7111 PALISADE Ave Unit 1B · Guttenberg, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover the potential of this well-located 1-bedroom condo at 7111 Palisade Avenue, North Bergen! This basement-level unit presents an excellent opportunity for investors or end-users seeking value and convenience! The home features a functional layout, including a tiled dining and kitchen area with ample cabinet and counter space that flows into the living room. The bedroom offers a cozy space. Building amenities include an on-site laundry room and bike storage. Situated near shopping, dining, and the 167-acre James J. Braddock County Park—which offers walking paths, sports facilities, and recreation areas—the property is also close to the Hudson River Waterfront Walkway for r
Key facts
- On-site laundry room
- Sports facilities
- Walking paths
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lead paint form: Yes
- HOA & community: Monthly maintenance fee of $262; Maintenance covers heat and water; Managed by Atlantic Management Company (contact: [email protected])
Exterior
- Parking: No parking
- Utilities: Heat included in maintenance; Water included in maintenance
- Home design: Condo/unit (unit 1B)
- Construction: Block construction
- Exterior features: Block exterior; Near train, shopping, bus, parks, and schools; Pets allowed
Interior
- Kitchen: Includes one kitchen
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on level 1
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Steam heating; Window A/C
- Interior features: Hardwood floor; Microwave; Gas oven/range
- Laundry & utility: Shared washer/dryer room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $250 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
- Recommended offer: $193k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.3% in Guttenberg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#51 in NJ, #1,253 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, cost of living F.
- North Bergen School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #393 of 472 in NJ (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 5,310 units permitted in Hudson County in 2024 (4,154 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hudson County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $41k; list at $199k implies a 385% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.38%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-11,701
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $30,076
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 07047
- Home prices YoY
- -31.5%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 209
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,215 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,336/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$262
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $250
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
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- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
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- Eligible?
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Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Ave At Port Imperial West New York, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 794 | $2,570 | $3.24 | 7d | 4 | 0.88mi |
| 213 48th St Unit 4A Union City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 360 | $1,825 | $5.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $262 · $3,144/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-17remarks 687-char remark
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2026-06-17$199,000 Active 40 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,336 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,145 · $262/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,810/yr (+$151/mo · 135.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,577
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$1,336
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,126
- − Management
- −$2,126
- − HOA
- −$3,144
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable loss
- −$86
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$21
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,019/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Bergen School District
- NCES district ID
- 3411460
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,275
- Composite
- 21.95/100
- National rank
- #8221
- State rank
- #393 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Guttenberg
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #1253
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hudson County · 718,323 people
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 61,250
- Household income
- $78,911
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3908.0
Population outlook (Hudson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 771,834 people
- By 2030
- 818,028 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 907,866 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 994,480 · +28.8%
- By 2075
- 1,163,301 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,254,703 · +62.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 69% Two or more races 26% White 20% Asian 7% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 11% Dominican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 50% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 27% English-only · Spanish 61% Other Indo-European 4% Arabic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Hudson
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.1) · D 62.6% · R 34.6% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.7pp toward R · 2008: 46.7pp · 2024: 28.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.1 2020: D+46.2 2016: D+51.8 2012: D+55.7 2008: D+46.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -192.36%
- Current HPI
- 419.0283
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.99%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+385.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $199,000 HCMLS
- 1990-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2020): $1,336 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…