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C- Composite 50.04
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$299,900

10188 Regent Cir #2802 · Pelican Marsh, FL 34109
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,262 sqft · Condo public records · 194 Days on market
Built 1992 $544/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Here's your opportunity to own your own villa in sought-after Regent Park with an incredible location and great amenities. This attached villa is bright and sunny and opens up to a beautiful courtyard and private pool for the complex. Two bedrooms and a flexible den, kitchen with sunny breakfast area, open living area, and relaxing screened lanai. Private Master Suite looks on to the sunny courtyard and opens to the lanai. Included are a covered parking spot, extra storage and a grilling station right outside your lanai! Regent Park amenities include the wonderful community pool just steps away down the street, tennis courts, basketball, a beautiful lake for sunsets, sidewalks throughout th

Key facts

  • Beautiful lake
  • Private pool
  • Community pool

Tags

PRIVATE POOLSCREENED LANAICOMMUNITY POOLTENNIS COURTSBASKETBALLBEAUTIFUL LAKE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: One unit per floor; 1-floor building; 304 units in the complex; 6 units in the building; Total annual recurring fees reported
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Quarterly HOA fee of $1,550; Annual master HOA fee of $335; Professional management; Community amenities include community pool, tennis courts, basketball, BBQ/picnic area, sidewalks, streetlights, vehicle wash area, internet access; HOA maintenance covers irrigation water, lawn/land maintenance, pest control (exterior), sewer, street maintenance, street lights, trash removal, legal/accounting, manager, recreation facilities, and reserves; Non-gated community

Exterior

  • Parking: One assigned covered parking space; Deeded parking; Detached 1-car carport; Guest parking; Paved parking
  • Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Attached villa (traditional style); Single-story; Rear exposure faces west
  • Construction: Concrete block construction; Built in 1992
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Stucco exterior finish; Single-hung and sliding windows; Landscaped area view; Pool/club view; Irrigation from lake/canal

Interior

  • Kitchen: Pantry; Electric cooktop; Range; Self-cleaning oven; Microwave; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator/ice maker; Grill (gas)
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms plus a den; Split bedroom floor plan
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with shower (no tub)
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Cable pre-wired; Fire sprinkler system; High-speed internet available; Laundry tub; Smoke detectors; Vaulted ceiling; Walk-in closet(s); Window coverings; Den (study); Great room; Screened lanai/porch; Furnished; Five ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Washer/dryer hookups; Laundry in residence

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $300k).
  • Recommended offer: $264k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Pelican Marsh Elementary School (math 87% / reading 83%, grade A+, #35 of 2,144 statewide, top 2%, 709 students, 29% FRL); Barron Collier High School (math 62% / reading 68%, grade B, #76 of 667 statewide, top 11%, 1,650 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools average 28% FRL vs 55% district-wide (27 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 75% at this address vs 58% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Collier average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 425 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $884 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 194 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $225k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $263,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 194 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.30%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.29% appreciation · 0.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.2%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-4,847
Equity at exit
$91,530
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$23,637
Equity at exit
$113,639

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34109

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
425
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,032 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$63 /mo · $759/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$544
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$637
Net cashflow
$91

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,918
Max offer price $299,900
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $260 -5% $176 +0% $91 +5% $6 +10% $-79
Rent -10% $-149 -5% $-29 +0% $91 +5% $210 +10% $330
Rate -1.0pp $242 -0.5pp $167 base $91 +0.5pp $13 +1.0pp $-66

