🏗️ New Construction
209 Oak Manor Rd · Rayne, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Oak Manor Subdivision!This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home sits on a generous half-acre lot and is ready for its first owner. Thoughtfully designed with a split floor plan, each bedroom offers the space and privacy your family deserves. Inside, you'll find a neutral color palette with warm finishes throughout - a true blank canvas ready for your personal touch. Your kitchen appliances come standard with each home, so no need to worry about purchasing a dishwasher, fridge, stove, OR microwave! It's already included!Outside is just as impressive: concrete driveway, brick skirting, and fresh landscaping - the full setup for you and your family! And the best part? This home is located in
Key facts
- 0.5 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 2026
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 5.4% in Rayne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#18 in LA, #3,895 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Acadia Parish (rural): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #28 of 98 in LA (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Acadia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.53%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $150,480
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 218 Oak Manor Rd | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (0%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $132 | 97 |
| 243 Oak Manor Rd | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (0%) | 2mo | $149,900 | $131 | 95 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-12,002
- Equity at exit
- $22,437
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $5,558
- Equity at exit
- $13,011
Cash invested: $42,134 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70578
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,562 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$789
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$188 /mo · $2,257/yr
- Insurance
- −$63
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$328
- Net cashflow
- $194
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,620
- Closing costs
- $4,514
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-18status Pending
-
2026-04-15$149,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,744
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,429
- − Property taxes
- −$2,257
- − Insurance
- −$752
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,500
- − Management
- −$1,500
- − Depreciation
- −$4,378
- Taxable loss
- −$72
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$17
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,346/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in Oak Manor Subdivision is in excellent condition with a modern design and ample outdoor space. It is move-in ready and offers a great opportunity for both resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Adding a small shed or storage unit — Provides additional storage and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Adding a small patio or outdoor seating area — Enhances outdoor living space and can increase both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Adding a small shed or storage unit — Provides additional storage and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Adding a small patio or outdoor seating area — Enhances outdoor living space and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Acadia Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200030
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,012
- Composite
- 31.65/100
- National rank
- #5929
- State rank
- #28 of 98 in LA
Livability — Rayne
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #3895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 16,279
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,279
Population outlook (Acadia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,846 people
- By 2030
- 64,141 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 63,922 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 62,263 · -2.5%
- By 2075
- 56,507 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 46,316 · -27.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 21% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Acadia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.0) · D 17.6% · R 81.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.3pp toward R · 2008: -45.7pp · 2024: -64.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.0 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.7 2012: R+49.8 2008: R+45.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -77.19%
- Current HPI
- 118.9619
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $149,900 AcadianaMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…