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4624 Newport Ave Fourplex
C Composite 55.92
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.3/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$310,000

4624 Newport Ave · St. Louis, MO 63116
None bd · 4.0 ba · 3,266 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 116 Days on market
Built 1925 4,830 sqft lot $95/sqft · 26% above area Est $247k · 26% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

— Four family income producing property in Prime Tower Grove South — Opportunity for value-add investment — Professional management in place — Spacious, recently remodeled 1 bedroom/1 bathroom units, averaging 816 sq. ft. — Large kitchen and dining area — Full-masonry brick facade in traditional South City St. Louis architectural style — Recent Capital Expenditures includes upgraded electric, HVAC, stacks, and roof replaced in 2024 — Off-street parking — Great location, just minutes from Tower Grove Park and South Grand

Key facts

  • Value-add investment
  • 4,830 sq ft lot
  • Built 1925

Tags

INCOME PRODUCING PROPERTYVALUE-ADD INVESTMENTPROFESSIONAL MANAGEMENTRECENTLY REMODELED UNITSLARGE KITCHEN AND DINING AREAFULL-MASONRY BRICK FACADE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $310k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $271/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $310k).
  • Recommended offer: $282k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 260 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,831/mo this rent would consume 75% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 1923% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $87k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask is 38894% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $233k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $282,100 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
10.49%
Cash-on-cash
15.00%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$246,723
List price
$310,000
Delta
25.65%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3923 Dunnica Ave 0.65mi 4/4.0 3,330 (+2%) 17mo $299,900 $90 52
4258 Schiller Pl 0.46mi 2/2.0 3,168 (-3%) 19mo $70,000 $22 50
3927 Dunnica Ave 0.65mi 4/4.0 3,400 (+4%) 17mo $299,900 $88 48
4026 Bates St 0.60mi —/— 3,536 (+8%) 12mo $250,000 $71 48
3938 Chippewa St 0.67mi 4/4.0 3,128 (-4%) 19mo $179,900 $58 46
3923 Keokuk St 0.60mi 4/4.0 3,060 (-6%) 20mo $240,000 $78 45
3928 Dunnica Ave 0.62mi 4/4.0 2,958 (-9%) 14mo $260,000 $88 43
3660 Neosho St 0.69mi 5/4.0 3,400 (+4%) 22mo $249,900 $74 43
4234 Dewey Ave 0.75mi 4/4.0 3,536 (+8%) 18mo $194,900 $55 36
5600 Morganford Rd 0.56mi 2/1.0 3,120 (-4%) 23mo $299,000 $96 35
3931 Keokuk St 0.59mi 16/16.0 3,668 (+12%) 12mo $90,000 $25 22
3620-3626 Morganford (4-family) 0.74mi 7/7.0 2,800 (-14%) 10mo $369,000 $132 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.2%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$17,352
Equity at exit
$46,222
10-year hold
IRR
14.3%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$97,890
Equity at exit
$26,803

Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63116

Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
260
Price-to-rent
27.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,831 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,626
Tax from tax record
$187 /mo · $2,239/yr
Insurance
$129
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$805
Net cashflow
$1,085

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,457
Max offer price $310,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,261 -5% $1,173 +0% $1,085 +5% $997 +10% $910
Rent -10% $782 -5% $934 +0% $1,085 +5% $1,236 +10% $1,388
Rate -1.0pp $1,241 -0.5pp $1,164 base $1,085 +0.5pp $1,005 +1.0pp $923

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $3,831

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,500
Closing costs
$9,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3807 Potomac St Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 2588 $1,100 $0.43 44d 1 1.08mi
3807 Potomac St Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 2588 $1,300 $0.50 8d 1 1.08mi
3653 S Grand Blvd Saint Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 2050 $1,350 $0.66 2d 4 1.09mi
5042 Pernod Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 2870 $900 $0.31 44d 1 1.26mi
755 Dover Pl Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 2750 $1,000 $0.36 44d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $310,000 Pending 116 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $310,000 Active 116 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $310,000 Active 115 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $310,000 Active 114 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $310,000 Active 111 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $310,000 Active 110 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $310,000 Active 109 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $310,000 Active 108 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $310,000 Active 107 DOM
  10. 2026-04-21
    historical $795
  11. 2026-04-08
    listed $795
  12. 2026-02-13
    listed $310,000 Active 580-char remark
    Show marketing remark (580 chars)

    — Four family income producing property in Prime Tower Grove South — Opportunity for value-add investment — Professional management in place — Spacious, recently remodeled 1 bedroom/1 bathroom units, averaging 816 sq. ft. — Large kitchen and dining area — Full-masonry brick facade in traditional South City St. Louis architectural style — Recent Capital Expenditures includes upgraded electric, HVAC, stacks, and roof replaced in 2024 — Off-street parking — Great location, just minutes from Tower Grove Park and South Grand

  13. 2026-02-13
    historical $310,000 580-char remark
    Show marketing remark (580 chars)

    — Four family income producing property in Prime Tower Grove South — Opportunity for value-add investment — Professional management in place — Spacious, recently remodeled 1 bedroom/1 bathroom units, averaging 816 sq. ft. — Large kitchen and dining area — Full-masonry brick facade in traditional South City St. Louis architectural style — Recent Capital Expenditures includes upgraded electric, HVAC, stacks, and roof replaced in 2024 — Off-street parking — Great location, just minutes from Tower Grove Park and South Grand

  14. 2025-06-16
    price $282,900
  15. 2025-06-02
    price $284,900
  16. 2025-05-11
    price $289,900
  17. 2025-04-24
    price $299,900
  18. 2025-04-03
    price $304,900
  19. 2025-03-20
    listed $319,900 Active
  20. 2020-07-17
    soldstatus $232,900
  21. 2020-07-13
    soldstatus Closed
  22. 2020-06-17
    status Pending
  23. 2020-06-04
    historical Active Under Contract
  24. 2020-05-28
    status Active
  25. 2020-05-21
    historical Active Under Contract
  26. 2020-04-30
    listed $232,900 Active
  27. 2012-12-11
    soldstatus
  28. 2005-02-02
    soldstatus $189,000
  29. 2003-03-07
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,239 · $187/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,007 · $251/mo
Expected delta
+$768/yr (+$64/mo · 34.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$45,972
− Mortgage interest
−$17,365
− Property taxes
−$2,239
− Insurance
−$1,550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,678
− Management
−$3,678
− Depreciation
−$9,018
Taxable income
$8,445
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,027
After-tax cash flow
$10,994/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
City population
283,259
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
42,170
Household income
$61,433
Rent vs Own
43.1% rent · 56.9% own
Severe rent burden
1923.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 2% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -271.19%
Current HPI
215.7108
Rent YoY
▲ 2.62%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+64.0% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Rental Removed $795 SHOWMOJO
  • 2026-04-08 Listed for Rent $795 SHOWMOJO
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $310,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-13 Coming Soon $310,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-16 Price Changed $282,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-02 Price Changed $284,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-11 Price Changed $289,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-24 Price Changed $299,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-03 Price Changed $304,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-20 Listed $319,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $232,900 Public Records
  • 2020-07-13 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-06-17 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-06-04 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-05-28 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-05-21 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-04-30 Listed $232,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-12-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $189,000 Public Records
  • 2003-03-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,239 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…