1009 Hinton St · Petersburg, VA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 48.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
1009 Hinton St offers a fantastic investment opportunity with two updated units, ideal for adding to your rental portfolio or owner-occupying one unit while generating income from the other. Recent renovations provide peace of mind with modern finishes tenants love, while the duplex layout offers strong flexibility and cash flow potential. Conveniently located near downtown Petersburg, major highways, shopping, dining, and local employers. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just getting started, this turnkey multifamily property is an opportunity you won’t want to miss!
Key facts
- 5,292 sq ft lot
- Built 1905
- Listed 5 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two-unit property with both units currently leased; Unit rents reported as $950 and $920
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story building; Built as originally reported (actual year built details available)
- Construction: Frame and vinyl siding construction; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Vinyl siding; Frame construction; Zoned M-1
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchens include standard appliances (specific appliance lists not provided)
- Bedrooms: Each unit has 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Each unit has an individual water heater
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer hookups in each unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $238 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (5.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $203k (5.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.5% in Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#413 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Petersburg City Public School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #131 of 131 in VA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 290 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 118 units permitted in Petersburg city in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- Petersburg County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $156k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 48% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.74%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.45% appreciation · 5.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $29,965
- Equity at exit
- $78,462
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $118,238
- Equity at exit
- $108,304
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23803
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.9%
- Active inventory
- 290
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,031 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$427
- Net cashflow
- $238
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 922 Wilcox St Petersburg, VA | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1985 | $1,799 | $0.91 | 2d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1137 Willcox St Petersburg, VA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1872 | $2,600 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 608 Halifax St Unit 608 Petersburg, VA | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2288 | $1,699 | $0.74 | 2d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1021 Melville St Petersburg, VA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2014 | $1,899 | $0.94 | 16d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 616 S Jefferson St Petersburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2400 | $1,957 | $0.82 | 2d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-21historical $215,000
-
2025-03-16historical $900
-
2025-03-07$900
-
2024-04-12soldstatus $156,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,798 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,798 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 48% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,376
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$1,798
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,950
- − Management
- −$1,950
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$695
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$167
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,021/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Petersburg City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102910
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,362
- Composite
- 28.78/100
- National rank
- #6670
- State rank
- #131 of 131 in VA
Livability — Petersburg
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #413
- US rank
- #17309
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Petersburg, VA
- County
- Chesterfield County · 406,988 people
- City population
- 63,420
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,012
- Household income
- $57,813
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2485.0
Population outlook (Petersburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,488 people
- By 2030
- 29,771 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 28,401 · -6.8%
- By 2050
- 27,279 · -10.5%
- By 2075
- 25,877 · -15.1%
- By 2100
- 24,288 · -20.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Petersburg
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+72.8) · D 85.8% · R 13.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 72.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+72.8 2020: D+76.5 2016: D+77.0 2012: D+80.4 2008: D+78.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.45%
- Current HPI
- 480.5365
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.89%
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+37.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Coming Soon $215,000 CVRMLS
- 2025-03-16 Rental Removed $900 APPFOLIO
- 2025-03-07 Listed for Rent $900 APPFOLIO
- 2024-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $156,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,798 · +126.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…