a private en suite bath, as well as a large walk-in laundry room for added convenience. Outdoors, the property is further enhanced by two substantial storage buildings, providing ample space for equipment, recreational vehicles, or hobby use.
-
2026-05-02$225,000 Active 852-char remark
Show marketing remark (850 chars)
Situated on 1.5 acres near the intersection of Hwy 22 & 16 and the Diversion Canal, this well-appointed property offers a blend of space, comfort, and functionality. The open-concept floor plan features a spacious family room anchored by a bricked-in, wood-burning fireplace, creating an inviting atmosphere ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The galley-style kitchen is thoughtfully designed with abundant cabinetry, ample counter space, and a generously sized breakfast bar suited for casual dining. The home includes three well-proportioned bedrooms, highlighted by a primary suite with a private en suite bath, as well as a large walk-in laundry room for added convenience. Outdoors, the property is further enhanced by two substantial storage buildings, providing ample space for equipment, recreational vehicles, or hobby use.
-
2021-01-11soldstatus $163,500
-
2021-01-07price $163,500
-
2021-01-07soldstatus Sold
-
2020-08-26status Pending
-
2020-08-18$160,000 Active
-
2020-08-18$163,500
-
2014-09-12soldstatus
-
2014-09-12soldstatus $150,000
-
2014-06-06$155,000
-
2014-06-06$155,000
-
2014-06-06$155,000
-
2014-06-06$155,000
-
2013-01-14$174,000
-
2013-01-14$174,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,373 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,373 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 92% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,392
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$1,373
- − Insurance
- −$6,244
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,351
- − Management
- −$2,351
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$2,077
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$498
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,942/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Livingston Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201020
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,755
- Composite
- 40.07/100
- National rank
- #3811
- State rank
- #13 of 98 in LA
Livability — French Settlement
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #293
- US rank
- #20743
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,005
Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 158,511 people
- By 2030
- 168,241 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 186,252 · +17.5%
- By 2050
- 201,516 · +27.1%
- By 2075
- 231,217 · +45.9%
- By 2100
- 241,697 · +52.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Native American 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 21% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, China
Political lean MEDSL · Livingston
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+68.5) · D 15.1% · R 83.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -71.9pp · 2024: -68.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+68.5 2020: R+70.0 2016: R+72.5 2012: R+70.4 2008: R+71.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.15%
- Current HPI
- 110.6443
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+29.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Listed $225,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-05-02 Listed $225,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2021-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $163,500 Public Records
- 2021-01-07 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2021-01-07 Price Changed $163,500 GBRMLS
- 2020-08-26 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2020-08-18 Listed $163,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2020-08-18 Listed $160,000 GBRMLS
- 2014-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2014-09-12 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2014-06-06 Listed $155,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2014-06-06 Listed $155,000 GBRMLS
- 2014-06-06 Listed $155,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2014-06-06 Listed $155,000 GBRMLS
- 2013-01-14 Listed $174,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2013-01-14 Listed $174,000 GBRMLS
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2024): $1,373 · +13.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…