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14951 Riverside Dr
C Composite 56.99
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.8/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

14951 Riverside Dr · South Holland, IL 60473
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,135 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 205 Days on market
Built 1927 7,405 sqft lot Est $152k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

There are no remarks available.

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Security system
  • Newer plumbing

Tags

SECURITY SYSTEMMAINTENANCE FREE EXTERIORHARDWOOD FLOORINGNEWER PLUMBINGCENTRAL AIR

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Parcel number 29093180080000; Not currently leased; Possession at closing or immediate
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with two garage spaces; Concrete driveway; Garage door opener; Garage owned
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Two-story model; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978 (home is 91–100 years old)
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot roughly 50 x 150; Neighborhood has park, sidewalks, street lights, and paved streets

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (12 x 12) with full bath; Two additional bedrooms on second level (each 12 x 12); Den on second level (12 x 12)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors throughout primary living areas and bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; 7 total rooms; Unfinished attic; Unfinished/partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $679 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $163k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 8.4% in South Holland — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#167 in IL, #3,071 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, schools D+.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 205 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $67k; list at $185k implies a 176% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $162,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 205 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
10.70%
Cash-on-cash
15.74%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$152,090
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
523 E 149th St 0.17mi 3/1.5 1,143 (+1%) 2mo $80,000 $70 90
14727 Riverside Dr 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+6%) 3mo $212,000 $177 67
14825 Perry Ave 0.17mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,014 (-11%) 1mo $200,000 $197 66
931 Miller Pl 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,042 (-8%) 1mo $140,000 $134 65
15061 Wabash Ave 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,116 (-2%) 2mo $150,000 $134 64
15536 State St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,212 (+7%) 4mo $140,000 $116 54
14817 S Wentworth Ave 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,270 (+12%) 3mo $180,000 $142 50
15444 State St 0.58mi 3/2.5 1,254 (+10%) 2mo $207,000 $165 49
15316 4th Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 964 (-15%) 2mo $35,000 $36 47
14844 Wabash Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,277 (+12%) 4mo $125,000 $98 46
14828 Wabash Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,296 (+14%) 1mo $112,000 $86 44
14914 Edbrooke Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,287 (+13%) 2mo $100,000 $78 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.6%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$13,256
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
15.9%
Equity multiple
2.30×
Total profit
$67,123
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60473

Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,339 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$121 /mo · $1,455/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$491
Net cashflow
$679

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,479
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14844 Wabash Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.5 1277 $2,320 $1.82 24d 1 0.64mi
15238 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2W Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 10d 1 1.05mi
15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL 4.0 1.5 1200 $3,400 $2.83 24d 1 1.31mi
15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL 4.0 1.5 1200 $3,400 $2.83 7d 1 1.31mi
16048 Halsted St Unit 2 Harvey, IL 3.0 1.0 1091 $1,650 $1.51 24d 1 1.43mi
14916 Langley Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.5 1418 $2,500 $1.76 24d 1 1.50mi
14101 S Atlantic Ave Riverdale, IL 2.0 1.0 790 $1,140 $1.44 7d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 205 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Active 204 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,000 Active 203 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 202 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 200 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 199 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 196 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 195 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 194 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $185,000 Active 191 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $185,000 Active 190 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 189 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 188 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 187 DOM
  15. 2026-01-09
    price $185,000
  16. 2025-11-25
    listed $200,000 Active
  17. 2025-11-25
    historical
  18. 2025-07-02
    listed Active
  19. 2016-06-29
    soldstatus $67,000
  20. 2016-05-20
    soldstatus $67,000 Closed Sale 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  21. 2016-05-05
    status Pending 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  22. 2016-03-26
    historical Contingent 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  23. 2016-02-29
    listed $99,900 New 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  24. 1988-01-15
    soldstatus $40,000
  25. 1988-01-01
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,455 · $121/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,827 · $236/mo
Expected delta
+$1,372/yr (+$114/mo · 94.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,068
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$1,455
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,245
− Management
−$2,245
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$5,452
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,309
After-tax cash flow
$6,843/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — South Holland

Score
77/100
State rank
#167
US rank
#3071

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Holland, IL
City population
21,407
Population (ZIP)
21,407

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.36%
Current HPI
201.2479
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+362.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed $185,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-25 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-25 Listed $200,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-02 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 2016-05-20 Sold (MLS) $67,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-05 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-03-26 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-02-29 Listed $99,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1988-01-15 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 1988-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $1,455 · +246.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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