305 Bonner St · Monticello, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 45.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- ARV discount +2.8/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming and move-in ready, this 2-bedroom, 1 bath bungalow sits on a spacious wooded lot that offers privacy, off-street parking, and room to expand. The covered front porch opens into a bright living area with durable, low-maintenance flooring that runs throughout the home-ideal for everyday living or a rental property. Two comfortable bedrooms feature multiple windows and closet space, while the full bath includes an updated vanity and clean, neutral finishes. The eat-in kitchen offers white cabinetry, marble-look countertops, black appliances, and direct access to the backyard, making indoor-outdoor living and entertaining easy. With its simple layout, updated interiors, and generous lot in an established neighborhood, this home is a great opportunity for first-time buyers seeking affordability or investors looking for a solid, easy-to-maintain rental.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Wooded lot
- Bright living area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $377 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.9% in Monticello — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#16 in GA, #2,229 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D+, schools F.
- Jasper County (rural): math 24% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #113 of 174 in GA (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; 183 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jasper County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $7k; list at $150k implies a 2043% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 45% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.78%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $135,712
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- 10.53%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.52×
- Total profit
- $105,673
- Equity at exit
- $135,132
- IRR
- 27.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.96×
- Total profit
- $292,166
- Equity at exit
- $291,417
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31064
- Home prices YoY
- 16.0%
- Active inventory
- 174
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,616 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $606/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $377
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-03-05$150,000 New 868-char remark
Show marketing remark (874 chars)
Charming and move-in ready, this 2-bedroom, 1 bath bungalow sits on a spacious wooded lot that offers privacy, off-street parking, and room to expand. The covered front porch opens into a bright living area with durable, low-maintenance flooring that runs throughout the home—ideal for everyday living or a rental property. Two comfortable bedrooms feature multiple windows and closet space, while the full bath includes an updated vanity and clean, neutral finishes. The eat-in kitchen offers white cabinetry, marble-look countertops, black appliances, and direct access to the backyard, making indoor-outdoor living and entertaining easy. With its simple layout, updated interiors, and generous lot in an established neighborhood, this home is a great opportunity for first-time buyers seeking affordability or investors looking for a solid, easy-to-maintain rental.
-
2026-03-05$150,000 Active 874-char remark
Show marketing remark (874 chars)
Charming and move-in ready, this 2-bedroom, 1 bath bungalow sits on a spacious wooded lot that offers privacy, off-street parking, and room to expand. The covered front porch opens into a bright living area with durable, low-maintenance flooring that runs throughout the home—ideal for everyday living or a rental property. Two comfortable bedrooms feature multiple windows and closet space, while the full bath includes an updated vanity and clean, neutral finishes. The eat-in kitchen offers white cabinetry, marble-look countertops, black appliances, and direct access to the backyard, making indoor-outdoor living and entertaining easy. With its simple layout, updated interiors, and generous lot in an established neighborhood, this home is a great opportunity for first-time buyers seeking affordability or investors looking for a solid, easy-to-maintain rental.
-
2003-08-18soldstatus $7,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $606 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,380 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$774/yr (+$65/mo · 127.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 45% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,398
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$606
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,552
- − Management
- −$1,552
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $2,172
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$521
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,008/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jasper County
- NCES district ID
- 1302970
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,606
- Composite
- 22.99/100
- National rank
- #7980
- State rank
- #113 of 174 in GA
Livability — Monticello
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #2229
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Monticello, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,859
Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,020 people
- By 2030
- 12,538 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 11,355 · -12.8%
- By 2050
- 9,955 · -23.5%
- By 2075
- 6,646 · -49.0%
- By 2100
- 4,022 · -69.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Jasper
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.4) · D 20.6% · R 79.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.6pp · 2024: -58.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.4 2020: R+53.1 2016: R+46.7 2012: R+38.0 2008: R+33.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 58.00%
- Current HPI
- 420.9288
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+2042.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Listed $150,000 FMLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $150,000 GAMLS
- 2003-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $606 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…