🏷️ Likely Rental
1502 Shields Ave · Chicago Heights, IL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great value opportunity in Chicago Heights! This spacious 2-unit building offers (2) 2-bed, 1-bath units with a total of 1,887 sq ft. Both units are currently month-to-month, providing flexibility for future updates, repositioning, or owner-occupant potential. Property has a solid layout with plenty of upside for the right investor. Convenient location near parks, schools, and major routes. Sold as-is.
Key facts
- 2 unit building
- 3,049 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession at closing
- Financial info: Special service area: No; Unit 1 currently rents for $300 (month-to-month); security deposit listed as $0; Unit 2 is month-to-month; Tenant responsibility: Unit 1 tenant pays all utilities; Unit 2 tenant pays none
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces (2 parking spaces total)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: Two- to four-unit building (two units total); Fee simple ownership; Over 100 years old; Brick construction; Built before 1978
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 37 x 79; Lot less than 0.25 acre; Close to commuter bus and train service and interstate access
Interior
- Kitchen: Each unit includes a stove, refrigerator, and microwave
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (2 on the first floor, 2 on the second floor — each unit is a 2-bedroom unit)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (one in each unit)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: 8 total rooms; Unfinished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Tenants pay all utilities for Unit 1; Unit 2 tenant pays none
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $43k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 38.3% vs local median 6.4% in Chicago Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#339 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
- Bloom Twp Hsd 206 (suburban): math 8% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #591 of 620 in IL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 38.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 114.46%
- DSCR
- 6.09
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $222,666
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 16th St | 0.18mi | 4/1.5 | 1,860 (-1%) | 7mo | $81,000 | $44 | 81 |
| 1231 Washington St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,880 (-0%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $130 | 77 |
| 241 W 16th St | 0.12mi | 4/3.0 | 1,642 (-13%) | 19mo | $226,000 | $138 | 52 |
| 1202 Washington St | 0.41mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,702 (-10%) | 23mo | $201,000 | $118 | 41 |
| 60 E 13th St | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,000 (+6%) | 22mo | $223,000 | $112 | 32 |
| 180 E 23rd St | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 1,656 (-12%) | 17mo | $115,000 | $69 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.05×
- Total profit
- $82,999
- Equity at exit
- $7,306
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 16.53×
- Total profit
- $213,040
- Equity at exit
- $4,237
Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60411
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,085 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$257
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$61 /mo · $735/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$438
- Net cashflow
- $1,309
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,250
- Closing costs
- $1,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 W 14th Pl Unit 1 Chicago Heights, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 10d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1665 Buena Vista Ave Unit 3 Chicago Heights, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,800 | $1.06 | 18d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $49,000 Pending 209 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,000 Contingent - No Showings 208 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,000 Contingent - No Showings 207 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,000 Contingent - No Showings 204 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,000 Contingent - No Showings 203 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,000 Contingent - No Showings 202 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $49,000 Contingent - No Showings 199 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,000 Contingent - No Showings 198 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,000 Contingent - No Showings 197 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,000 Contingent - No Showings 196 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,000 Contingent - No Showings 195 DOM
-
2026-04-26historical Contingent - No Showings
-
2026-04-04status Active
-
2025-12-17historical Contingent - Continue to Show
-
2025-11-25price $49,000
-
2025-11-17$59,000 Active
-
1994-10-14soldstatus $67,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,023
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,745
- − Property taxes
- −$735
- − Insurance
- −$245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,002
- − Management
- −$2,002
- − Depreciation
- −$1,425
- Taxable income
- $15,869
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,809
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,896/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bloom Twp Hsd 206
- NCES district ID
- 1706420
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,795
- Composite
- 7.4/100
- National rank
- #9952
- State rank
- #591 of 620 in IL
Livability — Chicago Heights
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #339
- US rank
- #6836
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chicago Heights, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 52,175
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,175
- Household income
- $62,073
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1714.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 19% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.75%
- Current HPI
- 212.4058
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.48%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
-26.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-04 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-17 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $49,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-17 Listed $59,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2023): $4,352 · +31.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…