88 Wilgrove Pl · World Golf Village, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- Cash flow +6.5/30.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- DSCR +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$389,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A beautifult three-year-old home for sale in Grade A school district Saint johns/St Augustine area. Amazing home near to Cul-de-sac with a spacious 3 bed, and 2-bathroom house in Trailmark Community, Saint Augustine, Florida. Amenities & Appliances included: Refrigerator, Washer & dryer, dishwasher, Stainless Steel Gas Range Stove with Oven and Built-In Microwave, kitchen Cabinets & Pantry for additional storage, An Island Kitchen Sink with Cabinets, Central Air conditioning system, Central heat, Stainless steel appliances, upgraded kitchen, upgraded bathrooms, Spacious Main bath includes a separate His and Her Closets. Clubhouse, Community club pool, Hot Tub/Spa, Children's Pool, Fitness Center, basketball courts, pickle ball courts, beach volleyball court, beautiful trails.
Key facts
- Washer and dryer
- Trailmark community
- Dishwasher
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $390k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-664 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $273k (30.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $275k (29.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $273k (30.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 3.0% in World Golf Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#168 in FL, #2,512 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1336 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($367k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.30%
- DSCR
- 0.68
- GRM
- 11.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $443,258
- List price
- $389,900
- Delta
- -12.04%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 Seasons Ct | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,811 (-3%) | 0mo | $380,000 | $210 | 83 |
| 476 Farmfield Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,860 (-0%) | 3mo | $395,000 | $212 | 69 |
| 177 Clarys Run | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,875 (+1%) | 3mo | $335,512 | $179 | 67 |
| 169 Clarys Run | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 1,957 (+5%) | 2mo | $390,000 | $199 | 58 |
| 182 Wrensong Pl | 0.65mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,943 (+4%) | 2mo | $431,880 | $222 | 52 |
| 610 Farmfield Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,968 (+6%) | 2mo | $405,000 | $206 | 47 |
| 172 Bluegrass Way | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,622 (-13%) | 2mo | $367,000 | $226 | 46 |
| 112 Wrensong Pl | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,106 (+13%) | 1mo | $440,085 | $209 | 44 |
| 573 Farmfield Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,622 (-13%) | 3mo | $352,500 | $217 | 43 |
| 618 Farmfield Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,626 (-13%) | 2mo | $385,000 | $237 | 42 |
| 168 Wrensong Pl | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,106 (+13%) | 3mo | $389,985 | $185 | 41 |
| 316 Wrensong Pl | 0.74mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,070 (+11%) | 2mo | $465,000 | $225 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -32.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.04×
- Total profit
- $-113,223
- Equity at exit
- $58,135
- IRR
- -60.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.68×
- Total profit
- $-182,954
- Equity at exit
- $33,711
Cash invested: $109,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32092
- Home prices YoY
- -32.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 1336
- Price-to-rent
- 11.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,751 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,045
- Tax from tax record
- −$622 /mo · $7,470/yr
- Insurance
- −$162
- HOA
- −$8
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$578
- Net cashflow
- $-664
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-444 | -5% $-554 | +0% $-664 | +5% $-775 | +10% $-885 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-882 | -5% $-773 | +0% $-664 | +5% $-556 | +10% $-447 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-468 | -0.5pp $-565 | base $-664 | +0.5pp $-765 | +1.0pp $-868 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $97,475
- Closing costs
- $11,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 280 Field Flower Way Saint Augustine, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1810 | $2,650 | $1.46 | 17d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 154 Farmfield Dr Saint Augustine, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $2,900 | $1.38 | 9d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 104 Charmer Trce Saint Augustine, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2500 | $2,700 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 46 Osprey Mills Ln Saint Augustine, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2385 | $2,500 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 244 Patina Pl Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2081 | $2,995 | $1.44 | 17d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 312 Clarys Run Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1864 | $2,300 | $1.23 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 253 Clarys Run Saint Augustine, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1957 | $2,600 | $1.33 | 22d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 112 Wrensong Pl Saint Augustine, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2106 | $2,800 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1417 Heather Ct Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2251 | $2,500 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $8 · $96/yr
- Likely covers
- gaspoolgym
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $389,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $389,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $389,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $389,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $389,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $389,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $389,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $389,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $389,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $389,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $389,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $389,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $389,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $389,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-17price $389,900 799-char remark
Show marketing remark (799 chars)
A beautifult three-year-old home for sale in Grade A school district Saint johns/St Augustine area. Amazing home near to Cul-de-sac with a spacious 3 bed, and 2-bathroom house in Trailmark Community, Saint Augustine, Florida. Amenities & Appliances included: Refrigerator, Washer & dryer, dishwasher, Stainless Steel Gas Range Stove with Oven and Built-In Microwave, kitchen Cabinets & Pantry for additional storage, An Island Kitchen Sink with Cabinets, Central Air conditioning system, Central heat, Stainless steel appliances, upgraded kitchen, upgraded bathrooms, Spacious Main bath includes a separate His and Her Closets. Clubhouse, Community club pool, Hot Tub/Spa, Children's Pool, Fitness Center, basketball courts, pickle ball courts, beach volleyball court, beautiful trails.
-
2026-04-14$395,000 Active 799-char remark
Show marketing remark (799 chars)
A beautifult three-year-old home for sale in Grade A school district Saint johns/St Augustine area. Amazing home near to Cul-de-sac with a spacious 3 bed, and 2-bathroom house in Trailmark Community, Saint Augustine, Florida. Amenities & Appliances included: Refrigerator, Washer & dryer, dishwasher, Stainless Steel Gas Range Stove with Oven and Built-In Microwave, kitchen Cabinets & Pantry for additional storage, An Island Kitchen Sink with Cabinets, Central Air conditioning system, Central heat, Stainless steel appliances, upgraded kitchen, upgraded bathrooms, Spacious Main bath includes a separate His and Her Closets. Clubhouse, Community club pool, Hot Tub/Spa, Children's Pool, Fitness Center, basketball courts, pickle ball courts, beach volleyball court, beautiful trails.
-
2025-09-11historical $2,345
-
2025-07-28price $2,345
-
2025-07-18$2,445
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,470 · $622/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,470 · $622/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,010
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,840
- − Property taxes
- −$7,470
- − Insurance
- −$1,950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,641
- − Management
- −$2,641
- − HOA
- −$96
- − Depreciation
- −$11,343
- Taxable loss
- −$14,970
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,593
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,381/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Johns
- NCES district ID
- 1201740
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,842
- Composite
- 64.31/100
- National rank
- #556
- State rank
- #2 of 73 in FL
Livability — World Golf Village
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #168
- US rank
- #2512
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- World Golf Village, FL
- County
- Saint Johns County · 301,599 people
- City population
- 48,288
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,071
- Household income
- $131,020
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 706.0
Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 303,941 people
- By 2030
- 342,590 · +12.7%
- By 2040
- 417,328 · +37.3%
- By 2050
- 487,011 · +60.2%
- By 2075
- 635,395 · +109.1%
- By 2100
- 717,469 · +136.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.26%
- Current HPI
- 259.732
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.08%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+15846.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $389,900 realMLS
- 2026-04-14 Listed $395,000 realMLS
- 2025-09-11 Rental Removed $2,345 NEFLMLS
- 2025-07-28 Price Changed $2,345 NEFLMLS
- 2025-07-18 Listed for Rent $2,445 NEFLMLS
Property tax history
+36.7%/yrLatest (2025): $7,470 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…