3141 Chatterton Dr · San Angelo, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- ARV discount +6.3/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this lovely 3bed/2bath brick home on a corner lot with beautiful curb appeal, a large covered patio, mature trees, and an extended driveway. Conveniently and centrally located in College Hills, minutes away from Unidad Park, the Red Arroyo Trail, and Bowie Elementary school! The living room features a beautiful wood burning brick fireplace, a built-in book shelf with cabinet space, and a sliding door that allows for plenty of natural light and access to the covered back patio. Enjoy the secondary spacious living area which could easily serve as a playroom, office, dining room, bedroom or extra living space; the possibilities are endless. The charming kitchen is complete with a b
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1968
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Driveway; Circular driveway; Additional paved parking; Alley access
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Brick exterior
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built in recent decades (year built not provided)
- Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Full privacy fencing; Landscaped corner lot; Paved, public-maintained city street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in electric oven; Electric cooktop; Oven; Dishwasher; Vented exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Pantry; Storage; Ceiling fans; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer and dryer hookups (electric and gas dryer hookups); Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $62 ($740/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (18.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $221k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bowie El (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,791 of 4,322 statewide, top 68%, 358 students, 61% FRL); Glenn Middle (math 25% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,177 of 1,662 statewide, top 72%, 1,258 students, 53% FRL); Central H S (math 22% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,029 of 1,632 statewide, top 64%, 3,065 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 521 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.98%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $262,775
- List price
- $269,500
- Delta
- 2.56%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3136 Chatterton Dr | 0.03mi | 3/4.0 | 2,138 (+4%) | 2mo | $189,500 | $89 | 83 |
| 3301 Chatterton Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,942 (-6%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $136 | 82 |
| 3508 Sunset Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,991 (-4%) | 1mo | $295,000 | $148 | 80 |
| 3510 Sul Ross St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,970 (-5%) | 2mo | $269,900 | $137 | 71 |
| 3814 Sunset Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 2,044 (-1%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $100 | 67 |
| 3014 Southland Blvd | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 2,040 (-1%) | 1mo | $356,000 | $175 | 64 |
| 3334 Vista Del Arroyo Dr | 0.39mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,194 (+6%) | 1mo | $320,000 | $146 | 64 |
| 3019 Sierra Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,113 (+2%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $142 | 57 |
| 2946 Cumberland Dr | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,346 (+14%) | 3mo | $269,000 | $115 | 53 |
| 3214 Rock Brook Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,822 (-12%) | 1mo | $295,000 | $162 | 51 |
| 2702 Southland Blvd | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 2,224 (+8%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $99 | 50 |
| 3201 Timber Ridge Dr | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,895 (-8%) | 2mo | $302,000 | $159 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-32,879
- Equity at exit
- $40,183
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $6,423
- Equity at exit
- $23,301
Cash invested: $75,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76904
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 521
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,209 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,413
- Tax from tax record
- −$158 /mo · $1,896/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$464
- Net cashflow
- $62
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $214 | -5% $138 | +0% $62 | +5% $-15 | +10% $-91 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-113 | -5% $-26 | +0% $62 | +5% $149 | +10% $236 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $197 | -0.5pp $130 | base $62 | +0.5pp $-8 | +1.0pp $-79 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,375
- Closing costs
- $8,085
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2820 Lindenwood Dr San Angelo, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2097 | $2,000 | $0.95 | 22d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3018 Woodland Cir San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2305 | $3,300 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2542 Lindenwood Dr San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2529 | $2,900 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2930 Sierra Cir San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2214 | $2,100 | $0.95 | 22d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3106 Sierra Dr San Angelo, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1830 | $2,495 | $1.36 | 22d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3225 Southland Blvd San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2165 | $2,500 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2625 Palo Duro Dr San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,500 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2756 Sac Ave San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1461 | $1,650 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3207 Trinity Ave San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $1,995 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2237 Valleyview Blvd San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1417 | $2,600 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2013 Rosemont Dr San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 22d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3344 Trinity Ave San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1545 | $1,900 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4802 Royal Oak Dr San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1798 | $2,300 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4330 Rimrock Cir San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $2,200 | $1.41 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4133 Shefflera Dr San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $2,300 | $1.47 | 22d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $269,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $269,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $269,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $269,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $269,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $269,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $269,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $269,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $269,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $269,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $269,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $269,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $269,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $269,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $269,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$269,500 Active 1648-char remark
-
2022-05-12$265,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,896 · $158/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,932 · $411/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,035/yr (+$253/mo · 160.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,511
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,096
- − Property taxes
- −$1,896
- − Insurance
- −$1,348
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,121
- − Management
- −$2,121
- − Depreciation
- −$7,840
- Taxable loss
- −$3,911
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$939
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,679/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Angelo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838700
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,501
- Composite
- 25.56/100
- National rank
- #7427
- State rank
- #627 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Angelo
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5030
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Angelo, TX
- County
- Tom Green County · 113,188 people
- City population
- 81,357
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,954
- Household income
- $81,833
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 778.0
Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 135,110 people
- By 2030
- 144,090 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 162,561 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 182,158 · +34.8%
- By 2075
- 232,274 · +71.9%
- By 2100
- 268,218 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 17% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 15% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -299.76%
- Current HPI
- 176.0366
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.03%
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+1.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $269,500 SAAR TX
- 2022-05-12 Listed $265,000 SAAR TX
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,896 · +15.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…