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246 Poplar St
D Composite 42.4
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,000

246 Poplar St · Bath, PA 18014
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 620 sqft · Land · 3 Days on market
5,250 sqft lot $256/sqft · 258% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming single home Excellent Corner Lot in an exceptional residential neighborhood. Oversized Garage with heat. ( Used as a "Man Cave" This cozy home has been renovated 2 yrs ago. Beautiful Kitchen area. .Lg Bathroom. Office area. .Laundry area. . This home was partially a manufactured home on a block crawl space. A stick built addition was added. .. This home was purchased and beautifully renovated 2 years ago. You'll find a private rear yard with storage building. .. and a large , heated Garage formerly used as a "man cave" Propane heat & Range. .Updated electric. .. etc. * MUST SHOW PROOF OF ABILITY TO PURCHASE PRIOR TO SETTING AN APPT !

Key facts

  • Renovated gem
  • Stick-built addition
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTSTICK-BUILT ADDITIONRENOVATED GEMDESIGNED KITCHEN SPACEPROPANE RANGEDEDICATED OFFICE AREA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; On-street parking; Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers; Propane water heater
  • Home design: Single-story property; Above-grade finished area approximately 620
  • Construction: Aluminum and wood siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built year listed as unknown; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Shed(s) and workshop; Leased propane tank; Corner, flat lot; Paved public road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven and gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Resilient flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (propane); Wall/window cooling units
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Electric dryer hookup on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $159k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($402/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (17.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.0% in Bath — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#959 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Northampton Area SD (suburban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #153 of 539 in PA (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 567 units permitted in Northampton County in 2024 (151 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $135k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,442 (17.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.55%
Cash-on-cash
0.90%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$44,461
List price
$159,000
Delta
257.62%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.9%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-23,670
Equity at exit
$23,707
10-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-18,020
Equity at exit
$13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18014

Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,314 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,258/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$33

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,272
Max offer price $159,000
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-09
    status Pending 1180-char remark
  2. 2026-05-06
    listed $159,000 Active 1180-char remark
  3. 2024-11-13
    soldstatus $135,000
  4. 2024-11-08
    soldstatus $135,000 Sold 681-char remark
    Show marketing remark (681 chars)

    Charming single home Excellent Corner Lot in an exceptional residential neighborhood. Oversized Garage with heat. ( Used as a "Man Cave" This cozy home has been renovated 2 yrs ago. Beautiful Kitchen area. .Lg Bathroom. Office area. .Laundry area. . This home was partially a manufactured home on a block crawl space. A stick built addition was added. .. This home was purchased and beautifully renovated 2 years ago. You'll find a private rear yard with storage building. .. and a large , heated Garage formerly used as a "man cave" Propane heat & Range. .Updated electric. .. etc. * MUST SHOW PROOF OF ABILITY TO PURCHASE PRIOR TO SETTING AN APPT !

  5. 2024-10-19
    status Pending 681-char remark
    Show marketing remark (681 chars)

    Charming single home Excellent Corner Lot in an exceptional residential neighborhood. Oversized Garage with heat. ( Used as a "Man Cave" This cozy home has been renovated 2 yrs ago. Beautiful Kitchen area. .Lg Bathroom. Office area. .Laundry area. . This home was partially a manufactured home on a block crawl space. A stick built addition was added. .. This home was purchased and beautifully renovated 2 years ago. You'll find a private rear yard with storage building. .. and a large , heated Garage formerly used as a "man cave" Propane heat & Range. .Updated electric. .. etc. * MUST SHOW PROOF OF ABILITY TO PURCHASE PRIOR TO SETTING AN APPT !

  6. 2024-10-15
    listed $139,900 Active 681-char remark
    Show marketing remark (681 chars)

    Charming single home Excellent Corner Lot in an exceptional residential neighborhood. Oversized Garage with heat. ( Used as a "Man Cave" This cozy home has been renovated 2 yrs ago. Beautiful Kitchen area. .Lg Bathroom. Office area. .Laundry area. . This home was partially a manufactured home on a block crawl space. A stick built addition was added. .. This home was purchased and beautifully renovated 2 years ago. You'll find a private rear yard with storage building. .. and a large , heated Garage formerly used as a "man cave" Propane heat & Range. .Updated electric. .. etc. * MUST SHOW PROOF OF ABILITY TO PURCHASE PRIOR TO SETTING AN APPT !

  7. 2022-05-17
    soldstatus $90,000
  8. 2002-04-25
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,258 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,885 · $157/mo
Expected delta
+$627/yr (+$52/mo · 49.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,773
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$1,258
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,262
− Management
−$1,262
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable loss
−$2,336
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$561
After-tax cash flow
$962/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northampton Area SD
NCES district ID
4217370
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$62,326
Composite
44.35/100
National rank
#2822
State rank
#153 of 539 in PA

Livability — Bath

Score
67/100
State rank
#959
US rank
#10512

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bath, PA
Population (ZIP)
12,474

Population outlook (Northampton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
312,227 people
By 2030
314,769 · +0.8%
By 2040
316,914 · +1.5%
By 2050
318,037 · +1.9%
By 2075
334,003 · +7.0%
By 2100
344,696 · +10.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Polish 3% Danish 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Northampton

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.6% · R 50.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.1pp toward R · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.7 2016: R+3.8 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -145.54%
Current HPI
212.4688
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+253.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $159,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2024-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2024-11-08 Sold (MLS) $135,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2024-10-19 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2024-10-15 Listed $139,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2022-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 2002-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,258 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…