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2123 W Kellogg Ave
C+ Composite 63.59
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.2/15.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,000

2123 W Kellogg Ave · West Peoria, IL 61604
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 920 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1926 5,120 sqft lot Est $94k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 BR BUNGALOW IN WEST PEORIA * NATURAL WOODWORK, FRENCH DOORS, BUILT-INS AND HARDWOOD FLOORS, 8X26 3 SEASON PORCH * WALKUP ATTIC AND FINISHED BASEMENT * REPLACEMENT WINDOWS '91, VINYL SIDING '94, WATER HEATER '99 * NEWER GARAGE DOOR/OPENER * FENCED YARD * NEW SIDEWALK * $157.40 ANNUAL

Key facts

  • Full basement
  • Deck
  • Three-season porch

Tags

THREE-SEASON PORCHFULL BASEMENTWALK-UP ATTICFENCED BACKYARDDECK

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Built in 1926
  • Construction: Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Level lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (bedrooms on the main level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in multiple rooms; Carpet in living room; Tile in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Attic storage; Cable available; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
  • Recommended offer: $83k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 6.2% in West Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#181 in IL, #3,474 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A-; Watch: amenities F.
  • Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Harold B Dawson Middle School (math 0% / reading 5%, grade F, #658 of 665 statewide, top 99%, 360 students, 0% FRL); Manual High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #659 of 693 statewide, top 100%, 656 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $581 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $56k; list at $84k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $82,740 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.05%
Cash-on-cash
9.83%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$93,840
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2111 W Callender Ave 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,050 (+14%) 1mo $43,500 $41 72
2112 W Ayres Ave 0.15mi 2/1.0 (-1) 836 (-9%) 1mo $120,000 $144 72
2507 W Moss Ave 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 944 (+3%) 3mo $120,000 $127 69
2310 W Heading Ave 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 970 (+5%) 2mo $99,000 $102 67
2121 W Rohmann Ave 0.13mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (+10%) 8mo $95,000 $94 66
2013 W Rohmann Ave 0.17mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,007 (+10%) 7mo $103,500 $103 64
727 N Clifton Ct 0.24mi 2/1.0 (-1) 998 (+8%) 7mo $50,000 $50 64
2920 W Alice Ave 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 934 (+2%) 3mo $50,000 $54 57
2617 W Kenwood Ave 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,016 (+10%) 4mo $110,990 $109 53
2905 W Kenwood Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 832 (-10%) 1mo $110,000 $132 48
1713 W Smith St 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,009 (+10%) 4mo $35,250 $35 46
2211 W Butler St 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 796 (-14%) 2mo $27,500 $35 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-2,015
Equity at exit
$12,525
10-year hold
IRR
6.6%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$11,308
Equity at exit
$7,263

Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61604

Home prices YoY
-24.6%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
180
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,021 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$441
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,662/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$193

Break-even live

Break-even rent $777
Max offer price $84,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,000
Closing costs
$2,520
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2317 W Martin Luther King Junior Dr Peoria, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0 697 $800 $1.15 13d 3 0.62mi
2317 W Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2-214 Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 807 $800 $0.99 43d 1 0.62mi
1401 W Adrian G Hinton Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $775 $0.70 43d 1 0.71mi
1220 W John H Gwynn Jr Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 853 $745 $0.87 21d 1 0.76mi
1540 W Kettelle St Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 1001 $748 $0.75 13d 1 0.79mi
2116 W Proctor St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 912 $879 $0.96 13d 1 1.07mi
3001 W Wiswall St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 13d 1 1.14mi
928 S Matthew St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1080 $748 $0.69 13d 1 1.16mi
945 S Shelley St Peoria, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 929 $1,025 $1.10 13d 1 1.19mi
3031 W Wiswall St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 13d 1 1.20mi
1801 N Gentry Ln West Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,650 $1.65 13d 1 1.20mi
911 N Sheridan Rd Unit a1 Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 825 $850 $1.03 13d 1 1.24mi
911 N Sheridan Rd Unit A4 Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 825 $850 $1.03 43d 1 1.24mi
2320 W Garden St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1096 $1,000 $0.91 43d 1 1.27mi
2822 W Antoinette St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,149 $1.60 21d 1 1.27mi
1703 N Valley Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 676 $1,200 $1.78 13d 1 1.28mi
906 S Tonti Cir Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 780 $950 $1.22 13d 1 1.32mi
416 W Main St Unit A Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1050 $950 $0.90 43d 1 1.47mi
214 Pecan St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,595 $1.52 13d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $84,000 Pending 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $84,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,900 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    remarks 656-char remark
  12. 2026-05-30
    listed $89,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,662 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,785 · $149/mo
Expected delta
+$122/yr (+$10/mo · 7.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,255
− Mortgage interest
−$4,705
− Property taxes
−$1,662
− Insurance
−$420
− Repairs & maintenance
−$980
− Management
−$980
− Depreciation
−$2,444
Taxable income
$1,063
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$255
After-tax cash flow
$2,058/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peoria SD 150
NCES district ID
1731230
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
14% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,951
Composite
10.92/100
National rank
#9751
State rank
#554 of 620 in IL

Livability — West Peoria

Score
76/100
State rank
#181
US rank
#3474

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Peoria, IL
County
Peoria County · 120,495 people
Metro
Peoria, IL
Population (ZIP)
28,313
Household income
$52,414
Rent vs Own
32.0% rent · 68.0% own
Severe rent burden
815.0

Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
183,007 people
By 2030
179,643 · -1.8%
By 2040
171,782 · -6.1%
By 2050
163,508 · -10.7%
By 2075
140,178 · -23.4%
By 2100
114,493 · -37.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 29% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Peoria

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.15%
Current HPI
165.8838
Rent YoY
▲ 2.30%
Metro
Peoria, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $89,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
  • 2001-02-28 Sold (MLS) $55,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-12-02 Listed $59,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,662 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…