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10805 Queen Anne Ln #203 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1252 $4,800 $3.83 24d 1 0.12mi
4635 Saint Croix Ln #1214 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 913 $1,900 $2.08 15d 1 0.23mi
4610 Saint Croix Ln #1027 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1196 $4,000 $3.34 24d 1 0.26mi
4620 Saint Croix Ln Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 982 $1,800 $1.83 15d 2 0.27mi
300 Diamond Cir #302 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1755 $2,600 $1.48 24d 1 0.28mi
4650 Saint Croix Ln #725 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 913 $2,150 $2.35 15d 1 0.29mi
600 Diamond Cir #607 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1680 $4,800 $2.86 24d 1 0.30mi
4720 Saint Croix Ln #137 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $2,200 $1.83 24d 1 0.30mi
700 Diamond Cir #706 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1786 $2,700 $1.51 24d 1 0.31mi
98 Chardon Pl Unit 1073520P Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1646 $5,886 $3.58 15d 1 0.33mi
194 Wickliffe Dr Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1798 $3,500 $1.95 24d 1 0.34mi
4680 Saint Croix Ln #512 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1196 $2,490 $2.08 24d 1 0.34mi
4680 Saint Croix Ln Naples, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 931 $2,000 $2.15 15d 2 0.35mi
4710 Saint Croix Ln #217 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1045 $2,200 $2.11 24d 1 0.36mi
81 Wickliffe Dr Unit 1073563P Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1496 $4,681 $3.13 15d 1 0.43mi
4945 Cougar Ct S #105 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1377 $2,750 $2.00 15d 1 0.54mi
4940 Cougar Ct S Unit 1545947P Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1367 $2,185 $1.60 15d 1 0.55mi
4910 Cougar Ct N Unit 1-205 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1377 $2,050 $1.49 15d 1 0.56mi
4965 Sandra Bay Dr #102 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1377 $2,200 $1.60 15d 1 0.56mi
5000 Immokalee Rd Naples, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1115 $3,186 $2.86 15d 68 0.61mi
2345 Carrington Ct Unit 6-102 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1213 $1,850 $1.53 24d 1 0.63mi
124 Cypress Way E Unit E5 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1390 $2,000 $1.44 24d 1 0.65mi
2385 Naples Trace Cir #2 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 24d 1 0.66mi
4950 Deerfield Way #202 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1388 $2,000 $1.44 22d 1 0.67mi
110 Cypress Way E Unit F5 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1390 $1,750 $1.26 24d 1 0.67mi
2325 Carrington Ct #104 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1215 $7,500 $6.17 15d 1 0.68mi
2325 Carrington Ct #202 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $8,000 $6.67 15d 1 0.68mi
2290 Carrington Ct #202 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1183 $7,500 $6.34 24d 1 0.68mi
5145 Cobble Creek Ct #202 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1798 $2,600 $1.45 22d 1 0.68mi
4960 Deerfield Way Unit E102 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1202 $4,250 $3.54 15d 1 0.69mi
4910 Deerfield Way #103 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $4,800 $4.00 22d 1 0.70mi
4910 Deerfield Way Unit A-203 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1388 $5,500 $3.96 15d 1 0.70mi
2295 Carrington Ct Unit 1-104 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1215 $7,500 $6.17 24d 1 0.71mi
2295 Carrington Ct Unit 1-101 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 24d 1 0.71mi
2365 Harmony Ln #104 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1592 $7,500 $4.71 24d 1 0.72mi
144 Cypress Way E Unit 701 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1064 $1,900 $1.79 15d 1 0.72mi
208 Erie Dr Unit 1355591P Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1754 $5,550 $3.16 15d 1 0.72mi
4970 Deerfield Way Unit F-203 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1388 $1,990 $1.43 15d 1 0.72mi
5025 Cedar Springs Dr #102 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1202 $3,510 $2.92 24d 1 0.75mi
5025 Cedar Springs Dr #102 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1202 $1,590 $1.32 15d 1 0.75mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$544 · $6,528/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,900 Active 194 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $299,900 Active 193 DOM
  3. 2026-05-03
    price $299,900
  4. 2026-04-10
    price $320,000
  5. 2025-11-30
    historical
  6. 2025-11-18
    listed $349,900 Active
  7. 2025-06-07
    listed $365,000 Active
  8. 2005-02-03
    soldstatus $225,000
  9. 1992-12-31
    soldstatus $77,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$759 · $63/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,489 · $207/mo
Expected delta
+$1,730/yr (+$144/mo · 227.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 16% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,389
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$759
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,911
− Management
−$2,911
− HOA
−$6,528
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable loss
−$3,744
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$898
After-tax cash flow
$1,986/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collier
NCES district ID
1200330
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,275
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1892
State rank
#16 of 73 in FL

Livability — Pelican Marsh

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Collier County · 396,295 people
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
27,273
Household income
$92,259
Rent vs Own
33.3% rent · 66.7% own
Severe rent burden
1712.0

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.29%
Current HPI
279.357
Rent YoY
▲ 0.92%
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+287.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Price Changed $299,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $320,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-11-30 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-18 Listed $349,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-06-07 Listed $365,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
  • 1992-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $759 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…