3755 Magnolia Ct · Gardendale, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful home with 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Master bath has garden tub, separate shower and a walk in closet. New floors in all rooms except Master. Fresh paint in all rooms. Spacious and updated. Family friendly neighborhood with community pool and several playgrounds. * LOT RENT IS REQUIRED. NEW OWNER MUST BE APPROVED BY PEACHTREE. Home may also be moved. * Agent is related to seller.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
- Built 2016
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: PEACH TREE; Lot number 3755
- Financial info: Garbage fee of $15 per month
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; 2-space carport
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Electric water heater; Underground utilities; Internet service available
- Home design: Existing construction; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Porch; Open deck; Storm shelter (public); Community pool (indoor) with perimeter fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Solid surface countertops; Convection oven; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Self-cleaning oven
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Two additional bedrooms on main level; Walk-in closets; Split-bedroom layout
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bathroom with separate shower and garden tub; Separate vanities
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Smooth ceilings; No additional built-in interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 34.8% vs local median 5.5% in Gardendale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#113 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Snow Rogers Elementary School (math 22% / reading 57%, grade F, #243 of 627 statewide, top 41%, 386 students, 52% FRL); Gardendale High School (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 1,047 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 34.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 101.64%
- DSCR
- 5.52
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $65,800
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3625 Ash Pl | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (0%) | 3mo | $66,000 | $47 | 94 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 5.82×
- Total profit
- $67,314
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.15×
- Total profit
- $155,786
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35071
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,934 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $748/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$406
- Net cashflow
- $1,183
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,218 | -5% $1,201 | +0% $1,183 | +5% $1,166 | +10% $1,149 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,031 | -5% $1,107 | +0% $1,183 | +5% $1,260 | +10% $1,336 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,209 | -0.5pp $1,196 | base $1,183 | +0.5pp $1,170 | +1.0pp $1,157 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2549 Ferguson Rd Gardendale, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2050 Pinehurst Dr Gardendale, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1514 | $1,595 | $1.05 | 4d | 1 | 0.96mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $49,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$49,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,214
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$748
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,857
- − Management
- −$1,857
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $14,255
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,421
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,780/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 17 photos
This home is in good condition with fresh paint and hardwood floors. It has a good curb appeal and is move-in ready.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and home value
- Both Replace the carpet in the bedrooms — Hardwood floors in living areas make the home more appealing
- Both Install new kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and home value ↑
- Both Replace the carpet in the bedrooms — Hardwood floors in living areas make the home more appealing ↑
- Both Install new kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Gardendale
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #113
- US rank
- #12225
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gardendale, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 17,288
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,288
- Household income
- $82,074
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 151.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 21% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.29%
- Current HPI
- 206.7447
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $49,900 Greater Alabama MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…