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2585 S Van Brocklyn Rd
C+ Composite 60.04
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.1/15.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

2585 S Van Brocklyn Rd · Freeport, IL 61032
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,432 sqft · SingleFamily · 8 Days on market
Built 1964 Est $135k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Make this home yours. This home needs some TLC. With a great vison it can be your forever home. Come and check it out. Custom built back in the 1960s. Nice backyard and in the county.

Key facts

  • Nice backyard
  • Custom built
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

CUSTOM BUILTNICE BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.8% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#302 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, commute F, employment F.
  • Pearl City CUSD 200 (rural): math 35% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #191 of 620 in IL (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 206 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Stephenson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stephenson County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $115,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.03%
Cash-on-cash
6.19%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$134,608
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2585 S Van Brocklyn Rd 0.00mi 3/1.5 1,432 (0%) 1mo $115,000 $80 99
2338 S Van Brocklyn Rd 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,492 (+4%) 16mo $139,900 $94 70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.7%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-7,989
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$6,934
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61032

Home prices YoY
-19.5%
Active inventory
206
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,310 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$218 /mo · $2,618/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$166

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,100
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $231 -5% $199 +0% $166 +5% $134 +10% $101
Rent -10% $63 -5% $114 +0% $166 +5% $218 +10% $270
Rate -1.0pp $224 -0.5pp $195 base $166 +0.5pp $136 +1.0pp $106

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    soldstatus $115,000 Closed 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Make this home yours. This home needs some TLC. With a great vison it can be your forever home. Come and check it out. Custom built back in the 1960s. Nice backyard and in the county.

  2. 2026-03-11
    status Pending 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Make this home yours. This home needs some TLC. With a great vison it can be your forever home. Come and check it out. Custom built back in the 1960s. Nice backyard and in the county.

  3. 2026-03-11
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Make this home yours. This home needs some TLC. With a great vison it can be your forever home. Come and check it out. Custom built back in the 1960s. Nice backyard and in the county.

  4. 2026-03-03
    listed $115,000 Active 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Make this home yours. This home needs some TLC. With a great vison it can be your forever home. Come and check it out. Custom built back in the 1960s. Nice backyard and in the county.

  5. 2026-03-03
    listed $115,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Make this home yours. This home needs some TLC. With a great vison it can be your forever home. Come and check it out. Custom built back in the 1960s. Nice backyard and in the county.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,618 · $218/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,618 · $218/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,726
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$2,618
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,258
− Management
−$1,258
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$229
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$55
After-tax cash flow
$1,938/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pearl City CUSD 200
NCES district ID
1731020
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$59,208
Composite
30.41/100
National rank
#6247
State rank
#191 of 620 in IL

Livability — Freeport

Score
72/100
State rank
#302
US rank
#5927

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
29,072

Population outlook (Stephenson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
41,802 people
By 2030
39,487 · -5.5%
By 2040
34,534 · -17.4%
By 2050
29,693 · -29.0%
By 2075
21,196 · -49.3%
By 2100
14,596 · -65.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stephenson

2024 margin
R (+19.4) · D 39.5% · R 58.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: 6.7pp · 2024: -19.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.4 2020: R+15.7 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+4.6 2008: D+6.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.75%
Current HPI
163.677
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Sold (MLS) $115,000 NWIAR
  • 2026-03-11 Pending NWIAR
  • 2026-03-11 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $115,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $115,000 NWIAR

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,618 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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