CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
88 Wilgrove Pl
D- Composite 37.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.9/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.5/30.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$389,900

88 Wilgrove Pl · World Golf Village, FL 32092
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,864 sqft · SingleFamily · 66 Days on market
Built 2022 $209/sqft · 12% below area Est $443k · 12% under $8/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A beautifult three-year-old home for sale in Grade A school district Saint johns/St Augustine area. Amazing home near to Cul-de-sac with a spacious 3 bed, and 2-bathroom house in Trailmark Community, Saint Augustine, Florida. Amenities & Appliances included: Refrigerator, Washer & dryer, dishwasher, Stainless Steel Gas Range Stove with Oven and Built-In Microwave, kitchen Cabinets & Pantry for additional storage, An Island Kitchen Sink with Cabinets, Central Air conditioning system, Central heat, Stainless steel appliances, upgraded kitchen, upgraded bathrooms, Spacious Main bath includes a separate His and Her Closets. Clubhouse, Community club pool, Hot Tub/Spa, Children's Pool, Fitness Center, basketball courts, pickle ball courts, beach volleyball court, beautiful trails.

Key facts

  • Washer and dryer
  • Trailmark community
  • Dishwasher

Tags

GRADE A SCHOOL DISTRICTCUL-DE-SACTRAILMARK COMMUNITYREFRIGERATORWASHER AND DRYERDISHWASHER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $390k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-664 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $273k (30.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $275k (29.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $273k (30.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 3.0% in World Golf Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#168 in FL, #2,512 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 1336 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($367k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $272,524 (30.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
4.25%
Cash-on-cash
-7.30%
DSCR
0.68
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$443,258
List price
$389,900
Delta
-12.04%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
41 Seasons Ct 0.14mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,811 (-3%) 0mo $380,000 $210 83
476 Farmfield Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,860 (-0%) 3mo $395,000 $212 69
177 Clarys Run 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,875 (+1%) 3mo $335,512 $179 67
169 Clarys Run 0.64mi 3/2.5 1,957 (+5%) 2mo $390,000 $199 58
182 Wrensong Pl 0.65mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,943 (+4%) 2mo $431,880 $222 52
610 Farmfield Dr 0.74mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,968 (+6%) 2mo $405,000 $206 47
172 Bluegrass Way 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,622 (-13%) 2mo $367,000 $226 46
112 Wrensong Pl 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,106 (+13%) 1mo $440,085 $209 44
573 Farmfield Dr 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,622 (-13%) 3mo $352,500 $217 43
618 Farmfield Dr 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,626 (-13%) 2mo $385,000 $237 42
168 Wrensong Pl 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,106 (+13%) 3mo $389,985 $185 41
316 Wrensong Pl 0.74mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,070 (+11%) 2mo $465,000 $225 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-32.5%
Equity multiple
-0.04×
Total profit
$-113,223
Equity at exit
$58,135
10-year hold
IRR
-60.7%
Equity multiple
-0.68×
Total profit
$-182,954
Equity at exit
$33,711

Cash invested: $109,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32092

Home prices YoY
-32.2%
Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
1336
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,751 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,045
Tax from tax record
$622 /mo · $7,470/yr
Insurance
$162
HOA
$8
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$578
Net cashflow
$-664

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,592
Max offer price $272,524
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-444 -5% $-554 +0% $-664 +5% $-775 +10% $-885
Rent -10% $-882 -5% $-773 +0% $-664 +5% $-556 +10% $-447
Rate -1.0pp $-468 -0.5pp $-565 base $-664 +0.5pp $-765 +1.0pp $-868

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$97,475
Closing costs
$11,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
280 Field Flower Way Saint Augustine, FL 4.0 3.0 1810 $2,650 $1.46 17d 1 0.25mi
154 Farmfield Dr Saint Augustine, FL 4.0 2.5 2100 $2,900 $1.38 9d 1 0.37mi
104 Charmer Trce Saint Augustine, FL 4.0 3.0 2500 $2,700 $1.08 25d 1 0.51mi
46 Osprey Mills Ln Saint Augustine, FL 4.0 2.5 2385 $2,500 $1.05 25d 1 0.51mi
244 Patina Pl Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.5 2081 $2,995 $1.44 17d 1 0.52mi
312 Clarys Run Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.0 1864 $2,300 $1.23 25d 1 0.58mi
253 Clarys Run Saint Augustine, FL 4.0 2.5 1957 $2,600 $1.33 22d 1 0.60mi
112 Wrensong Pl Saint Augustine, FL 4.0 2.0 2106 $2,800 $1.33 25d 1 0.63mi
1417 Heather Ct Saint Augustine, FL 3.0 2.0 2251 $2,500 $1.11 4d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$8 · $96/yr
Likely covers
gaspoolgym

