87-19 204th St Unit A68 · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 54.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Cash flow +4.3/30.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$228,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful 2 bedroom co-op now available! Maintenance includes gas, electric, and hot water for added value and convenience. Located in a wheelchair-accessible building with on-site laundry. Ideally situated near shopping and public transportation making everyday living easy and accessible. A great opportunity you don’t want to miss!
Key facts
- Near shopping
- On-site laundry
- Built 1950
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 700 (source: Other); Property condition listed as Actual; County: Queens
- HOA & community: Association fee includes electricity, gas, heat, hot water, sewer, snow removal, trash, and water
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking; No carport
- Utilities: Con-Edison electric service; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Stock cooperative; 6 total stories; Entry level on first floor
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (first floor)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; No attic; No basement (common basement access)
- Laundry & utility: Common basement utilities
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $228k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-610 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (0.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $214k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($214k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.47%
- DSCR
- 0.49
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -36.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.18×
- Total profit
- $-75,273
- Equity at exit
- $33,996
- IRR
- -49.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.78×
- Total profit
- $-113,396
- Equity at exit
- $19,713
Cash invested: $63,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11423
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,268 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,196
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$285 /mo · $3,420/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$826
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$476
- Net cashflow
- $-610
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,000
- Closing costs
- $6,840
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8737 Marengo St #1 Hollis, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,950 | $2.71 | 10d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 8827 208th St Queens Village, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,900 | $2.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 190-11 Hillside Ave Unit 304 Hollis, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 190-11 Hillside Ave Apt 202 Hollis, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,700 | $3.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 206-03 Jamaica Ave Unit 2ND Queens Village, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $2,696 | $4.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 214-83 Jamaica Ave Unit 2R Queens Village, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,100 | $3.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 73-49 188th St Unit 2 Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,000 | $3.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 311 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 13d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 404 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 2d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 201 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $2,700 | $3.70 | 2d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 177-18 Wexford Ter Unit 601 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $2,600 | $6.50 | 11d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 177-16 Wexford Ter Unit 401 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- watergaselectric
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $228,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $228,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $228,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $228,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $228,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $228,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $228,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $228,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $228,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $228,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $228,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-04-13$228,000 Active
-
2020-12-29historical
-
2020-08-29$239,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 54% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,211
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,772
- − Property taxes
- −$3,420
- − Insurance
- −$1,140
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,177
- − Management
- −$2,177
- − HOA
- −$9,912
- − Depreciation
- −$6,633
- Taxable loss
- −$11,019
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,645
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,679/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2-bedroom co-op requires moderate renovations, including new kitchen appliances, bathroom tiles, and landscaping improvements, to significantly boost its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen appliances — Old and worn, likely not functioning optimally.
- Major Bathroom tiles — Dated and in need of replacement.
- Minor Exterior brick — Weathered but not structurally compromised.
- Major Landscaping — Overgrown and in need of maintenance and new planting.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Replace kitchen appliances — Modern appliances would significantly improve the home's appeal and functionality.
- Both Replace bathroom tiles — New tiles would enhance the bathroom's appearance and functionality.
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing exterior would boost both resale and rental value.
- Both Paint living room and bedrooms — Fresh paint would brighten the interior and make the space more inviting.
- Both Replace old curtains — New curtains would improve the home's curb appeal and functionality.
- Both Clean and maintain HVAC system — A well-maintained HVAC system ensures comfort and energy efficiency, which is attractive to potential buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen appliances · Old and worn, likely not functioning optimally. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom tiles · Dated and in need of replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior brick · Weathered but not structurally compromised. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Landscaping · Overgrown and in need of maintenance and new planting. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $45,500–153,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Replace kitchen appliances — Modern appliances would significantly improve the home's appeal and functionality. ↑
- Both Replace bathroom tiles — New tiles would enhance the bathroom's appearance and functionality. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing exterior would boost both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Paint living room and bedrooms — Fresh paint would brighten the interior and make the space more inviting. ↑
- Both Replace old curtains — New curtains would improve the home's curb appeal and functionality. ↑
- Both Clean and maintain HVAC system — A well-maintained HVAC system ensures comfort and energy efficiency, which is attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,105
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.76)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 34% Asian 31% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 10% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 5% Danish 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 55% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -490.74%
- Current HPI
- 273.0152
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-5.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $228,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-29 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-08-29 Listed $239,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…