6 S 4th St · Plevna, MT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $918 – $1,706
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$149,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
An adorable 3 bed 1.5 bath home in a great location. On the main level is an updated kitchen with ample counter and cabinet space. This leads into a spacious dining room and living room. The dining room has a pellet fireplace. There is a bedroom off of the living room as well as an office and half bathroom. The laundry room is with the half bathroom, but has plenty of room. Upstairs has 2 bedrooms, a full bathroom with a walk in shower, and tons of storage space. There is a basement that is unfinished and just storage and utility space. Outside features a 2 stall garage with power, large shed, fenced in yard, and established grass and above ground garden boxes. An established gravel driveway gives you plenty of off street parking. This home is a sanctuary outside and has so much potential. Give listing agent a call for more details.
Key facts
- Spacious dining room
- Updated kitchen
- Pellet fireplace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $90 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (18.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $122k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#128 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Plevna K-12 Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #175 of 339 in MT (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Fallon County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 316 days — a 12% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 316 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.58%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.08×
- Total profit
- $86,781
- Equity at exit
- $134,231
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.01×
- Total profit
- $250,913
- Equity at exit
- $289,474
Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Montana
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 59344
- Home prices YoY
- 9.1%
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,220 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $366/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $90
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $174 | -5% $132 | +0% $90 | +5% $47 | +10% $5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-7 | -5% $41 | +0% $90 | +5% $138 | +10% $186 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $165 | -0.5pp $128 | base $90 | +0.5pp $51 | +1.0pp $12 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,250
- Closing costs
- $4,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $149,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,000 Active 314 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $149,000 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,000 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,000 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $149,000 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,000 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,000 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $149,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $149,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,000 Active 296 DOM
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2025-08-08$149,000 Active 844-char remark
Show marketing remark (844 chars)
An adorable 3 bed 1.5 bath home in a great location. On the main level is an updated kitchen with ample counter and cabinet space. This leads into a spacious dining room and living room. The dining room has a pellet fireplace. There is a bedroom off of the living room as well as an office and half bathroom. The laundry room is with the half bathroom, but has plenty of room. Upstairs has 2 bedrooms, a full bathroom with a walk in shower, and tons of storage space. There is a basement that is unfinished and just storage and utility space. Outside features a 2 stall garage with power, large shed, fenced in yard, and established grass and above ground garden boxes. An established gravel driveway gives you plenty of off street parking. This home is a sanctuary outside and has so much potential. Give listing agent a call for more details.
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2006-03-21soldstatus
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2006-02-21soldstatus
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1983-10-27soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $366 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,252 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$886/yr (+$74/mo · 242.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,636
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,346
- − Property taxes
- −$366
- − Insurance
- −$745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,171
- − Management
- −$1,171
- − Depreciation
- −$4,335
- Taxable loss
- −$1,497
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$359
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,435/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Plevna K-12 Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3021000
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,854
- Composite
- 33.04/100
- National rank
- #10661
- State rank
- #175 of 339 in MT
Livability — Plevna
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #128
- US rank
- #12708
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Plevna, MT
- Population (ZIP)
- 471
Population outlook (Fallon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,692 people
- By 2030
- 3,986 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 4,662 · +26.3%
- By 2050
- 5,439 · +47.3%
- By 2075
- 7,519 · +103.7%
- By 2100
- 8,763 · +137.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 8% Slovak 4% Scotch-Irish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Fallon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+75.6) · D 10.8% · R 86.5% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.5pp toward R · 2008: -52.1pp · 2024: -75.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+75.6 2020: R+76.4 2016: R+76.1 2012: R+63.4 2008: R+52.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 15.09%
- Current HPI
- 181.1209
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology / Analytics | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2025-08-08 Listed $149,000 BMTMLS
- 2006-03-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-02-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1983-10-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $366 · -37.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…