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17650 Walnut Trl
B+ Composite 76.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • Schools +7.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$230,000

17650 Walnut Trl · Bainbridge, OH 44023
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,740 sqft · Condo public records · 100 Days on market
Built 1978 $132/sqft · 18% below area Est $280k · 18% under $563/mo HOA · 16% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Situated in the beloved Tanglewood Lake community in Bainbridge, this wonderful condo offers comfortable living, generous space, and access to outstanding neighborhood amenities. An inviting entry welcomes you into the spacious living room, highlighted by a a perfectly placed bookshelf and sliding doors that lead to the private back deck. The light-filled kitchen is both functional and inviting, featuring an eat-in breakfast area, center island, abundant countertop space, and ample cabinetry for storage. Convenience is key with a roomy coat closet and a well-placed half bath located just off the entry, ideal for guests and everyday comings and goings. Upstairs, you’ll find three comfortable bedrooms and two full baths. The primary suite features high ceilings and an attached bath with a large vanity. Two additional bedrooms share a renovated hall bath featuring new countertops, flooring, and lighting. The lower level provides valuable additional living space and can easily serve as a recreation room, home gym or play area—offering flexibility to suit your lifestyle. Recent updates include a new deck (2022), kitchen updates including counters, appliances, lighting and flooring (2012), upstairs secondary full bath renovation (2024) and more! See supplements for details. Warm weather will be enjoyed taking advantage of all the amenities of Tanglewood Lake, including the private lake, beach access and playground.

Key facts

  • Roomy coat closet
  • Private back deck
  • Ample cabinetry

Tags

PRIVATE BACK DECKBUILT-IN BOOKSHELFEAT-IN BREAKFAST AREACENTER ISLANDAMPLE CABINETRYROOMY COAT CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $634 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $230k).
  • Recommended offer: $209k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.1% in Bainbridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#546 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Kenston Local (suburban): math 82% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #24 of 656 in OH (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Timmons Elementary School (math 92% / reading 77%, grade A+, #68 of 1,584 statewide, top 6%, 798 students, 6% FRL); Kenston Middle School (math 80% / reading 83%, grade A+, #36 of 654 statewide, top 6%, 602 students, 10% FRL); Kenston High School (math 78% / reading 90%, grade A, #17 of 781 statewide, top 2%, 790 students, 7% FRL) — zoned schools at 8% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 220 units permitted in Geauga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($130k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Geauga County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $142k; list at $230k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $209,300 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.57%
Cap rate
9.60%
Cash-on-cash
11.81%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$279,598
List price
$230,000
Delta
-17.74%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$3,533
Equity at exit
$34,294
10-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$56,826
Equity at exit
$19,886

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44023

Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,600 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$345 /mo · $4,143/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$563
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$756
Net cashflow
$634

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,798
Max offer price $230,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $764 -5% $699 +0% $634 +5% $569 +10% $504
Rent -10% $349 -5% $492 +0% $634 +5% $776 +10% $918
Rate -1.0pp $750 -0.5pp $692 base $634 +0.5pp $574 +1.0pp $514

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17836 Kingswood Dr Chagrin Falls, OH 4.0 2.0 2200 $3,600 $1.64 12d 1 0.70mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$563 · $6,756/yr
Likely covers
gym
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $230,000 Contingent 100 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $230,000 Active 97 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $230,000 Active 96 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $230,000 Active 95 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $230,000 Active 94 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $230,000 Active 92 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $230,000 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $230,000 Active 88 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $230,000 Active 87 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $245,000 Active 86 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $245,000 Active 83 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $245,000 Active 82 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $245,000 Active 81 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $245,000 Active 80 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $245,000 Active 79 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    price $245,000 1444-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1444 chars)

