246 Poplar St · Bath, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming single home Excellent Corner Lot in an exceptional residential neighborhood. Oversized Garage with heat. ( Used as a "Man Cave" This cozy home has been renovated 2 yrs ago. Beautiful Kitchen area. .Lg Bathroom. Office area. .Laundry area. . This home was partially a manufactured home on a block crawl space. A stick built addition was added. .. This home was purchased and beautifully renovated 2 years ago. You'll find a private rear yard with storage building. .. and a large , heated Garage formerly used as a "man cave" Propane heat & Range. .Updated electric. .. etc. * MUST SHOW PROOF OF ABILITY TO PURCHASE PRIOR TO SETTING AN APPT !
Key facts
- Renovated gem
- Stick-built addition
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; On-street parking; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers; Propane water heater
- Home design: Single-story property; Above-grade finished area approximately 620
- Construction: Aluminum and wood siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built year listed as unknown; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Shed(s) and workshop; Leased propane tank; Corner, flat lot; Paved public road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven and gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Resilient flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (propane); Wall/window cooling units
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Electric dryer hookup on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $159k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($402/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (17.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $131k (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.0% in Bath — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#959 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Northampton Area SD (suburban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #153 of 539 in PA (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 567 units permitted in Northampton County in 2024 (151 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $135k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.90%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $44,461
- List price
- $159,000
- Delta
- 257.62%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-23,670
- Equity at exit
- $23,707
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-18,020
- Equity at exit
- $13,747
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18014
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,314 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,258/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $33
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending 1180-char remark
-
2026-05-06$159,000 Active 1180-char remark
-
2024-11-13soldstatus $135,000
-
2024-11-08soldstatus $135,000 Sold 681-char remark
Show marketing remark (681 chars)
Charming single home Excellent Corner Lot in an exceptional residential neighborhood. Oversized Garage with heat. ( Used as a "Man Cave" This cozy home has been renovated 2 yrs ago. Beautiful Kitchen area. .Lg Bathroom. Office area. .Laundry area. . This home was partially a manufactured home on a block crawl space. A stick built addition was added. .. This home was purchased and beautifully renovated 2 years ago. You'll find a private rear yard with storage building. .. and a large , heated Garage formerly used as a "man cave" Propane heat & Range. .Updated electric. .. etc. * MUST SHOW PROOF OF ABILITY TO PURCHASE PRIOR TO SETTING AN APPT !
-
2024-10-19status Pending 681-char remark
Show marketing remark (681 chars)
Charming single home Excellent Corner Lot in an exceptional residential neighborhood. Oversized Garage with heat. ( Used as a "Man Cave" This cozy home has been renovated 2 yrs ago. Beautiful Kitchen area. .Lg Bathroom. Office area. .Laundry area. . This home was partially a manufactured home on a block crawl space. A stick built addition was added. .. This home was purchased and beautifully renovated 2 years ago. You'll find a private rear yard with storage building. .. and a large , heated Garage formerly used as a "man cave" Propane heat & Range. .Updated electric. .. etc. * MUST SHOW PROOF OF ABILITY TO PURCHASE PRIOR TO SETTING AN APPT !
-
2024-10-15$139,900 Active 681-char remark
Show marketing remark (681 chars)
Charming single home Excellent Corner Lot in an exceptional residential neighborhood. Oversized Garage with heat. ( Used as a "Man Cave" This cozy home has been renovated 2 yrs ago. Beautiful Kitchen area. .Lg Bathroom. Office area. .Laundry area. . This home was partially a manufactured home on a block crawl space. A stick built addition was added. .. This home was purchased and beautifully renovated 2 years ago. You'll find a private rear yard with storage building. .. and a large , heated Garage formerly used as a "man cave" Propane heat & Range. .Updated electric. .. etc. * MUST SHOW PROOF OF ABILITY TO PURCHASE PRIOR TO SETTING AN APPT !
-
2022-05-17soldstatus $90,000
-
2002-04-25soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,258 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,885 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- +$627/yr (+$52/mo · 49.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,773
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$1,258
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,262
- − Management
- −$1,262
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable loss
- −$2,336
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$561
- After-tax cash flow
- $962/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northampton Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4217370
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,326
- Composite
- 44.35/100
- National rank
- #2822
- State rank
- #153 of 539 in PA
Livability — Bath
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #959
- US rank
- #10512
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bath, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,474
Population outlook (Northampton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 312,227 people
- By 2030
- 314,769 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 316,914 · +1.5%
- By 2050
- 318,037 · +1.9%
- By 2075
- 334,003 · +7.0%
- By 2100
- 344,696 · +10.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Polish 3% Danish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Northampton
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.6% · R 50.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.7 2016: R+3.8 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -145.54%
- Current HPI
- 212.4688
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+253.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $159,000 GLVRMLS
- 2024-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2024-11-08 Sold (MLS) $135,000 GLVRMLS
- 2024-10-19 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2024-10-15 Listed $139,900 GLVRMLS
- 2022-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2002-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2026): $1,258 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…