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428 Faire Chase
D Composite 40.42
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.6/15.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$295,000

428 Faire Chase · Chesapeake, VA 23322
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,368 sqft · Townhouse public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1986 2,178 sqft lot Est $295k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming townhouse in the highly sought-after Great Bridge area of Chesapeake! No HOA! This well-maintained home offers a functional layout with a spacious kitchen featuring an abundance of cabinet space perfect for storage and everyday living. The generous dining area flows seamlessly into the inviting living room, complete with a cozy wood-burning fireplace, creating the ideal space for entertaining or relaxing. Go outside to enjoy a large, fully fenced backyard with a deck. Upstairs, the oversized primary suite boasts a private en suite bath and a walk-in closet, offering both comfort and convenience. With its prime location near shopping, dining, and schools, this home i

Key facts

  • Spacious kitchen
  • Generous dining area
  • No hoa

Tags

NO HOASPACIOUS KITCHENABUNDANCE OF CABINET SPACEGENEROUS DINING AREAWOOD-BURNING FIREPLACEFULLY FENCED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.05 acre (lot front 20', depth 138'); Wooded view; Neighborhood: MIDDLE OAKS
  • HOA & community: No HOA or association fees indicated

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking spaces
  • Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power
  • Home design: Attached townhouse; 2 stories; Simple ownership; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Storage shed; Back yard with wood fence

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: Includes 1 bedroom with an ensuite
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Cable hookup; Ceiling fan; Wood-burning fireplace; Walk-in closet; Window treatments; Attic; Foyer; Utility closet
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $295k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-102 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $277k (6.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (23.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $227k (23.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.7% in Chesapeake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#236 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living C-, amenities F.
  • Chesapeake City Public School District (suburban): math 58% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #31 of 131 in VA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Great Bridge Primary (701 students, 18% FRL); Great Bridge High (math 60% / reading 87%, grade B+, #124 of 319 statewide, top 40%, 1,624 students, 25% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 596 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 597 units permitted in Chesapeake city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chesapeake County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $183k; list at $295k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $226,769 (23.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.88%
Cash-on-cash
-1.48%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$295,488
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
428 Faire Chase 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,368 (0%) 0mo $295,000 $216 98
409 Faire Chase 0.05mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,341 (-2%) 4mo $299,900 $224 84
328 Faire Chase Dr 0.15mi 3/2.5 1,301 (-5%) 1mo $299,900 $231 82
303 Middle Oaks Dr 0.15mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,330 (-3%) 6mo $285,000 $214 76
418 Middle Oaks Dr 0.06mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,278 (-7%) 5mo $270,000 $211 75
340 Middle Oaks Dr 0.08mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,238 (-10%) 1mo $302,000 $244 73
632 Sedgefield Ct 0.57mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,361 (-0%) 3mo $235,000 $173 63
800 Mill Landing Rd 0.36mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,240 (-9%) 1mo $305,000 $246 60
619 Sedgefield Ct 0.59mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,492 (+9%) 3mo $235,000 $158 48
559 Mill Landing Rd 0.60mi 3/2.5 1,525 (+12%) 4mo $294,000 $193 48
426 San Roman Dr 0.69mi 3/2.5 1,540 (+13%) 1mo $355,000 $231 44
640 W Lake Cir 0.66mi 3/2.5 1,557 (+14%) 6mo $307,500 $197 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.46% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.3%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-50,958
Equity at exit
$43,985
10-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-38,654
Equity at exit
$25,506

Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23322

Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
596
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,268 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,547
Tax from tax record
$223 /mo · $2,680/yr
Insurance
$123
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$476
Net cashflow
$-102

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,396
Max offer price $277,027
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$73,750
Closing costs
$8,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
430 Faire Chase Chesapeake, VA 2.0 2.0 1215 $1,850 $1.52 16d 1 0.03mi
430 Faire Chase Chesapeake, VA 2.0 2.0 1215 $1,850 $1.52 23d 1 0.03mi
525 Dove Dr Chesapeake, VA 3.0 2.0 1819 $2,800 $1.54 21d 1 0.57mi
632 Sedgefield Ct Chesapeake, VA 2.0 3.0 1361 $2,100 $1.54 17d 1 0.57mi
316 San Roman Dr Chesapeake, VA 3.0 1.5 1304 $1,895 $1.45 23d 1 0.61mi
552 Mill Landing Rd Chesapeake, VA 3.0 3.0 1532 $2,000 $1.31 23d 1 0.64mi
1090 Washington Dr Chesapeake, VA 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,700 $1.93 12d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-05-05
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-29
    listed $295,000 Active
  4. 2017-07-05
    soldstatus $183,000
  5. 2017-06-07
    status Under Contract
  6. 2017-05-23
    listed $183,000 Active
  7. 1986-10-30
    soldstatus $70,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,680 · $223/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,680 · $223/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,212
− Mortgage interest
−$16,525
− Property taxes
−$2,680
− Insurance
−$1,475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,177
− Management
−$2,177
− Depreciation
−$8,582
Taxable loss
−$6,403
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,537
After-tax cash flow
$316/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chesapeake City Public School District
NCES district ID
5100810
Math proficiency
58% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
74% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$69,356
Composite
57.84/100
National rank
#1047
State rank
#31 of 131 in VA

Livability — Chesapeake

Score
70/100
State rank
#236
US rank
#7942

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime C- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chesapeake, VA
County
Chesapeake City · 253,091 people
City population
253,091
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
66,956
Household income
$134,880
Rent vs Own
9.9% rent · 90.1% own
Severe rent burden
507.0

Population outlook (Chesapeake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
263,804 people
By 2030
276,798 · +4.9%
By 2040
299,906 · +13.7%
By 2050
318,284 · +20.7%
By 2075
362,137 · +37.3%
By 2100
372,225 · +41.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chesapeake

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.3% · R 47.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+2.5pp toward D · 2008: 1.3pp · 2024: 3.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+3.8 2020: D+6.5 2016: R+1.3 2012: D+1.1 2008: D+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -357.58%
Current HPI
312.495
Rent YoY
▲ 4.46%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+318.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending REINMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Contingent REINMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $295,000 REINMLS
  • 2017-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $183,000 Public Records
  • 2017-06-07 Pending REINMLS
  • 2017-05-23 Listed $183,000 REINMLS
  • 1986-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $70,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,680 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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