    Situated in the beloved Tanglewood Lake community in Bainbridge, this wonderful condo offers comfortable living, generous space, and access to outstanding neighborhood amenities. An inviting entry welcomes you into the spacious living room, highlighted by a a perfectly placed bookshelf and sliding doors that lead to the private back deck. The light-filled kitchen is both functional and inviting, featuring an eat-in breakfast area, center island, abundant countertop space, and ample cabinetry for storage. Convenience is key with a roomy coat closet and a well-placed half bath located just off the entry, ideal for guests and everyday comings and goings. Upstairs, you’ll find three comfortable bedrooms and two full baths. The primary suite features high ceilings and an attached bath with a large vanity. Two additional bedrooms share a renovated hall bath featuring new countertops, flooring, and lighting. The lower level provides valuable additional living space and can easily serve as a recreation room, home gym or play area—offering flexibility to suit your lifestyle. Recent updates include a new deck (2022), kitchen updates including counters, appliances, lighting and flooring (2012), upstairs secondary full bath renovation (2024) and more! See supplements for details. Warm weather will be enjoyed taking advantage of all the amenities of Tanglewood Lake, including the private lake, beach access and playground.

  17. 2026-04-17
    status Active 1444-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1444 chars)

    Situated in the beloved Tanglewood Lake community in Bainbridge, this wonderful condo offers comfortable living, generous space, and access to outstanding neighborhood amenities. An inviting entry welcomes you into the spacious living room, highlighted by a a perfectly placed bookshelf and sliding doors that lead to the private back deck. The light-filled kitchen is both functional and inviting, featuring an eat-in breakfast area, center island, abundant countertop space, and ample cabinetry for storage. Convenience is key with a roomy coat closet and a well-placed half bath located just off the entry, ideal for guests and everyday comings and goings. Upstairs, you’ll find three comfortable bedrooms and two full baths. The primary suite features high ceilings and an attached bath with a large vanity. Two additional bedrooms share a renovated hall bath featuring new countertops, flooring, and lighting. The lower level provides valuable additional living space and can easily serve as a recreation room, home gym or play area—offering flexibility to suit your lifestyle. Recent updates include a new deck (2022), kitchen updates including counters, appliances, lighting and flooring (2012), upstairs secondary full bath renovation (2024) and more! See supplements for details. Warm weather will be enjoyed taking advantage of all the amenities of Tanglewood Lake, including the private lake, beach access and playground.

  18. 2026-04-17
    price $260,000 1444-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1444 chars)

    Situated in the beloved Tanglewood Lake community in Bainbridge, this wonderful condo offers comfortable living, generous space, and access to outstanding neighborhood amenities. An inviting entry welcomes you into the spacious living room, highlighted by a a perfectly placed bookshelf and sliding doors that lead to the private back deck. The light-filled kitchen is both functional and inviting, featuring an eat-in breakfast area, center island, abundant countertop space, and ample cabinetry for storage. Convenience is key with a roomy coat closet and a well-placed half bath located just off the entry, ideal for guests and everyday comings and goings. Upstairs, you’ll find three comfortable bedrooms and two full baths. The primary suite features high ceilings and an attached bath with a large vanity. Two additional bedrooms share a renovated hall bath featuring new countertops, flooring, and lighting. The lower level provides valuable additional living space and can easily serve as a recreation room, home gym or play area—offering flexibility to suit your lifestyle. Recent updates include a new deck (2022), kitchen updates including counters, appliances, lighting and flooring (2012), upstairs secondary full bath renovation (2024) and more! See supplements for details. Warm weather will be enjoyed taking advantage of all the amenities of Tanglewood Lake, including the private lake, beach access and playground.

