13210 Lemon Ave · Eustis, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Appreciation +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$47,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * RESORT-STYLE WATERFRONT COMMUNITY * * Beautiful 2/2 (double-wide) with bonus room available for sale or rent. Home features new floors, kitchen counter + cabinets, bathrooms, washer/dryer and other appliances. Home is located in 55+ community which offers fishing (Lake Eustis), Billiards, Shuffleboard, Pool and so much more. * * * * * Serious Inquires Only * * * * * Available for sale/rent by private owner Sale Price: $47.9K Rental Price: $1650 (lot rent included) 2BR / 2Ba 1264ft2 available manufactured w/ d in unit carport air conditioning Grand Island Resort is located on the sparkling waters of Lake Eustis, one of Lake County's major lakes. Residents enjoy some of the
Key facts
- New floors
- Waterfront community
- Swimming pool
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: House
- Construction: 1,264 square feet of living area
- Exterior features: Approximately 1-acre lot
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $48k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $852 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $48k).
- Recommended offer: $42k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.6% vs local median 4.5% in Eustis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#309 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $331 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 76.26%
- DSCR
- 4.39
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $290,720
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36315 Stratford Ct | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,131 (-10%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $221 | 65 |
| 12584 Wedgefield Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,264 (0%) | 1mo | $252,500 | $200 | 63 |
| 36445 Doral Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,264 (0%) | 9mo | $256,000 | $203 | 60 |
| 13820 Adams St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,196 (-5%) | 10mo | $285,000 | $238 | 46 |
| 36534 Chain OF Lakes Rd | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,410 (+12%) | 15mo | $324,000 | $230 | 40 |
| 2024 Meadowside Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,422 (+12%) | 10mo | $345,000 | $243 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 76.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.47×
- Total profit
- $46,547
- Equity at exit
- $7,142
- IRR
- 79.9%
- Equity multiple
- 9.24×
- Total profit
- $110,526
- Equity at exit
- $4,142
Cash invested: $13,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32735
- Home prices YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 76
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,498 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$251
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$60 /mo · $718/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $852
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $885 | -5% $869 | +0% $852 | +5% $836 | +10% $819 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $734 | -5% $793 | +0% $852 | +5% $912 | +10% $971 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $876 | -0.5pp $865 | base $852 | +0.5pp $840 | +1.0pp $827 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,975
- Closing costs
- $1,437
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36126 Plum Ave Grand Island, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1393 | $1,599 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 36116 Plum Ave Grand Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $1,299 | $0.95 | 13d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 13124 Lemon Ave Grand Island, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,399 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 13122 Grape Ave Grand Island, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1123 | $1,299 | $1.16 | 17d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 13228 Grand Terrace Dr Grand Island, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,900 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 37124 Scenic Ridge Dr Grand Island, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $2,049 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 35901 Joewood Ave Leesburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1483 | $2,100 | $1.42 | 18d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 35689 Rose Moss Ave Leesburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 5d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $47,900 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $47,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $47,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $47,900 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $47,900 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $47,900 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $47,900 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $47,900 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $47,900 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $47,900 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $47,900 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $47,900 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $47,900 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-01-21price $47,900
-
2025-12-05$54,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,975
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,683
- − Property taxes
- −$718
- − Insurance
- −$240
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,438
- − Management
- −$1,438
- − Depreciation
- −$1,393
- Taxable income
- $10,065
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,415
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,813/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake
- NCES district ID
- 1201050
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 42.05/100
- National rank
- #3327
- State rank
- #37 of 73 in FL
Livability — Eustis
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #309
- US rank
- #5286
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 24,715
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,346
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 386,640 people
- By 2030
- 417,107 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 476,676 · +23.3%
- By 2050
- 531,296 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 648,303 · +67.7%
- By 2100
- 698,530 · +80.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Two or more races 8% Black 7% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Danish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.00%
- Current HPI
- 267.8376
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-12.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-21 Price Changed $47,900 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2025-12-05 Listed $54,900 ForSaleByOwner.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…