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101 Lincoln St
D Composite 43.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.8/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$139,900

101 Lincoln St · Sidell, IL 61876
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,800 sqft · Other · 29 Days on market
Built 1900 10,758 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this spacious 4 bedroom, 2 bath brick ranch situated on a double half acre corner lot in peaceful Sidell! Inside, you're greeted by a warm and inviting living room with beautiful hardwood floors. The heart of the home is the cozy family room featuring a fireplace, creating the ideal spot to relax. With four bedrooms, this home provides flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. The two full bathrooms offer convenience and functionality. Outside, the corner lot provides extra yard space and curb appeal, giving you room to enjoy the outdoors. Find peace of mind with a brand new roof in 2025. Whether you're looking for space to grow or a place to settle into for years to come, this home combines comfort and charm. Take a look today!

Key facts

  • Brand new roof
  • Extra yard space
  • Cozy family room

Tags

DOUBLE HALF ACRE CORNER LOTHARDWOOD FLOORSCOZY FAMILY ROOMFIREPLACEEXTRA YARD SPACEBRAND NEW ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other:
  • Financial info:
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking:
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story design; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Lot roughly 66 x 165; Less than 0.25 acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level with full bath
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in portions of the home; Carpet in some bedrooms; Vinyl flooring in kitchen, family room and laundry
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Main-level living spaces
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (7 x 14)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-46 ($-551/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (5.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (8.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (8.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#633 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Zoned schools: Salt Fork Junior High School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #256 of 665 statewide, top 41%, 186 students, 0% FRL); Salt Fork High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #528 of 693 statewide, top 82%, 247 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Vermilion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.3%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Vermilion County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $59k; list at $140k implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $127,807 (8.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.41%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.31% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.4%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-21,470
Equity at exit
$25,169
10-year hold
IRR
-6.5%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-18,607
Equity at exit
$19,631

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61876

Home prices YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,278 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$264 /mo · $3,164/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$-46

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,336
Max offer price $131,786
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $33 -5% $-6 +0% $-46 +5% $-86 +10% $-125
Rent -10% $-147 -5% $-96 +0% $-46 +5% $5 +10% $55
Rate -1.0pp $25 -0.5pp $-10 base $-46 +0.5pp $-82 +1.0pp $-119

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,900 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on marketlisting id $139,900 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,900 Active 254 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,900 Active 253 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 250 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 249 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 248 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 244 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 243 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 242 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 241 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,900 Active 240 DOM
  16. 2026-05-21
    listed $149,900 Active 757-char remark
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4 bedroom, 2 bath brick ranch situated on a double half acre corner lot in peaceful Sidell! Inside, you're greeted by a warm and inviting living room with beautiful hardwood floors. The heart of the home is the cozy family room featuring a fireplace, creating the ideal spot to relax. With four bedrooms, this home provides flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. The two full bathrooms offer convenience and functionality. Outside, the corner lot provides extra yard space and curb appeal, giving you room to enjoy the outdoors. Find peace of mind with a brand new roof in 2025. Whether you're looking for space to grow or a place to settle into for years to come, this home combines comfort and charm. Take a look today!

  17. 2026-03-26
    price $149,900
  18. 2026-01-07
    price $154,900
  19. 2025-12-09
    price $159,900
  20. 2025-10-22
    price $164,900
  21. 2025-10-02
    listed $169,900 Active
  22. 2002-11-28
    soldstatus $59,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,164 · $264/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,170 · $264/mo
Expected delta
+$6/yr ($0/mo · 0.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,337
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$3,164
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,227
− Management
−$1,227
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$2,887
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$693
After-tax cash flow
$142/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Sidell

Score
65/100
State rank
#633
US rank
#12947

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sidell, IL
Population (ZIP)
823

Population outlook (Vermilion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
72,775 people
By 2030
69,235 · -4.9%
By 2040
62,360 · -14.3%
By 2050
55,539 · -23.7%
By 2075
40,606 · -44.2%
By 2100
26,985 · -62.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (99%)
Race & ethnicity
White 99%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · South Korea
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vermilion

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.7) · D 31.4% · R 67.0% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-36.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.6pp · 2024: -35.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.7 2020: R+32.9 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+15.7 2008: D+0.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.31%
Current HPI
116.1097
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+154.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $149,900 CIBR
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $149,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-07 Price Changed $154,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-09 Price Changed $159,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-22 Price Changed $164,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-02 Listed $169,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,164 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…