  19. 2026-03-28
    historical Contingent 1444-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1444 chars)

    Situated in the beloved Tanglewood Lake community in Bainbridge, this wonderful condo offers comfortable living, generous space, and access to outstanding neighborhood amenities. An inviting entry welcomes you into the spacious living room, highlighted by a a perfectly placed bookshelf and sliding doors that lead to the private back deck. The light-filled kitchen is both functional and inviting, featuring an eat-in breakfast area, center island, abundant countertop space, and ample cabinetry for storage. Convenience is key with a roomy coat closet and a well-placed half bath located just off the entry, ideal for guests and everyday comings and goings. Upstairs, you’ll find three comfortable bedrooms and two full baths. The primary suite features high ceilings and an attached bath with a large vanity. Two additional bedrooms share a renovated hall bath featuring new countertops, flooring, and lighting. The lower level provides valuable additional living space and can easily serve as a recreation room, home gym or play area—offering flexibility to suit your lifestyle. Recent updates include a new deck (2022), kitchen updates including counters, appliances, lighting and flooring (2012), upstairs secondary full bath renovation (2024) and more! See supplements for details. Warm weather will be enjoyed taking advantage of all the amenities of Tanglewood Lake, including the private lake, beach access and playground.

  20. 2026-03-13
    listed $270,000 Active 1444-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1444 chars)

    Situated in the beloved Tanglewood Lake community in Bainbridge, this wonderful condo offers comfortable living, generous space, and access to outstanding neighborhood amenities. An inviting entry welcomes you into the spacious living room, highlighted by a a perfectly placed bookshelf and sliding doors that lead to the private back deck. The light-filled kitchen is both functional and inviting, featuring an eat-in breakfast area, center island, abundant countertop space, and ample cabinetry for storage. Convenience is key with a roomy coat closet and a well-placed half bath located just off the entry, ideal for guests and everyday comings and goings. Upstairs, you’ll find three comfortable bedrooms and two full baths. The primary suite features high ceilings and an attached bath with a large vanity. Two additional bedrooms share a renovated hall bath featuring new countertops, flooring, and lighting. The lower level provides valuable additional living space and can easily serve as a recreation room, home gym or play area—offering flexibility to suit your lifestyle. Recent updates include a new deck (2022), kitchen updates including counters, appliances, lighting and flooring (2012), upstairs secondary full bath renovation (2024) and more! See supplements for details. Warm weather will be enjoyed taking advantage of all the amenities of Tanglewood Lake, including the private lake, beach access and playground.

  21. 1999-01-27
    soldstatus $142,300
  22. 1998-12-07
    historical
  23. 1998-09-07
    listed $146,500
  24. 1992-12-18
    soldstatus $117,900
  25. 1987-02-03
    soldstatus $98,000
  26. 1985-09-06
    soldstatus $88,000
  27. 1985-06-07
    soldstatus $164,000
  28. 1985-02-19
    soldstatus $56,667

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,143 · $345/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,143 · $345/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,200
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$4,143
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,456
− Management
−$3,456
− HOA
−$6,756
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable income
$4,665
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,120
After-tax cash flow
$6,486/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kenston Local
NCES district ID
3904719
Math proficiency
82% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
84% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$98,273
Composite
74.76/100
National rank
#150
State rank
#24 of 656 in OH

Livability — Bainbridge

Score
68/100
State rank
#546
US rank
#9170

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bainbridge, OH
County
Geauga · 90,510 people
Metro
Cleveland, OH
Population (ZIP)
18,905
Household income
$130,452
Rent vs Own
12.9% rent · 87.1% own
Severe rent burden
2.0

Population outlook (Geauga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
94,919 people
By 2030
94,804 · -0.1%
By 2040
92,641 · -2.4%
By 2050
88,198 · -7.1%
By 2075
79,080 · -16.7%
By 2100
60,856 · -35.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Slovak 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Geauga

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.5% · R 61.7%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: -15.4pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+23.1 2016: R+25.5 2012: R+21.6 2008: R+15.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -187.84%
Current HPI
196.7428
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+332.4% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $245,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-17 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $260,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-03-28 Contingent MLSNOW
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $270,000 MLSNOW
  • 1999-01-27 Sold (MLS) $142,300 MLSNOW
  • 1998-12-07 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 1998-09-07 Listed $146,500 MLSNOW
  • 1992-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $117,900 Public Records
  • 1987-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
  • 1985-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
  • 1985-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $164,000 Public Records
  • 1985-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $56,667 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,143 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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