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $389,900 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $389,900 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $389,900 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $389,900 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $389,900 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $389,900 Active 58 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $389,900 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $389,900 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $389,900 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $389,900 Active 52 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $389,900 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $389,900 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $389,900 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $389,900 Active 45 DOM
  15. 2026-05-17
    price $389,900 799-char remark
    Show marketing remark (799 chars)

    A beautifult three-year-old home for sale in Grade A school district Saint johns/St Augustine area. Amazing home near to Cul-de-sac with a spacious 3 bed, and 2-bathroom house in Trailmark Community, Saint Augustine, Florida. Amenities & Appliances included: Refrigerator, Washer & dryer, dishwasher, Stainless Steel Gas Range Stove with Oven and Built-In Microwave, kitchen Cabinets & Pantry for additional storage, An Island Kitchen Sink with Cabinets, Central Air conditioning system, Central heat, Stainless steel appliances, upgraded kitchen, upgraded bathrooms, Spacious Main bath includes a separate His and Her Closets. Clubhouse, Community club pool, Hot Tub/Spa, Children's Pool, Fitness Center, basketball courts, pickle ball courts, beach volleyball court, beautiful trails.

  16. 2026-04-14
    listed $395,000 Active 799-char remark
    Show marketing remark (799 chars)

    A beautifult three-year-old home for sale in Grade A school district Saint johns/St Augustine area. Amazing home near to Cul-de-sac with a spacious 3 bed, and 2-bathroom house in Trailmark Community, Saint Augustine, Florida. Amenities & Appliances included: Refrigerator, Washer & dryer, dishwasher, Stainless Steel Gas Range Stove with Oven and Built-In Microwave, kitchen Cabinets & Pantry for additional storage, An Island Kitchen Sink with Cabinets, Central Air conditioning system, Central heat, Stainless steel appliances, upgraded kitchen, upgraded bathrooms, Spacious Main bath includes a separate His and Her Closets. Clubhouse, Community club pool, Hot Tub/Spa, Children's Pool, Fitness Center, basketball courts, pickle ball courts, beach volleyball court, beautiful trails.

  17. 2025-09-11
    historical $2,345
  18. 2025-07-28
    price $2,345
  19. 2025-07-18
    listed $2,445

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,470 · $622/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,470 · $622/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,010
− Mortgage interest
−$21,840
− Property taxes
−$7,470
− Insurance
−$1,950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,641
− Management
−$2,641
− HOA
−$96
− Depreciation
−$11,343
Taxable loss
−$14,970
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,593
After-tax cash flow
$-4,381/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Johns
NCES district ID
1201740
Math proficiency
75% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$66,842
Composite
64.31/100
National rank
#556
State rank
#2 of 73 in FL

Livability — World Golf Village

Score
78/100
State rank
#168
US rank
#2512

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
World Golf Village, FL
County
Saint Johns County · 301,599 people
City population
48,288
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
53,071
Household income
$131,020
Rent vs Own
12.8% rent · 87.2% own
Severe rent burden
706.0

Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
303,941 people
By 2030
342,590 · +12.7%
By 2040
417,328 · +37.3%
By 2050
487,011 · +60.2%
By 2075
635,395 · +109.1%
By 2100
717,469 · +136.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -123.26%
Current HPI
259.732
Rent YoY
▲ 0.08%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15846.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Price Changed $389,900 realMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $395,000 realMLS
  • 2025-09-11 Rental Removed $2,345 NEFLMLS
  • 2025-07-28 Price Changed $2,345 NEFLMLS
  • 2025-07-18 Listed for Rent $2,445 NEFLMLS

Property tax history

+36.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,470 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…