Duplex
10 Harvard Ave · Stamford, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$479,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Attention Contractors, Investors or Homebuyers who see the potential in this 2-family house. Sold as-is. First floor unit has a living room, dining room, 2 bedrooms and bathroom, second floor has a living room, 2 bedrooms and bathroom. The property has an unfinished basement and needs a lot of work. No representation of heating or plumbing to be in working order. Private driveway with detached garage. Nice-sized backyard perfect for summer barbecues and outdoor entertaining. Ideal for investors or owner-occupants seeking rental potential in a prime Stamford location, close to I-95, Stamford Hospital, just minutes from downtown Stamford, train stations, parks, shopping and restaurants. Pleas
Key facts
- Private driveway
- Nice-sized backyard
- Close to i-95
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $479k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $728/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $479k).
- Recommended offer: $472k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.0% in Stamford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#98 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Stamford School District (urban): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #103 of 153 in CT (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,023/mo this rent would consume 76% of the median local household income ($95k/yr) (locally 4139% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $134k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($472k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.03%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $743,652
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Harvard Ave | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,638 (0%) | 0mo | $560,000 | $342 | 100 |
| 17 Alden St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 1,620 (-1%) | 5mo | $735,000 | $454 | 64 |
| 12 Nurney St | 0.11mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,458 (-11%) | 10mo | $760,000 | $521 | 63 |
| 19 Waverly Pl | 0.46mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,768 (+8%) | 8mo | $755,500 | $427 | 50 |
| 24 Wright St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 1,800 (+10%) | 7mo | $950,000 | $528 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $8,918
- Equity at exit
- $71,420
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $102,242
- Equity at exit
- $41,415
Cash invested: $134,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06902
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 13.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,023 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,512
- Tax from tax record
- −$590 /mo · $7,085/yr
- Insurance
- −$200
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,265
- Net cashflow
- $1,456
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,727 | -5% $1,592 | +0% $1,456 | +5% $1,321 | +10% $1,185 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $980 | -5% $1,218 | +0% $1,456 | +5% $1,694 | +10% $1,932 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,697 | -0.5pp $1,578 | base $1,456 | +0.5pp $1,332 | +1.0pp $1,206 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $6,022 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $3,011 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $3,011 |
| Total (2 units) | $6,023 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $119,750
- Closing costs
- $14,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 510 W Main St Unit 2ND FL Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2027 | $3,150 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 25 Center Dr Old Greenwich, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1616 | $8,950 | $5.54 | 21d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 30 Mary Ln Riverside, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1255 | $6,200 | $4.94 | 15d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 51 Forest Ave Old Greenwich, CT | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1737 | $8,150 | $4.69 | 3d | 2 | 0.95mi |
| 51 Forest Ave #26 Old Greenwich, CT | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2194 | $9,500 | $4.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 51 Forest Ave #19 Old Greenwich, CT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1946 | $8,500 | $4.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 100 Tresser Blvd Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1090 | $9,142 | $8.38 | 1d | 11 | 0.97mi |
| 45 N Sound Beach Ave Riverside, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $9,500 | $7.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 775 Atlantic St Unit 3L Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,800 | $2.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 8 Potter Dr Old Greenwich, CT | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1979 | $10,500 | $5.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 184 Summer St Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1138 | $4,299 | $3.78 | 44d | 18 | 1.09mi |
| 143 Sound Beach Ave Old Greenwich, CT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1269 | $12,985 | $10.23 | 1d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4 Highview Ave Old Greenwich, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1542 | $10,000 | $6.49 | 19d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4 Highview Ave Old Greenwich, CT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1092 | $10,000 | $9.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 30 Noble St Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1304 | $5,500 | $4.22 | 3d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1450 Washington Blvd Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1188 | $4,500 | $3.79 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 16 Burwood Ave Unit 2 Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1653 | $3,999 | $2.42 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 34 Keith St Unit 2 Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $3,550 | $2.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 150 Southfield Ave Stamford, CT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1263 | $5,728 | $4.53 | 1d | 37 | 1.16mi |
| 16 Manor St Unit B Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $3,600 | $2.06 | 15d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 92 Burwood Ave Unit 2 Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $4,300 | $2.39 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 18 Dock St Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1037 | $8,632 | $8.32 | 1d | 39 | 1.27mi |
| 79 Prospect St Unit 7E Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,790 | $2.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 154 Cold Spring Rd Stamford, CT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $3,700 | $3.30 | 44d | 2 | 1.37mi |
| 154 Cold Spring Rd #19 Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1317 | $3,700 | $2.81 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 154 Cold Spring Rd Stamford, CT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $3,700 | $3.30 | 19d | 2 | 1.37mi |
| 29 Dolsen Pl Unit 2 Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,700 | $2.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 45 Thornhill Rd Riverside, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $6,500 | $4.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 47 Hoyt St Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $3,250 | $2.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1725 Summer St #1 Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1880 | $4,800 | $2.55 | 21d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 31 Cognewaugh Rd Cos Cob, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $6,000 | $3.70 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 20 3rd St #18 Stamford, CT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1645 | $4,900 | $2.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 87 Dolphin Cove Quay Stamford, CT | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2115 | $14,000 | $6.62 | 15d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-23status Under Contract
-
2026-04-06$479,000 Active
-
2024-02-11historical
-
2023-11-09$2,399,999 Active
-
2023-11-02historical
-
2023-06-26price $2,399,999
-
2023-02-22$2,500,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,085 · $590/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,668 · $722/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,583/yr (+$132/mo · 22.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $72,276
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,831
- − Property taxes
- −$7,085
- − Insurance
- −$2,395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,782
- − Management
- −$5,782
- − Depreciation
- −$13,935
- Taxable income
- $10,466
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,512
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,963/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stamford School District
- NCES district ID
- 0904320
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,843
- Composite
- 35.14/100
- National rank
- #5010
- State rank
- #103 of 153 in CT
Livability — Stamford
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #98
- US rank
- #7716
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stamford, CT
- County
- Fairfield County · 765,532 people
- City population
- 123,058
- Metro
- Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 73,392
- Household income
- $94,843
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4139.0
Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 685,031
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 35% White 32% Black 23% Two or more races 13% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 5% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 30% French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -450.67%
- Current HPI
- 173.4108
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- Metro
- Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
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Price history
-80.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $479,000 Smart MLS
- 2024-02-11 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2023-11-09 Listed $2,399,999 Smart MLS
- 2023-11-02 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2023-06-26 Price Changed $2,399,999 Smart MLS
- 2023-02-22 Listed $2,500,000 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2022): $7,085 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…