2082 Little John Rd · Melbourne, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,750
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
No cast iron! Fenced-in lot with tons of storage & extra space! Nearly 1,700 living sqft with a (2023) roof and a (2022) AC and 2 brand new mini-splits to keep the house ice cold! Features a 100 sqft slab foundation outbuilding, a 168 sqft shed, a screened-in front porch & a backyard roofed patio.
Key facts
- Outbuilding
- Shed
- Tons of storage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Southwest facing; Residential property
- Construction: Block and wood siding construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on 1 level
- Exterior features: Front porch; Patio; Screened porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air; Mini-split unit(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-154 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $243k (10.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (33.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $181k (33.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 332 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.45%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 12.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-58,061
- Equity at exit
- $40,221
- IRR
- -23.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.07×
- Total profit
- $-80,917
- Equity at exit
- $23,323
Cash invested: $75,530 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32935
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 332
- Price-to-rent
- 12.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,807 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,415
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $661/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $-154
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1 | -5% $-78 | +0% $-154 | +5% $-231 | +10% $-307 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-297 | -5% $-226 | +0% $-154 | +5% $-83 | +10% $-11 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-18 | -0.5pp $-86 | base $-154 | +0.5pp $-224 | +1.0pp $-295 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,438
- Closing costs
- $8,092
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2107 Little John Rd Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,600 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 2085 Nottingham Rd Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,845 | $2.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1900 Post Rd Melbourne, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 840 | $1,894 | $2.25 | 15d | 10 | 0.19mi |
| 2544 Coventry Rd Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3320 Rivercrest Dr Melbourne, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,506 | $1.51 | 14d | 7 | 1.17mi |
| 3135 Shady Dell Ln Melbourne, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 912 | $1,600 | $1.75 | 22d | 4 | 1.31mi |
| 3051 Savannah Way Melbourne, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 927 | $1,689 | $1.82 | 14d | 26 | 1.32mi |
| 4465 Preserve Dr Melbourne, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1027 | $2,087 | $2.03 | 15d | 13 | 1.36mi |
| 1440 Parkway Dr Unit 7A Melbourne, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,495 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1432 Parkway Dr Unit 6b Melbourne, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,495 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3150 N Harbor City Blvd #143 Melbourne, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1058 | $1,700 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2960 Clearlake Dr #3 Melbourne, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,650 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-05-22soldstatus $255,000 Closed 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
No cast iron! Fenced-in lot with tons of storage & extra space! Nearly 1,700 living sqft with a (2023) roof and a (2022) AC and 2 brand new mini-splits to keep the house ice cold! Features a 100 sqft slab foundation outbuilding, a 168 sqft shed, a screened-in front porch & a backyard roofed patio.
-
2026-05-22soldstatus $255,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
No cast iron! Fenced-in lot with tons of storage & extra space! Nearly 1,700 living sqft with a (2023) roof and a (2022) AC and 2 brand new mini-splits to keep the house ice cold! Features a 100 sqft slab foundation outbuilding, a 168 sqft shed, a screened-in front porch & a backyard roofed patio.
-
2026-05-04status Pending
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
No cast iron! Fenced-in lot with tons of storage & extra space! Nearly 1,700 living sqft with a (2023) roof and a (2022) AC and 2 brand new mini-splits to keep the house ice cold! Features a 100 sqft slab foundation outbuilding, a 168 sqft shed, a screened-in front porch & a backyard roofed patio.
-
2026-05-04historical Active Under Contract 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
No cast iron! Fenced-in lot with tons of storage & extra space! Nearly 1,700 living sqft with a (2023) roof and a (2022) AC and 2 brand new mini-splits to keep the house ice cold! Features a 100 sqft slab foundation outbuilding, a 168 sqft shed, a screened-in front porch & a backyard roofed patio.
-
2026-04-30price $269,750
-
2026-04-29price $269,750 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
No cast iron! Fenced-in lot with tons of storage & extra space! Nearly 1,700 living sqft with a (2023) roof and a (2022) AC and 2 brand new mini-splits to keep the house ice cold! Features a 100 sqft slab foundation outbuilding, a 168 sqft shed, a screened-in front porch & a backyard roofed patio.
-
2026-03-17price $279,900
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
No cast iron! Fenced-in lot with tons of storage & extra space! Nearly 1,700 living sqft with a (2023) roof and a (2022) AC and 2 brand new mini-splits to keep the house ice cold! Features a 100 sqft slab foundation outbuilding, a 168 sqft shed, a screened-in front porch & a backyard roofed patio.
