10188 Regent Cir #2802 · Pelican Marsh, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.16%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Here's your opportunity to own your own villa in sought-after Regent Park with an incredible location and great amenities. This attached villa is bright and sunny and opens up to a beautiful courtyard and private pool for the complex. Two bedrooms and a flexible den, kitchen with sunny breakfast area, open living area, and relaxing screened lanai. Private Master Suite looks on to the sunny courtyard and opens to the lanai. Included are a covered parking spot, extra storage and a grilling station right outside your lanai! Regent Park amenities include the wonderful community pool just steps away down the street, tennis courts, basketball, a beautiful lake for sunsets, sidewalks throughout th
Key facts
- Beautiful lake
- Private pool
- Community pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: One unit per floor; 1-floor building; 304 units in the complex; 6 units in the building; Total annual recurring fees reported
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Quarterly HOA fee of $1,550; Annual master HOA fee of $335; Professional management; Community amenities include community pool, tennis courts, basketball, BBQ/picnic area, sidewalks, streetlights, vehicle wash area, internet access; HOA maintenance covers irrigation water, lawn/land maintenance, pest control (exterior), sewer, street maintenance, street lights, trash removal, legal/accounting, manager, recreation facilities, and reserves; Non-gated community
Exterior
- Parking: One assigned covered parking space; Deeded parking; Detached 1-car carport; Guest parking; Paved parking
- Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Attached villa (traditional style); Single-story; Rear exposure faces west
- Construction: Concrete block construction; Built in 1992
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Stucco exterior finish; Single-hung and sliding windows; Landscaped area view; Pool/club view; Irrigation from lake/canal
Interior
- Kitchen: Pantry; Electric cooktop; Range; Self-cleaning oven; Microwave; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator/ice maker; Grill (gas)
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms plus a den; Split bedroom floor plan
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with shower (no tub)
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Cable pre-wired; Fire sprinkler system; High-speed internet available; Laundry tub; Smoke detectors; Vaulted ceiling; Walk-in closet(s); Window coverings; Den (study); Great room; Screened lanai/porch; Furnished; Five ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Washer/dryer hookups; Laundry in residence
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $300k).
- Recommended offer: $264k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Pelican Marsh Elementary School (math 87% / reading 83%, grade A+, #35 of 2,144 statewide, top 2%, 709 students, 29% FRL); Barron Collier High School (math 62% / reading 68%, grade B, #76 of 667 statewide, top 11%, 1,650 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools average 28% FRL vs 55% district-wide (27 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 75% at this address vs 58% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Collier average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 425 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $884 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 194 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $225k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 194 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.30%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.29% appreciation · 0.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-4,847
- Equity at exit
- $91,530
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $23,637
- Equity at exit
- $113,639
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34109
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 425
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,032 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $759/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$544
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$637
- Net cashflow
- $91
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $260 | -5% $176 | +0% $91 | +5% $6 | +10% $-79 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-149 | -5% $-29 | +0% $91 | +5% $210 | +10% $330 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $242 | -0.5pp $167 | base $91 | +0.5pp $13 | +1.0pp $-66 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10805 Queen Anne Ln #203 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1252 | $4,800 | $3.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 4635 Saint Croix Ln #1214 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 913 | $1,900 | $2.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4610 Saint Croix Ln #1027 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $4,000 | $3.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 4620 Saint Croix Ln Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 982 | $1,800 | $1.83 | 15d | 2 | 0.27mi |
| 300 Diamond Cir #302 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1755 | $2,600 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 4650 Saint Croix Ln #725 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 913 | $2,150 | $2.35 | 15d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 600 Diamond Cir #607 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $4,800 | $2.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 4720 Saint Croix Ln #137 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,200 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 700 Diamond Cir #706 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $2,700 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 98 Chardon Pl Unit 1073520P Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1646 | $5,886 | $3.58 | 15d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 194 Wickliffe Dr Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1798 | $3,500 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 4680 Saint Croix Ln #512 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $2,490 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 4680 Saint Croix Ln Naples, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 931 | $2,000 | $2.15 | 15d | 2 | 0.35mi |
| 4710 Saint Croix Ln #217 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $2,200 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 81 Wickliffe Dr Unit 1073563P Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $4,681 | $3.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4945 Cougar Ct S #105 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $2,750 | $2.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 4940 Cougar Ct S Unit 1545947P Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $2,185 | $1.60 | 15d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4910 Cougar Ct N Unit 1-205 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $2,050 | $1.49 | 15d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4965 Sandra Bay Dr #102 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $2,200 | $1.60 | 15d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 5000 Immokalee Rd Naples, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1115 | $3,186 | $2.86 | 15d | 68 | 0.61mi |
| 2345 Carrington Ct Unit 6-102 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1213 | $1,850 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 124 Cypress Way E Unit E5 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $2,000 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2385 Naples Trace Cir #2 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4950 Deerfield Way #202 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $2,000 | $1.44 | 22d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 110 Cypress Way E Unit F5 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $1,750 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2325 Carrington Ct #104 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $7,500 | $6.17 | 15d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2325 Carrington Ct #202 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $8,000 | $6.67 | 15d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2290 Carrington Ct #202 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1183 | $7,500 | $6.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5145 Cobble Creek Ct #202 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1798 | $2,600 | $1.45 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4960 Deerfield Way Unit E102 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $4,250 | $3.54 | 15d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4910 Deerfield Way #103 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $4,800 | $4.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4910 Deerfield Way Unit A-203 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $5,500 | $3.96 | 15d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2295 Carrington Ct Unit 1-104 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $7,500 | $6.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2295 Carrington Ct Unit 1-101 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2365 Harmony Ln #104 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1592 | $7,500 | $4.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 144 Cypress Way E Unit 701 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,900 | $1.79 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 208 Erie Dr Unit 1355591P Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1754 | $5,550 | $3.16 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4970 Deerfield Way Unit F-203 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $1,990 | $1.43 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5025 Cedar Springs Dr #102 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1202 | $3,510 | $2.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5025 Cedar Springs Dr #102 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $1,590 | $1.32 | 15d | 1 | 0.75mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $544 · $6,528/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $299,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-05-03price $299,900
-
2026-04-10price $320,000
-
2025-11-30historical
-
2025-11-18$349,900 Active
-
2025-06-07$365,000 Active
-
2005-02-03soldstatus $225,000
-
1992-12-31soldstatus $77,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $759 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,489 · $207/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,730/yr (+$144/mo · 227.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 16% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,389
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$759
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,911
- − Management
- −$2,911
- − HOA
- −$6,528
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$3,744
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$898
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,986/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pelican Marsh
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,273
- Household income
- $92,259
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1712.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.29%
- Current HPI
- 279.357
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.92%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+287.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Price Changed $299,900 NAPLESMLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $320,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-11-30 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-18 Listed $349,900 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-06-07 Listed $365,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
- 1992-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $759 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…