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8689 Larkspur Dr
B Composite 71.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

8689 Larkspur Dr · Harrisburg, OH 43146
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,153 sqft · SingleFamily · 54 Days on market
Built 2024 Excellent condition $91/sqft · 58% below area $475/mo HOA · 25% of rent ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Brand-New Single-Wide Home in Foxlair Farms - 15 Minutes from Downtown Columbus! Enjoy modern, low-maintenance living in this brand-new single-wide manufactured home, located in the highly desirable Foxlair Farms Mobile Home Park in Orient, Ohio. Just 15 minutes south of downtown Columbus, this home offers the perfect blend of peaceful rural charm with convenient access to city amenities. 🏡 Home Features: Brand-new construction with contemporary finishes 5-year warranty included for added peace of mind Covered patio awning - perfect for relaxing or entertaining outdoors Low-maintenance lifestyle in a well-maintained community Whether you're downsizing, buying your first home, or looking for

Key facts

  • New construction
  • Foxlair farms
  • Covered patio awning

Tags

FOXLAIR FARMSCOVERED PATIO AWNINGLOW-MAINTENANCE LIFESTYLENEW CONSTRUCTION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Fox Lair Farms; Township: Darby
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $475 monthly fee

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Private sewer
  • Home design: One-story residence; New construction (2024); Other residential without deeded land; No shared/common walls
  • Construction: Built in 2024; Building area listed as 1,153 (source: floor plan)
  • Exterior features: Other foundation details

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Floor plan-based living area of 1,153

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#942 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Westfall Local (rural): math 49% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #304 of 656 in OH (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Westfall Elementary School (math 48% / reading 67%, grade C+, #721 of 1,584 statewide, top 46%, 648 students, 46% FRL); Westfall Middle School (math 55% / reading 63%, grade B, #280 of 654 statewide, top 44%, 340 students, 43% FRL); Westfall High School (math 37% / reading 67%, grade D+, #343 of 781 statewide, top 47%, 424 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 312 units permitted in Pickaway County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pickaway County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
Recommended offer $101,850 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.84%
Cap rate
10.04%
Cash-on-cash
13.39%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$249,687
List price
$105,000
Delta
-57.95%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8660 Kanawha Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,152 (-0%) 18mo $119,900 $104 81

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.7%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$4,194
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
13.4%
Equity multiple
2.08×
Total profit
$31,852
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43146

Home prices YoY
-26.8%
Active inventory
27
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,935 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax est. 1.5%
$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$475
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$406
Net cashflow
$328

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,520
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $401 -5% $364 +0% $328 +5% $292 +10% $255
Rent -10% $175 -5% $252 +0% $328 +5% $404 +10% $481
Rate -1.0pp $381 -0.5pp $355 base $328 +0.5pp $301 +1.0pp $273

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$475 · $5,700/yr

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $105,000 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $105,000 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $105,000 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $105,000 Active 38 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 36 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 35 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 34 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 33 DOM
  17. 2026-04-27
    listed $105,000 Active 861-char remark
  18. 2026-03-26
    historical
  19. 2026-02-09
    price $107,000
  20. 2026-01-15
    price $107,500
  21. 2025-09-25
    listed $108,000 Active
  22. 2025-07-03
    historical
  23. 2025-04-10
    price $121,900
  24. 2025-01-02
    listed $124,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,219
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,575
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,858
− Management
−$1,858
− HOA
−$5,700
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$2,768
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$664
After-tax cash flow
$3,271/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This brand-new single-wide manufactured home in Foxlair Farms is move-in ready with excellent condition and no visible repairs needed. It offers a modern, low-maintenance lifestyle in a well-maintained community.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can make the home look more appealing and increase its value.
  • Resale Upgrading appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more convenient and energy-efficient.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can make the home look more appealing and increase its value.
  • Resale Upgrading appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more convenient and energy-efficient.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westfall Local
NCES district ID
3904910
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$63,733
Composite
50.25/100
National rank
#1891
State rank
#304 of 656 in OH

Livability — Harrisburg

Score
61/100
State rank
#942
US rank
#18192

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Pickaway · 57,589 people
City population
360
Metro
Columbus, OH
Population (ZIP)
13,325
Household income
$73,904
Rent vs Own
13.1% rent · 86.9% own

Population outlook (Pickaway County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,488 people
By 2030
60,400 · +1.5%
By 2040
61,498 · +3.4%
By 2050
61,478 · +3.3%
By 2075
59,696 · +0.3%
By 2100
51,458 · -13.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pickaway

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.5) · D 25.3% · R 73.8%
2008→2024 swing
-26.8pp toward R · 2008: -21.7pp · 2024: -48.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.5 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+42.6 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+21.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.05%
Current HPI
271.1768
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-15.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $105,000 CBRMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listing Removed CBRMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $107,000 CBRMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $107,500 CBRMLS
  • 2025-09-25 Listed $108,000 CBRMLS
  • 2025-07-03 Listing Removed CBRMLS
  • 2025-04-10 Price Changed $121,900 CBRMLS
  • 2025-01-02 Listed $124,900 CBRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…