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6618 3rd St
C Composite 57.57
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$350,000

6618 3rd St · Eagleville, TN 37046
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1967 0.57 ac lot $243/sqft · 21% below area Est $441k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming all-brick ranch situated on an oversized lot, offering comfort, space, and timeless appeal. The beautiful white kitchen features abundant cabinet space and a full stainless steel appliance package, making it perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Relax in the inviting family room with a cozy fireplace, and enjoy the generous layout with plenty of room for a growing family.

Key facts

  • Inviting family room
  • All brick ranch
  • White kitchen

Tags

ALL BRICK RANCHOVERSIZED LOTWHITE KITCHENABUNDANT CABINET SPACEINVITING FAMILY ROOMCOZY FIREPLACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed; Thermostat (energy efficient feature)

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking for 2 vehicles (2 open spaces)
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch; Level lot; Storage structure on property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Electric oven; Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on main level); Bedroom 1 approximately 14 x 13; Bedroom 2 approximately 12 x 10
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Master bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closet(s); Finished full basement with crawl space
  • Laundry & utility: Utility / other room (approximately 9 x 11)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $360 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $308k (12.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $308k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 0.2% in Eagleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#92 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
  • Williamson County (rural): math 58% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #1 of 139 in TN (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: College Grove Elementary (math 72% / reading 59%, grade B+, #37 of 952 statewide, top 4%, 768 students, 0% FRL); Fred J Page High School (math 17% / reading 69%, grade F, #20 of 332 statewide, top 6%, 1,284 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 221 active listings in the ZIP; 1,994 units permitted in Williamson County in 2024 (637 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Williamson County population projected at +59% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $308,063 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
7.53%
Cash-on-cash
4.41%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$440,575
List price
$350,000
Delta
-20.56%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6604 2nd St 0.15mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,496 (+4%) 17mo $387,100 $259 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.5%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-33,962
Equity at exit
$52,186
10-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-734
Equity at exit
$30,262

Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37046

Home prices YoY
-13.8%
Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,081 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,111/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$647
Net cashflow
$360

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,625
Max offer price $350,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $558 -5% $459 +0% $360 +5% $261 +10% $162
Rent -10% $116 -5% $238 +0% $360 +5% $482 +10% $603
Rate -1.0pp $536 -0.5pp $449 base $360 +0.5pp $269 +1.0pp $177

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,500
Closing costs
$10,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $350,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $350,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $375,000 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $375,000 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $375,000 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $375,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $375,000 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $375,000 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $375,000 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $375,000 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $375,000 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $383,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $383,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $383,000 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-07
    listed $383,000 Active 391-char remark
  16. 2026-04-24
    soldstatus $363,200
  17. 2020-06-24
    soldstatus $196,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,111 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,485 · $207/mo
Expected delta
+$1,374/yr (+$114/mo · 123.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,968
− Mortgage interest
−$19,605
− Property taxes
−$1,111
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,957
− Management
−$2,957
− Depreciation
−$10,182
Taxable loss
−$1,596
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$383
After-tax cash flow
$4,701/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Williamson County
NCES district ID
4704530
Math proficiency
58% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$103,392
Composite
54.94/100
National rank
#1307
State rank
#1 of 139 in TN

Livability — Eagleville

Score
68/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#9815

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,632

Population outlook (Williamson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
275,925 people
By 2030
308,630 · +11.9%
By 2040
374,403 · +35.7%
By 2050
438,644 · +59.0%
By 2075
592,763 · +114.8%
By 2100
691,828 · +150.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Scandinavian 6% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · China
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Williamson

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.4) · D 33.0% · R 65.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -32.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.4 2020: R+26.1 2016: R+35.5 2012: R+46.8 2008: R+39.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.12%
Current HPI
508.2617
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+90.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $375,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $383,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $363,200 Public Records
  • 2020-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $196,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,111 · +65.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…