2123 W Kellogg Ave · West Peoria, IL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- ARV discount +12.2/15.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 BR BUNGALOW IN WEST PEORIA * NATURAL WOODWORK, FRENCH DOORS, BUILT-INS AND HARDWOOD FLOORS, 8X26 3 SEASON PORCH * WALKUP ATTIC AND FINISHED BASEMENT * REPLACEMENT WINDOWS '91, VINYL SIDING '94, WATER HEATER '99 * NEWER GARAGE DOOR/OPENER * FENCED YARD * NEW SIDEWALK * $157.40 ANNUAL
Key facts
- Full basement
- Deck
- Three-season porch
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Built in 1926
- Construction: Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Level lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (bedrooms on the main level)
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in multiple rooms; Carpet in living room; Tile in kitchen
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attic storage; Cable available; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
- Recommended offer: $83k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 6.2% in West Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#181 in IL, #3,474 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A-; Watch: amenities F.
- Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Harold B Dawson Middle School (math 0% / reading 5%, grade F, #658 of 665 statewide, top 99%, 360 students, 0% FRL); Manual High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #659 of 693 statewide, top 100%, 656 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $581 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $84k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.83%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $93,840
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2111 W Callender Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (+14%) | 1mo | $43,500 | $41 | 72 |
| 2112 W Ayres Ave | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 836 (-9%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $144 | 72 |
| 2507 W Moss Ave | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 944 (+3%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $127 | 69 |
| 2310 W Heading Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 970 (+5%) | 2mo | $99,000 | $102 | 67 |
| 2121 W Rohmann Ave | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (+10%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $94 | 66 |
| 2013 W Rohmann Ave | 0.17mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,007 (+10%) | 7mo | $103,500 | $103 | 64 |
| 727 N Clifton Ct | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 998 (+8%) | 7mo | $50,000 | $50 | 64 |
| 2920 W Alice Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 934 (+2%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $54 | 57 |
| 2617 W Kenwood Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,016 (+10%) | 4mo | $110,990 | $109 | 53 |
| 2905 W Kenwood Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 832 (-10%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $132 | 48 |
| 1713 W Smith St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,009 (+10%) | 4mo | $35,250 | $35 | 46 |
| 2211 W Butler St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 796 (-14%) | 2mo | $27,500 | $35 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-2,015
- Equity at exit
- $12,525
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $11,308
- Equity at exit
- $7,263
Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61604
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,021 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$441
- Tax from tax record
- −$139 /mo · $1,662/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $193
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,000
- Closing costs
- $2,520
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2317 W Martin Luther King Junior Dr Peoria, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 697 | $800 | $1.15 | 13d | 3 | 0.62mi |
| 2317 W Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2-214 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 807 | $800 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1401 W Adrian G Hinton Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $775 | $0.70 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1220 W John H Gwynn Jr Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 853 | $745 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1540 W Kettelle St Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1001 | $748 | $0.75 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2116 W Proctor St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $879 | $0.96 | 13d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3001 W Wiswall St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 928 S Matthew St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $748 | $0.69 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 945 S Shelley St Peoria, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 929 | $1,025 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3031 W Wiswall St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1801 N Gentry Ln West Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 13d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 911 N Sheridan Rd Unit a1 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $850 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 911 N Sheridan Rd Unit A4 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $850 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2320 W Garden St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2822 W Antoinette St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,149 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1703 N Valley Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $1,200 | $1.78 | 13d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 906 S Tonti Cir Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $950 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 416 W Main St Unit A Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $950 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 214 Pecan St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,595 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $84,000 Pending 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $84,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-30remarks 656-char remark
-
2026-05-30$89,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,662 · $139/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,785 · $149/mo
- Expected delta
- +$122/yr (+$10/mo · 7.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,255
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,705
- − Property taxes
- −$1,662
- − Insurance
- −$420
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$980
- − Management
- −$980
- − Depreciation
- −$2,444
- Taxable income
- $1,063
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$255
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,058/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria SD 150
- NCES district ID
- 1731230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 10.92/100
- National rank
- #9751
- State rank
- #554 of 620 in IL
Livability — West Peoria
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #181
- US rank
- #3474
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Peoria, IL
- County
- Peoria County · 120,495 people
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,313
- Household income
- $52,414
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 815.0
Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 183,007 people
- By 2030
- 179,643 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 171,782 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 163,508 · -10.7%
- By 2075
- 140,178 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 114,493 · -37.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 29% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Peoria
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.15%
- Current HPI
- 165.8838
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.30%
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+50.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $89,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
- 2001-02-28 Sold (MLS) $55,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-12-02 Listed $59,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2024): $1,662 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…