205 Lasalle Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sold "as is" condition. Seller will not make any repairs. Lovely, spacious home located in Buffalo's University Heights neighborhood. 3 bedrooms with a finished attic that turns into a possible 5 bedroom home. Great for an owner occupant and / or investor. A half mile away from UB South Campus, University Plaza, various restaurants.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Private driveway
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story house; Existing/previously built property
- Construction: Cedar and wood siding; Stone foundation
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Rectangular residential lot (35 x 139)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8; Includes a laundry room
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Forced air
- Interior features: Attic; Separate/formal dining room; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $615 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,264/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1820% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $130k; list at $199k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.24%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $196,656
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 176 Lasalle Ave | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,601 (+11%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $169 | 70 |
| 14 Thornton Ave | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,445 (-0%) | 4mo | $239,900 | $166 | 65 |
| 216 Lasalle Ave | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,638 (+13%) | 6mo | $140,000 | $85 | 64 |
| 142 Englewood Ave | 0.71mi | 5/1.5 | 1,504 (+4%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $143 | 57 |
| 253 Winspear Ave | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,584 (+10%) | 6mo | $315,100 | $199 | 56 |
| 243 Berkshire Ave | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,617 (+12%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $136 | 51 |
| 37 Elmer Ave | 0.63mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,327 (-8%) | 0mo | $170,000 | $128 | 50 |
| 83 Custer St | 0.50mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,295 (-10%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $131 | 47 |
| 559 E Amherst St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,274 (-12%) | 6mo | $182,000 | $143 | 45 |
| 307 Berkshire Ave | 0.54mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,623 (+12%) | 4mo | $182,000 | $112 | 43 |
| 622 Lasalle Ave | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,258 (-13%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $91 | 36 |
| 34 Copsewood Ave | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,602 (+11%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $106 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $13,387
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $90,302
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14214
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,264 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $568/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$475
- Net cashflow
- $615
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $727 | -5% $671 | +0% $615 | +5% $558 | +10% $502 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $436 | -5% $525 | +0% $615 | +5% $704 | +10% $793 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $715 | -0.5pp $665 | base $615 | +0.5pp $563 | +1.0pp $511 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1024 | $2,997 | $2.93 | 2d | 10 | 0.25mi |
| 65 Northrup Pl Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $2,500 | $1.70 | 15d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 60 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 2d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 189 Westminster Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1065 | $1,595 | $1.50 | 11d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 91 Springville Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $2,350 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-15$199,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $568 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,966 · $164/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,398/yr (+$116/mo · 246.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,166
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$568
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,173
- − Management
- −$2,173
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable income
- $4,320
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,037
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,338/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,314
- Household income
- $58,228
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1820.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 31% Asian 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -282.52%
- Current HPI
- 373.377
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.81%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+221.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $199,000 WNYREIS
- 2021-12-13 Sold (MLS) $130,050 WNYREIS
- 2021-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $130,050 Public Records
- 2021-07-30 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2021-07-09 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2021-06-28 Listed $119,999 WNYREIS
- 1997-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
- 1996-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $568 · +111.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…