36 Ridgeway St · Vincentown, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 55.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$255,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located on a lovely, quiet street, within walking distance to the business district. This twin home has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. This property is a rehab. Home being sold in "as-is, where-is" condition, with Buyer being responsible for all repairs and/or certifications required by lender or township for Certificate of occupancy. This is a lender-owned property.
Key facts
- Solid foundation
- Functional layout
- Conveniently located
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership: Fee simple
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Semi-detached structure; Frame construction
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Permanent foundation; Above-grade living area (estimated 1,273 finished square feet); Year built (estimated)
- Exterior features: Sidewalks; Street lights; Deck(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level; Total of 6 rooms including living room, dining room, master bedroom, and two additional bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood and wood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Oil heating fuel
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Drywall walls and ceilings; Partial finished basement; Brick fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $255k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $255k).
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.5% in Vincentown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Rancocas Valley Regional High School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #236 of 472 in NJ (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $255k implies a 2476% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.72%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $252,054
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Brainerd St | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,237 (-3%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $202 | 78 |
| 112 Rancocas Rd | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,218 (-4%) | 5mo | $270,000 | $222 | 69 |
| 170 Mill St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,298 (+2%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $96 | 67 |
| 50 Pine St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,358 (+7%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $225 | 59 |
| 185 Rancocas Rd | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,382 (+9%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $112 | 59 |
| 184 Rancocas Rd | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+6%) | 6mo | $255,000 | $190 | 59 |
| 29 Regency Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 | 1,308 (+3%) | 6mo | $270,000 | $206 | 57 |
| 23 W Monroe St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,160 (-9%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $194 | 55 |
| 17 W Monroe St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,168 (-8%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $184 | 53 |
| 58 E Monroe St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,162 (-9%) | 7mo | $229,900 | $198 | 52 |
| 43 White St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,403 (+10%) | 6mo | $226,000 | $161 | 48 |
| 34 Parliament Dr | 0.68mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,120 (-12%) | 2mo | $320,000 | $286 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-27,537
- Equity at exit
- $38,021
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-17,294
- Equity at exit
- $22,048
Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08060
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,690 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,337
- Tax from tax record
- −$401 /mo · $4,806/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$565
- Net cashflow
- $281
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,750
- Closing costs
- $7,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 Broad St Unit 1 Mt Holly, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 1d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 209 Mill St Mount Holly, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1274 | $2,400 | $1.88 | 1d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 64 Regency Dr Mt Holly, NJ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1066 | $2,800 | $2.63 | 1d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 209 Front St Mount Holly, NJ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $4,950 | $3.30 | 1d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 302 Barrington Ct Mt Holly, NJ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1226 | $2,959 | $2.41 | 1d | 9 | 0.58mi |
| 1 Kirby Ct Mt Holly, NJ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1349 | $3,125 | $2.32 | 1d | 12 | 0.60mi |
| 144 Washington St Unit C Mt Holly, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $2,370 | $1.63 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3a Hunter Cir Eastampton Township, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 865 | $2,255 | $2.61 | 1d | 25 | 0.97mi |
| A1 Bentley Rd Mount Holly, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 922 | $2,075 | $2.25 | 1d | 24 | 0.98mi |
| 502 Bloomfield Dr Westampton, NJ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1666 | $4,950 | $2.97 | 1d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 12000 Hamilton Way Eastampton Township, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1100 | $2,894 | $2.63 | 1d | 10 | 1.24mi |
| 1401 Windmill Way Lumberton, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 947 | $2,315 | $2.44 | 1d | 29 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 576-char remark
-
2026-06-17$255,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,806 · $401/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,578 · $465/mo
- Expected delta
- +$772/yr (+$64/mo · 16.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 55% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,280
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,284
- − Property taxes
- −$4,806
- − Insurance
- −$1,275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,582
- − Management
- −$2,582
- − Depreciation
- −$7,418
- Taxable loss
- −$668
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$160
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,533/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rancocas Valley Regional High School District
- NCES district ID
- 3413620
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,992
- Composite
- 34.45/100
- National rank
- #5195
- State rank
- #236 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Vincentown
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Burlington County · 323,710 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,835
- Household income
- $109,292
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 562.0
Population outlook (Burlington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 453,425 people
- By 2030
- 452,359 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 445,033 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 431,760 · -4.8%
- By 2075
- 406,277 · -10.4%
- By 2100
- 364,732 · -19.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 25% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Burlington
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.6% · R 41.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+19.5 2016: D+14.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -156.50%
- Current HPI
- 296.564
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.42%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+507.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $255,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-01-16 Sold (MLS) $9,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-01-16 Sold (MLS) $9,900 TREND
- 2012-01-04 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-12-28 Listed $9,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-12-28 Listed $9,900 TREND
- 1986-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,806 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…