928 Kingsley Ave Ave · Waterloo, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 Bedroom 1bath attached garage.
Key facts
- 6,100 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1937
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.2% in Waterloo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#74 in IA, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Waterloo Community School District (urban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #276 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Kingsley Elementary School (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #273 of 616 statewide, top 51%, 343 students, 53% FRL); West High School (math 55% / reading 63%, grade C+, #273 of 336 statewide, top 81%, 1,652 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 282 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 287 units permitted in Black Hawk County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Black Hawk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.25%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,503
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 910 Campbell Ave | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-6%) | 2mo | $182,000 | $158 | 81 |
| 928 Kingsley Ave Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,412 (+15%) | 1mo | $89,000 | $63 | 74 |
| 2006 W 3rd St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,166 (-5%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $64 | 70 |
| 800 Kingsley Ave | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,336 (+9%) | 4mo | $172,000 | $129 | 68 |
| 209 Kingsley Avenue Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,294 (+5%) | 0mo | $90,000 | $70 | 62 |
| 108 Carolina Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,226 (-0%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $122 | 62 |
| 517 Fletcher Ave | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,062 (-14%) | 5mo | $90,000 | $85 | 60 |
| 200 Moir St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-6%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $43 | 60 |
| 132 Moir St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,322 (+8%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $61 | 51 |
| 2310 Westview Ave | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,184 (-4%) | 3mo | $251,900 | $213 | 51 |
| 707 Reber Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,047 (-15%) | 7mo | $112,500 | $107 | 51 |
| 1325 Huntington Rd Rd | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,094 (-11%) | 7mo | $122,000 | $112 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-2,558
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $15,792
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50701
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 282
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,096 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$190 /mo · $2,286/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $171
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $222 | -5% $196 | +0% $171 | +5% $146 | +10% $121 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $85 | -5% $128 | +0% $171 | +5% $215 | +10% $258 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $216 | -0.5pp $194 | base $171 | +0.5pp $148 | +1.0pp $125 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2539 W 3rd St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,695 | $1.41 | 22d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 719 Marsh St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $1,100 | $0.90 | 22d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 616 Kimball Ave Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1302 | $1,100 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1427 W 2nd St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,250 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1524 1/2 W 5th St Unit 1524 1/2 Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 981 | $850 | $0.87 | 22d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 313 Denver St Unit Downstairs Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $695 | $0.73 | 22d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 200 Parkview Blvd Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $725 | $0.97 | 22d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 254 Parkview Blvd Unit 254 Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $795 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 136 Janney Ave Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 901 | $1,325 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1272 W Mullan Ave Unit 1272 Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $825 | $0.95 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 226 Palmer Dr Unit 226-B Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $780 | $0.97 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 225 Miriam Dr Unit A Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $650 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1254 W Mullan Ave Unit 1254 Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $775 | $0.90 | 22d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 237 Miriam Dr Apt B Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $725 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3270 W 4th St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $895 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3270 W 4th St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $895 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1247 Doreen Ave Waterloo, IA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1288 | $1,500 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 905 Baltimore St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1392 | $1,025 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1105 Kent Cir Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $845 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 702 Western Ave Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 22d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 416 Sunnyside Ave Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $825 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 418 Sunnyside Ave Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $675 | $0.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2215 Falls Ave Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,400 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 105 Bellaire Rd Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 22d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1115 Doreen Ave Unit 1120-3 Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $890 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1115 Doreen Ave Unit 1115-12 Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $785 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 820 W 2nd St Apt 2 Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $695 | $0.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1125 Dixon Dr #4 Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 707 | $815 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1125 Dixon Dr Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 707 | $815 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1133 Dixon Dr Waterloo, IA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $835 | $1.30 | 44d | 2 | 1.16mi |
| 733 Russell Rd Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 940 | $850 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 154 Acadia St Unit 2 Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 995 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 780 Russell Rd Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $1,295 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3749 Cobblestone Cir Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $938 | $1.02 | 44d | 2 | 1.30mi |
| 1200 Meadow Ln Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $885 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 611 Johnson St Unit 11 Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $895 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 611 Johnson St Unit 8 Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $825 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1141 Lantern Sq Waterloo, IA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 1119 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 22d | 5 | 1.37mi |
| W Mullan Ave Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $710 | $0.77 | 44d | 2 | 1.37mi |
| 1008 Leavitt St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $920 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-15historical
-
2026-04-14$89,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,286 · $190/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,286 · $190/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,148
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$2,286
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,052
- − Management
- −$1,052
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $739
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$177
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,878/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waterloo Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1930480
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,545
- Composite
- 43.72/100
- National rank
- #2950
- State rank
- #276 of 289 in IA
Livability — Waterloo
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #74
- US rank
- #1589
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waterloo, IA
- County
- Black Hawk County · 112,933 people
- City population
- 69,066
- Metro
- Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,232
- Household income
- $61,475
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1377.0
Population outlook (Black Hawk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 139,716 people
- By 2030
- 142,853 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 147,843 · +5.8%
- By 2050
- 153,247 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 167,977 · +20.2%
- By 2100
- 177,320 · +26.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 11% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Italian 3% American 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Black Hawk
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.3pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 1.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.2 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.3 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.19%
- Current HPI
- 162.8951
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- Metro
- Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Delisted — NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-04-14 Listed $89,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,286 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…