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67 Thornton Ave Duplex
B Composite 70.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.4/15.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

67 Thornton Ave · Buffalo, NY 14215
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,179 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1925 3,300 sqft lot $96/sqft · 13% below area Est $242k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

A mile away from UB campus! TWO unit with stunning woodwork and stained glass throughout. A beautiful large mudroom/ entrance hall opens into a beautiful Living room/ den combo leading into a stunningly framed dining room with exquisite woodwork. Hardwood floors throughout. Open breakfast bar into a partial renovated kitchen. New counter tops, sink and faucet. Renovated bathrooms. A NEW ROOF done in 2024 as well as a BRAND NEW GARAGE. Updated electrical. Ample parking in driveway for extra cars. Solid, dry, stone basement with high ceilings. Close to all shopping areas and UB!

Key facts

  • New counter tops
  • Large mudroom
  • Stained glass

Tags

STUNNING WOODWORKSTAINED GLASSLARGE MUDROOMOPEN BREAKFAST BARPARTIALLY RENOVATED KITCHENNEW COUNTER TOPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $612 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $306/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $210k).
  • Recommended offer: $197k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 8.1% in Buffalo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: International School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,048 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 981 students, 92% FRL); Hutchinson Central Technical High School (math 96% / reading 32%, grade B-, #807 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,175 students, 78% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 239 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,612/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 2873% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $85k; list at $210k implies a 146% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $197,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.79%
Cash-on-cash
12.49%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$241,711
List price
$210,000
Delta
-13.12%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
44 Freeman St 0.22mi 4/2.0 2,182 (+0%) 9mo $144,000 $66 82
18 Phyllis Ave 0.24mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,134 (-2%) 8mo $138,000 $65 74
208 Davidson Ave 0.47mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,199 (+1%) 8mo $170,000 $77 65
19 Dunlop Ave 0.52mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,160 (-1%) 6mo $160,000 $74 65
192 Berkshire Ave 0.24mi 4/2.0 1,955 (-10%) 10mo $129,000 $66 64
132 Hewitt Ave 0.33mi 4/2.0 1,946 (-11%) 5mo $125,000 $64 63
40 Ruspin Ave 0.53mi 4/2.0 2,351 (+8%) 2mo $307,000 $131 60
35 Erskine Ave 0.72mi 4/2.0 2,135 (-2%) 5mo $170,000 $80 59
486 Hewitt Ave 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,233 (+2%) 13mo $176,000 $79 57
337 Davidson Ave 0.72mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,199 (+1%) 9mo $230,000 $105 53
171 Davidson Ave 0.41mi 4/2.5 1,857 (-15%) 10mo $200,000 $108 46
626 Lisbon Ave 0.71mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,919 (-12%) 8mo $250,000 $130 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-982
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
6.6%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$26,078
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14215

Home prices YoY
-30.0%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
239
Price-to-rent
13.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,612 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax est. 1.5%
$262 /mo · $3,150/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$549
Net cashflow
$612

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,837
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $757 -5% $685 +0% $612 +5% $540 +10% $467
Rent -10% $406 -5% $509 +0% $612 +5% $715 +10% $819
Rate -1.0pp $718 -0.5pp $666 base $612 +0.5pp $558 +1.0pp $502

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,612

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
25 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1914 $1,350 $0.71 16d 1 0.40mi
222 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,400 $1.00 46d 1 0.66mi
175 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2000 $2,500 $1.25 16d 1 0.69mi
89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY 1.0–4.0 1.0–4.0 1024 $2,997 $2.93 4d 10 0.79mi
85 Highgate Ave Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2193 $3,750 $1.71 16d 1 0.83mi
59 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2521 $1,250 $0.50 26d 1 0.85mi
65 Northrup Pl Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 1467 $2,500 $1.70 16d 1 0.87mi
24 Custer St Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2500 $3,000 $1.20 16d 1 1.01mi
60 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,650 $1.18 0d 1 1.16mi
91 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 2500 $2,000 $0.80 0d 1 1.23mi
102 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 2426 $2,750 $1.13 0d 1 1.23mi
63 Montrose Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 2240 $2,000 $0.89 0d 1 1.32mi
80 Capen Blvd Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.5 2591 $2,800 $1.08 0d 1 1.39mi
196 Englewood Ave Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 5.0 1.5 2560 $2,000 $0.78 0d 1 1.39mi
163 Carmel Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,800 $1.29 5d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $210,000 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $210,000 Active 72 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,000 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 63 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $210,000 Active 61 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 60 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,000 Active 59 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,000 Active 58 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $210,000 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,000 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 52 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 51 DOM
  17. 2026-04-28
    status Active 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    A mile away from UB campus! TWO unit with stunning woodwork and stained glass throughout. A beautiful large mudroom/ entrance hall opens into a beautiful Living room/ den combo leading into a stunningly framed dining room with exquisite woodwork. Hardwood floors throughout. Open breakfast bar into a partial renovated kitchen. New counter tops, sink and faucet. Renovated bathrooms. A NEW ROOF done in 2024 as well as a BRAND NEW GARAGE. Updated electrical. Ample parking in driveway for extra cars. Solid, dry, stone basement with high ceilings. Close to all shopping areas and UB!

  18. 2026-04-27
    status Pending 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    A mile away from UB campus! TWO unit with stunning woodwork and stained glass throughout. A beautiful large mudroom/ entrance hall opens into a beautiful Living room/ den combo leading into a stunningly framed dining room with exquisite woodwork. Hardwood floors throughout. Open breakfast bar into a partial renovated kitchen. New counter tops, sink and faucet. Renovated bathrooms. A NEW ROOF done in 2024 as well as a BRAND NEW GARAGE. Updated electrical. Ample parking in driveway for extra cars. Solid, dry, stone basement with high ceilings. Close to all shopping areas and UB!

  19. 2026-04-09
    listed $210,000 Active 583-char remark
    Show marketing remark (583 chars)

    A mile away from UB campus! TWO unit with stunning woodwork and stained glass throughout. A beautiful large mudroom/ entrance hall opens into a beautiful Living room/ den combo leading into a stunningly framed dining room with exquisite woodwork. Hardwood floors throughout. Open breakfast bar into a partial renovated kitchen. New counter tops, sink and faucet. Renovated bathrooms. A NEW ROOF done in 2024 as well as a BRAND NEW GARAGE. Updated electrical. Ample parking in driveway for extra cars. Solid, dry, stone basement with high ceilings. Close to all shopping areas and UB!

  20. 2025-11-03
    historical
  21. 2025-09-30
    listed $265,000 Active
  22. 2019-05-13
    soldstatus $85,250 Closed Sale or Rented
  23. 2019-05-13
    soldstatus $85,250
  24. 2019-03-20
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show
  25. 2019-03-05
    listed $74,900 Active
  26. 2017-04-07
    soldstatus $64,700
  27. 2016-09-27
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,344
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$3,150
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,508
− Management
−$2,508
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable income
$4,257
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,022
After-tax cash flow
$6,325/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
42,524
Household income
$44,955
Rent vs Own
50.0% rent · 50.0% own
Severe rent burden
2873.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 67% White 15% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -126.29%
Current HPI
295.2966
Rent YoY
▲ 0.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+740.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-27 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $210,000 WNYREIS
  • 2025-11-03 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2025-09-30 Listed $265,000 WNYREIS
  • 2019-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $85,250 Public Records
  • 2019-05-13 Sold (MLS) $85,250 WNYREIS
  • 2019-03-20 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2019-03-05 Listed $74,900 WNYREIS
  • 2017-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $64,700 Public Records
  • 2016-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $291 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…