-
2026-03-17price $279,900 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
No cast iron! Fenced-in lot with tons of storage & extra space! Nearly 1,700 living sqft with a (2023) roof and a (2022) AC and 2 brand new mini-splits to keep the house ice cold! Features a 100 sqft slab foundation outbuilding, a 168 sqft shed, a screened-in front porch & a backyard roofed patio.
-
2026-03-16status Active
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
No cast iron! Fenced-in lot with tons of storage & extra space! Nearly 1,700 living sqft with a (2023) roof and a (2022) AC and 2 brand new mini-splits to keep the house ice cold! Features a 100 sqft slab foundation outbuilding, a 168 sqft shed, a screened-in front porch & a backyard roofed patio.
-
2026-03-16status Active 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
No cast iron! Fenced-in lot with tons of storage & extra space! Nearly 1,700 living sqft with a (2023) roof and a (2022) AC and 2 brand new mini-splits to keep the house ice cold! Features a 100 sqft slab foundation outbuilding, a 168 sqft shed, a screened-in front porch & a backyard roofed patio.
-
2026-03-05status Pending
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
No cast iron! Fenced-in lot with tons of storage & extra space! Nearly 1,700 living sqft with a (2023) roof and a (2022) AC and 2 brand new mini-splits to keep the house ice cold! Features a 100 sqft slab foundation outbuilding, a 168 sqft shed, a screened-in front porch & a backyard roofed patio.
-
2026-03-05historical Active Under Contract 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
No cast iron! Fenced-in lot with tons of storage & extra space! Nearly 1,700 living sqft with a (2023) roof and a (2022) AC and 2 brand new mini-splits to keep the house ice cold! Features a 100 sqft slab foundation outbuilding, a 168 sqft shed, a screened-in front porch & a backyard roofed patio.
-
2026-02-16price $288,000
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
No cast iron! Fenced-in lot with tons of storage & extra space! Nearly 1,700 living sqft with a (2023) roof and a (2022) AC and 2 brand new mini-splits to keep the house ice cold! Features a 100 sqft slab foundation outbuilding, a 168 sqft shed, a screened-in front porch & a backyard roofed patio.
-
2026-02-16price $288,000 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
No cast iron! Fenced-in lot with tons of storage & extra space! Nearly 1,700 living sqft with a (2023) roof and a (2022) AC and 2 brand new mini-splits to keep the house ice cold! Features a 100 sqft slab foundation outbuilding, a 168 sqft shed, a screened-in front porch & a backyard roofed patio.
-
2026-02-05$298,000 Active 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
No cast iron! Fenced-in lot with tons of storage & extra space! Nearly 1,700 living sqft with a (2023) roof and a (2022) AC and 2 brand new mini-splits to keep the house ice cold! Features a 100 sqft slab foundation outbuilding, a 168 sqft shed, a screened-in front porch & a backyard roofed patio.
-
2026-02-05$298,000 Active
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
No cast iron! Fenced-in lot with tons of storage & extra space! Nearly 1,700 living sqft with a (2023) roof and a (2022) AC and 2 brand new mini-splits to keep the house ice cold! Features a 100 sqft slab foundation outbuilding, a 168 sqft shed, a screened-in front porch & a backyard roofed patio.
-
2025-11-25soldstatus $158,800
-
1992-08-01soldstatus $47,900
-
1984-04-01soldstatus $39,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $661 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,239 · $187/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,578/yr (+$132/mo · 238.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,689
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,110
- − Property taxes
- −$661
- − Insurance
- −$1,349
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,735
- − Management
- −$1,735
- − Depreciation
- −$7,847
- Taxable loss
- −$6,748
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,620
- After-tax cash flow
- $-231/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — Melbourne
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Melbourne, FL
- County
- Brevard County · 602,871 people
- City population
- 178,420
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,965
- Household income
- $64,588
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1747.0
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -185.48%
- Current HPI
- 308.7443
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.53%
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+539.1% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Sold (MLS) $255,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-22 Sold (MLS) $255,000 SCMLS
- 2026-05-04 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — SCMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $269,750 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $269,750 SCMLS
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $279,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $279,900 SCMLS
- 2026-03-16 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Relisted — SCMLS
- 2026-03-05 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Contingent — SCMLS
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $288,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $288,000 SCMLS
- 2026-02-05 Listed $298,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-05 Listed $298,000 SCMLS
- 2025-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $158,800 Public Records
- 1992-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $47,900 Public Records
- 1984-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $39,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $661 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…