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3811 Manistique St
B Composite 70.76
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

3811 Manistique St · Detroit, MI 48215
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,307 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1924 3,049 sqft lot $84/sqft · 20% below area Est $137k · 20% under ↓ 21% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Experience this move-in-ready 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home perfectly situated in a convenient location near Grosse Pointe. This residence has been completely updated for a fresh, modern feel, featuring a brand-new kitchen, new bathrooms, and new flooring throughout - including luxury vinyl plank (LVP) and plush new carpet. Major updates provide complete peace of mind, with a new roof (2022), new windows (2023), new doors (2024), new siding (2025), and new plumbing (2025). Designed for effortless living and immediate occupancy, this home is truly ready to move in. Please do not disturb the occupants, the home is monitored 24/7

Key facts

  • New kitchen
  • New flooring
  • Move in ready

Tags

MOVE IN READYNEW KITCHENNEW BATHROOMSNEW FLOORINGNEW ROOFNEW WINDOWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $345 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $106,603 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.06%
Cash-on-cash
13.46%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$136,820
List price
$109,900
Delta
-19.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4404 Somerset Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,292 (-1%) 0mo $190,000 $147 65
1332 Wayburn St 0.49mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,248 (-4%) 3mo $335,000 $268 62
3974 Somerset Ave 0.50mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,256 (-4%) 5mo $165,000 $131 59
4810 Lakepointe St 0.58mi 4/1.0 1,218 (-7%) 3mo $200,000 $164 59
3686 Wayburn St 0.18mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,140 (-13%) 6mo $110,000 $96 58
4643 Somerset Ave 0.62mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,366 (+4%) 3mo $80,000 $59 54
3677 Somerset Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,154 (-12%) 0mo $69,000 $60 53
3636 Buckingham Ave 0.72mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,297 (-1%) 6mo $179,900 $139 53
3619 Buckingham Ave 0.70mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,374 (+5%) 1mo $175,000 $127 51
1330 Beaconsfield St 0.60mi 4/1.0 1,144 (-12%) 0mo $285,000 $249 51
4619 Balfour Rd 0.66mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,188 (-9%) 2mo $44,000 $37 48
4751 Lakepointe St 0.55mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,150 (-12%) 6mo $155,000 $135 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$4,191
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
13.1%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$32,036
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48215

Home prices YoY
-24.1%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,398 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax est. 1.5%
$137 /mo · $1,648/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$345

Break-even live

Break-even rent $961
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4251 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1326 $1,650 $1.24 43d 1 0.28mi
1348 Wayburn St Grosse Pointe, MI 3.0 2.0 1035 $2,200 $2.13 24d 1 0.45mi
3625 Chatsworth St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1182 $1,295 $1.10 24d 1 0.61mi
3651 Buckingham Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1320 $1,300 $0.98 17d 1 0.71mi
1042 Wayburn St Grosse Pointe Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,575 $1.57 5d 1 0.91mi
3626 Courville St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,300 $1.03 43d 1 1.02mi
5747 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1316 $1,473 $1.12 43d 1 1.11mi
5028 Bedford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 5d 1 1.13mi
5267 Haverhill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1458 $1,300 $0.89 16d 1 1.14mi
5267 Haverhill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1458 $1,300 $0.89 17d 1 1.14mi
875 Philip St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1353 $1,400 $1.03 43d 1 1.15mi
5751 Nottingham Rd Unit 5/21/26 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 15d 1 1.15mi
5791 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1660 $1,400 $0.84 17d 1 1.22mi
5574 Buckingham Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1430 $1,450 $1.01 4d 1 1.22mi
5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1366 $1,500 $1.10 24d 1 1.25mi
734 Ashland St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1110 $1,300 $1.17 24d 1 1.29mi
734 Ashland St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1110 $1,300 $1.17 22d 1 1.29mi
9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,300 $1.02 20d 1 1.45mi
9409 Balfour Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1195 $1,200 $1.00 43d 1 1.46mi
9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,150 $0.88 5d 1 1.48mi
15857 Evanston St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1232 $1,250 $1.01 5d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    price $109,900 631-char remark
    Show marketing remark (635 chars)

    Experience this move-in-ready 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home perfectly situated in a convenient location near Grosse Pointe. This residence has been completely updated for a fresh, modern feel, featuring a brand-new kitchen, new bathrooms, and new flooring throughout—including luxury vinyl plank (LVP) and plush new carpet. Major updates provide complete peace of mind, with a new roof (2022), new windows (2023), new doors (2024), new siding (2025), and new plumbing (2025). Designed for effortless living and immediate occupancy, this home is truly ready to move in. Please do not disturb the occupants, the home is monitored 24/7

  2. 2026-05-15
    price $109,900 635-char remark
    Show marketing remark (635 chars)

    Experience this move-in-ready 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home perfectly situated in a convenient location near Grosse Pointe. This residence has been completely updated for a fresh, modern feel, featuring a brand-new kitchen, new bathrooms, and new flooring throughout—including luxury vinyl plank (LVP) and plush new carpet. Major updates provide complete peace of mind, with a new roof (2022), new windows (2023), new doors (2024), new siding (2025), and new plumbing (2025). Designed for effortless living and immediate occupancy, this home is truly ready to move in. Please do not disturb the occupants, the home is monitored 24/7

  3. 2026-04-09
    listed $139,900 Active 635-char remark
    Show marketing remark (631 chars)

    Experience this move-in-ready 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home perfectly situated in a convenient location near Grosse Pointe. This residence has been completely updated for a fresh, modern feel, featuring a brand-new kitchen, new bathrooms, and new flooring throughout - including luxury vinyl plank (LVP) and plush new carpet. Major updates provide complete peace of mind, with a new roof (2022), new windows (2023), new doors (2024), new siding (2025), and new plumbing (2025). Designed for effortless living and immediate occupancy, this home is truly ready to move in. Please do not disturb the occupants, the home is monitored 24/7

  4. 2026-04-09
    listed $139,900 Active 631-char remark
    Show marketing remark (631 chars)

    Experience this move-in-ready 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home perfectly situated in a convenient location near Grosse Pointe. This residence has been completely updated for a fresh, modern feel, featuring a brand-new kitchen, new bathrooms, and new flooring throughout - including luxury vinyl plank (LVP) and plush new carpet. Major updates provide complete peace of mind, with a new roof (2022), new windows (2023), new doors (2024), new siding (2025), and new plumbing (2025). Designed for effortless living and immediate occupancy, this home is truly ready to move in. Please do not disturb the occupants, the home is monitored 24/7

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,778
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$1,648
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,342
− Management
−$1,342
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$2,543
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$610
After-tax cash flow
$3,531/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
City population
572,865
Population (ZIP)
10,238

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 87% White 9% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.84%
Current HPI
191.0405
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-21.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $109,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-17.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $29 · -87.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…