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206 S Hamilton St
C- Composite 52.5
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

206 S Hamilton St · Watertown, NY 13601
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,198 sqft · Townhouse · 120 Days on market
Built 1910 5,428 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment property with a steady income or live in one half & rent the other to off set your payment. 2 unit - 1 up - 1 down. Large 3 bedroom, 1 & 1/2 bath w/ washer dryer hookups downstairs. Freshly painted & new carpet. Front porch & enclosed mudd room off the back. Upstairs is a 2 bedroom 1 & 1/2 bath, open floor plan between kitchen & living room. Separate utilities, paved driveway w/ plenty of parking in the back.

Key facts

  • Bright living area
  • Off street parking
  • Front porch

Tags

CONVENIENT LOCATIONBRIGHT LIVING AREALARGE KITCHENFULL BASEMENTFRONT PORCHOFF STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property contains two separate units
  • Financial info: Owner pays snow removal and water for rental units; Operating expenses include snow removal and water/sewer for multi-unit property; Two rental units with separate gas and electric meters

Exterior

  • Parking: Common paved parking
  • Utilities: Electricity connected with circuit breakers; Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Two-story building; Resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Stone foundation; Built as existing structure
  • Exterior features: Covered porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchens in both units
  • Bedrooms: Two-bedroom unit (one unit); Three-bedroom unit (second unit)
  • Flooring: Carpet, hardwood, tile, vinyl and varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms and one half bathroom total across the property; Each unit has its own full bath; one unit also includes a half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Carpet, hardwood, tile, vinyl and varied flooring throughout; Full basement with sump pump
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup available; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 6.2% in Watertown — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#540 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A-, housing A-; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
  • Watertown City School District (urban): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #481 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.0%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $170k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $181,909 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.60%
Cash-on-cash
4.65%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$94,514
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
924 Academy St 0.06mi 6/2.0 2,272 (+3%) 8mo $258,000 $114 81
1200 Bronson St 0.47mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,352 (+7%) 6mo $102,000 $43 53
132 Central St 0.20mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,457 (+12%) 22mo $65,000 $26 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.6%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-7,848
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
11.1%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$59,755
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13601

Home prices YoY
-5.6%
Rents YoY
10.0%
Active inventory
223
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,023 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax est. 1.5%
$250 /mo · $2,998/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$425
Net cashflow
$217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,749
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $355 -5% $286 +0% $217 +5% $148 +10% $79
Rent -10% $57 -5% $137 +0% $217 +5% $297 +10% $377
Rate -1.0pp $318 -0.5pp $268 base $217 +0.5pp $165 +1.0pp $113

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $199,900 Active 120 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 119 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 118 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 117 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 116 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,900 Active 114 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $199,900 Active 113 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,900 Active 110 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,900 Active 109 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,900 Active 108 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    remarks 693-char remark
  12. 2026-06-05
    listed $199,900 Active 105 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,280
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$2,998
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,942
− Management
−$1,942
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$615
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$148
After-tax cash flow
$2,752/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Watertown City School District
NCES district ID
3630120
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 12.00%
Median HH income
$40,919
Composite
36.86/100
National rank
#4551
State rank
#481 of 590 in NY

Livability — Watertown

Score
68/100
State rank
#540
US rank
#9700

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A- Crime F Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Watertown, NY
County
Jefferson County · 47,417 people
City population
36,839
Metro
Watertown-Fort Drum, NY
Population (ZIP)
36,839
Household income
$58,791
Rent vs Own
51.4% rent · 48.6% own
Severe rent burden
1634.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
111,748 people
By 2030
109,370 · -2.1%
By 2040
103,828 · -7.1%
By 2050
98,523 · -11.8%
By 2075
91,422 · -18.2%
By 2100
78,214 · -30.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 7% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.6) · D 38.2% · R 61.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: -5.3pp · 2024: -23.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.6 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+22.4 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+5.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.86%
Current HPI
316.636
Rent YoY
▲ 9.96%
Metro
Watertown-Fort Drum, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+42.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Relisted CNYIS
  • 2026-04-13 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $199,900 CNYIS
  • 2021-01-21 Sold (MLS) $169,500 CNYIS
  • 2020-02-05 Listed $159,900 CNYIS
  • 2011-02-24 Sold (MLS) $134,000 CNYIS
  • 2009-11-15 Listed $139,900 CNYIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…