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1502 Shields Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 43.41
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,000

1502 Shields Ave · Chicago Heights, IL 60411
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,887 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 209 Days on market
Built 1913 3,049 sqft lot ↓ 27% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great value opportunity in Chicago Heights! This spacious 2-unit building offers (2) 2-bed, 1-bath units with a total of 1,887 sq ft. Both units are currently month-to-month, providing flexibility for future updates, repositioning, or owner-occupant potential. Property has a solid layout with plenty of upside for the right investor. Convenient location near parks, schools, and major routes. Sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 2 unit building
  • 3,049 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

2 UNIT BUILDINGCONVENIENT LOCATION NEAR PARKS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession at closing
  • Financial info: Special service area: No; Unit 1 currently rents for $300 (month-to-month); security deposit listed as $0; Unit 2 is month-to-month; Tenant responsibility: Unit 1 tenant pays all utilities; Unit 2 tenant pays none

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces (2 parking spaces total)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
  • Home design: Two- to four-unit building (two units total); Fee simple ownership; Over 100 years old; Brick construction; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 37 x 79; Lot less than 0.25 acre; Close to commuter bus and train service and interstate access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Each unit includes a stove, refrigerator, and microwave
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (2 on the first floor, 2 on the second floor — each unit is a 2-bedroom unit)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (one in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms; Unfinished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Tenants pay all utilities for Unit 1; Unit 2 tenant pays none

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $49,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$222,666) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $49k).
  • Recommended offer: $43k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 38.3% vs local median 6.4% in Chicago Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#339 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Bloom Twp Hsd 206 (suburban): math 8% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #591 of 620 in IL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $43,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.26%
Cap rate
38.34%
Cash-on-cash
114.46%
DSCR
6.09
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$222,666
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
215 16th St 0.18mi 4/1.5 1,860 (-1%) 7mo $81,000 $44 81
1231 Washington St 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,880 (-0%) 2mo $245,000 $130 77
241 W 16th St 0.12mi 4/3.0 1,642 (-13%) 19mo $226,000 $138 52
1202 Washington St 0.41mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,702 (-10%) 23mo $201,000 $118 41
60 E 13th St 0.71mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,000 (+6%) 22mo $223,000 $112 32
180 E 23rd St 0.74mi 4/2.0 1,656 (-12%) 17mo $115,000 $69 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.48% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.05×
Total profit
$82,999
Equity at exit
$7,306
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.53×
Total profit
$213,040
Equity at exit
$4,237

Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60411

Home prices YoY
-33.9%
Rents YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
222
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,085 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$257
Tax est. 1.5%
$61 /mo · $735/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$438
Net cashflow
$1,309

Break-even live

Break-even rent $429
Max offer price $49,000
Occupancy floor 32%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,250
Closing costs
$1,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
41 W 14th Pl Unit 1 Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,750 $1.40 10d 1 0.93mi
1665 Buena Vista Ave Unit 3 Chicago Heights, IL 4.0 1.0 1700 $1,800 $1.06 18d 1 1.12mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $49,000 Pending 209 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,000 Contingent - No Showings 208 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,000 Contingent - No Showings 207 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,000 Contingent - No Showings 204 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,000 Contingent - No Showings 203 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,000 Contingent - No Showings 202 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $49,000 Contingent - No Showings 199 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,000 Contingent - No Showings 198 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,000 Contingent - No Showings 197 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,000 Contingent - No Showings 196 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,000 Contingent - No Showings 195 DOM
  12. 2026-04-26
    historical Contingent - No Showings
  13. 2026-04-04
    status Active
  14. 2025-12-17
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  15. 2025-11-25
    price $49,000
  16. 2025-11-17
    listed $59,000 Active
  17. 1994-10-14
    soldstatus $67,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,023
− Mortgage interest
−$2,745
− Property taxes
−$735
− Insurance
−$245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,002
− Management
−$2,002
− Depreciation
−$1,425
Taxable income
$15,869
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,809
After-tax cash flow
$11,896/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bloom Twp Hsd 206
NCES district ID
1706420
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
9% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$39,795
Composite
7.4/100
National rank
#9952
State rank
#591 of 620 in IL

Livability — Chicago Heights

Score
71/100
State rank
#339
US rank
#6836

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chicago Heights, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
52,175
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
52,175
Household income
$62,073
Rent vs Own
34.8% rent · 65.2% own
Severe rent burden
1714.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 19% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.75%
Current HPI
212.4058
Rent YoY
▲ 6.48%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-26.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-04 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-17 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-25 Price Changed $49,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-17 Listed $59,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1994-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $4,352 · +31.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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