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333 Callie Dr
D- Composite 39.26
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.3/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$244,900

333 Callie Dr · Crestview, FL 32536
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,460 sqft · Townhouse · 194 Days on market
Built 2025 1,742 sqft lot Est $244k · at est. $56/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Garden Villas in Crestview, FL! This New Townhome community will feature a gorgeous community pool. The Palm Interior Unit is a 2-story townhome that boasts 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and single car garage with an open design that is perfect for entertaining. The kitchen is presented with quartz countertops, a large island bar, pantry and all stainless-steel appliances offering style and functionality. Bedroom 1 is located on the second floor as a private retreat with a spacious walk-in closet and a beautiful adjoining bath. Interior features also include EVP flooring with frieze carpet in the bedrooms. Our Home is Connected package also offers a Smart Home 'Connect' system with seve

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Large island bar
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

QUARTZ COUNTERTOPSLARGE ISLAND BARSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESWALK-IN CLOSETSMART HOME CONNECT SYSTEM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Garden Villa Townhomes; Lot subject to covenants; Zoned residential multi-family
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association (association manages grounds and provides management services); Community pool

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 parking space; Garage door opener
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Townhome style; 2 stories; Entry level living areas on the first floor
  • Construction: Frame and cement fiberboard/siding exterior; Slab foundation; Built in 2025
  • Exterior features: Hurricane shutters; Open patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Master bedroom on the second floor
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 3 total bathrooms (2 full, 1 half)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Heat pump with central heating
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Recessed lighting; Pantry; Washer/Dryer hookup; Painted woodwork; Double pane windows; Doors with energy-efficient features
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/Dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-102 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $230k (6.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (14.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $208k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.4% in Crestview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,858 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Bob Sikes Elementary School (math 53% / reading 60%, grade C+, #816 of 2,144 statewide, top 39%, 829 students, 52% FRL); Crestview High School (math 49% / reading 54%, grade D+, #167 of 667 statewide, top 25%, 2,315 students, 42% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 351 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 194 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $208,465 (14.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 194 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
5.80%
Cash-on-cash
-1.78%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$243,820
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
337 Callie Dr 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,460 (0%) 0mo $237,200 $162 100
333 Callie Dr 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,460 (0%) 1mo $239,900 $164 99
335 Callie Dr 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,460 (0%) 2mo $244,000 $167 98
329 Callie Dr 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,460 (0%) 3mo $239,900 $164 98
327 Callie Dr 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,460 (0%) 3mo $244,000 $167 97
323 Callie Dr 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,460 (0%) 4mo $259,000 $177 97
321 Callie Dr 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,471 (+1%) 3mo $254,900 $173 96

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.3%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-49,858
Equity at exit
$36,515
10-year hold
IRR
-20.0%
Equity multiple
0.03×
Total profit
$-66,389
Equity at exit
$21,174

Cash invested: $68,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32536

Home prices YoY
-16.2%
Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
351
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,085 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,284
Tax est. 1.5%
$306 /mo · $3,674/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$56
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$438
Net cashflow
$-102

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,213
Max offer price $230,202
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $68 -5% $-17 +0% $-102 +5% $-186 +10% $-271
Rent -10% $-266 -5% $-184 +0% $-102 +5% $-19 +10% $63
Rate -1.0pp $22 -0.5pp $-39 base $-102 +0.5pp $-165 +1.0pp $-230

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,225
Closing costs
$7,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6260 Old Bethel Rd Crestview, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1253 $2,295 $1.83 15d 66 0.30mi
205 Powell Dr Crestview, FL 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,400 $1.39 45d 1 0.71mi
149 Shady Ln Crestview, FL 3.0 2.0 1680 $2,000 $1.19 45d 1 0.71mi
2544 Kingston Rd Crestview, FL 3.0 2.0 1533 $2,095 $1.37 23d 1 0.89mi
6381 Havenmist Ln Crestview, FL 4.0 2.0 1844 $1,900 $1.03 45d 1 1.12mi
2823 Lake Silver Rd Crestview, FL 3.0 2.0 1595 $2,300 $1.44 45d 1 1.26mi
2606 Saltgrass Way Crestview, FL 4.0 2.0 1387 $1,850 $1.33 23d 1 1.43mi
5735 Wildwood Rd Crestview, FL 3.0 1.5 1570 $1,875 $1.19 15d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$56 · $672/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-14
    price $244,900
  3. 2026-03-31
    price $234,900
  4. 2026-02-20
    price $239,900
  5. 2026-02-09
    price $249,900
  6. 2026-02-06
    price $257,900
  7. 2025-10-17
    listed $259,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥107°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,016
− Mortgage interest
−$13,718
− Property taxes
−$3,674
− Insurance
−$1,224
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,001
− Management
−$2,001
− HOA
−$672
− Depreciation
−$7,124
Taxable loss
−$5,399
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,296
After-tax cash flow
$77/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Okaloosa
NCES district ID
1201380
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$55,601
Composite
51.62/100
National rank
#1705
State rank
#12 of 73 in FL

Livability — Crestview

Score
75/100
State rank
#252
US rank
#3858

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Crestview, FL
County
Okaloosa County · 194,352 people
City population
58,889
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
Population (ZIP)
25,599
Household income
$78,119
Rent vs Own
29.0% rent · 71.0% own
Severe rent burden
634.0

Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
235,133 people
By 2030
253,483 · +7.8%
By 2040
289,537 · +23.1%
By 2050
322,954 · +37.3%
By 2075
399,624 · +70.0%
By 2100
425,311 · +80.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.48%
Current HPI
265.9926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.17%
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending ECAR
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $244,900 ECAR
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $234,900 ECAR
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $239,900 ECAR
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $249,900 ECAR
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $257,900 ECAR
  • 2025-10-17 Listed $259,900 ECAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…