1123 Adams St · Vermilion, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$294,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 1123 Adams Street in beautiful Vermilion! Close proximity to the water, enjoy all this quaint area has to offer! Spacious 4 Bed / 3 Bath home situated in a great neighborhood! Enjoy your time on the back deck or outdoor patio with fire ring! Home is equipped with newer stainless steel appliances, brand new carpet in the bedrooms, and new on-demand gas water heater! Quality poured wall foundation gives you long-term peace of mind. Schedule your private showing before this one is gone!
Key facts
- Fire ring
- Back deck
- Outdoor patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $294k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($56k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $294k).
- Recommended offer: $259k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.3% vs local median 5.0% in Vermilion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#96 in OH, #1,481 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
- Vermilion Local (suburban): math 56% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #316 of 656 in OH (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 128 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $8,362/mo this rent would consume 139% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Erie County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $82k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 239 days — a 12% lower offer ($259k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 34y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $245k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 239 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 67.79%
- DSCR
- 4.02
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $320,954
- List price
- $294,000
- Delta
- -8.40%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5945 Cape Hatteras Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,764 (-1%) | 7mo | $399,990 | $227 | 87 |
| 6004 Conneaut Light Dr | 0.12mi | 3/3.0 | 1,771 (-0%) | 19mo | $322,500 | $182 | 74 |
| 856 Tappan Cir | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 | 1,966 (+11%) | 2mo | $355,000 | $181 | 62 |
| 914 York Ct | 0.27mi | 3/3.0 | 1,876 (+6%) | 22mo | $323,500 | $172 | 56 |
| 5573 Martin | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (-13%) | 0mo | $329,900 | $213 | 49 |
| 1131 State St | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 | 1,927 (+8%) | 14mo | $292,000 | $152 | 45 |
| 5572 South St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,618 (-9%) | 8mo | $347,000 | $214 | 44 |
| 307 Chardonnay Cir | 0.69mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,811 (+2%) | 15mo | $389,500 | $215 | 43 |
| 1299 State Rd | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,893 (+6%) | 22mo | $275,000 | $145 | 40 |
| 5524 Hartford Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,560 (-12%) | 13mo | $160,000 | $103 | 36 |
| 5821 South St | 0.50mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 2,007 (+13%) | 24mo | $205,000 | $102 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 67.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.02×
- Total profit
- $248,635
- Equity at exit
- $43,836
- IRR
- 71.4%
- Equity multiple
- 8.27×
- Total profit
- $598,230
- Equity at exit
- $25,420
Cash invested: $82,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44089
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,362 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,542
- Tax from tax record
- −$291 /mo · $3,494/yr
- Insurance
- −$122
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,756
- Net cashflow
- $4,651
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $4,817 | -5% $4,734 | +0% $4,651 | +5% $4,567 | +10% $4,484 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3,990 | -5% $4,320 | +0% $4,651 | +5% $4,981 | +10% $5,311 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $4,799 | -0.5pp $4,725 | base $4,651 | +0.5pp $4,574 | +1.0pp $4,497 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,500
- Closing costs
- $8,820
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5012 Hollyview Dr Unit 1496126P Vermilion, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1679 | $8,362 | $4.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-06price $294,000 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Welcome to 1123 Adams Street in beautiful Vermilion! Close proximity to the water, enjoy all this quaint area has to offer! Spacious 4 Bed / 3 Bath home situated in a great neighborhood! Enjoy your time on the back deck or outdoor patio with fire ring! Home is equipped with newer stainless steel appliances, brand new carpet in the bedrooms, and new on-demand gas water heater! Quality poured wall foundation gives you long-term peace of mind. Schedule your private showing before this one is gone!
-
2026-04-15price $299,000 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Welcome to 1123 Adams Street in beautiful Vermilion! Close proximity to the water, enjoy all this quaint area has to offer! Spacious 4 Bed / 3 Bath home situated in a great neighborhood! Enjoy your time on the back deck or outdoor patio with fire ring! Home is equipped with newer stainless steel appliances, brand new carpet in the bedrooms, and new on-demand gas water heater! Quality poured wall foundation gives you long-term peace of mind. Schedule your private showing before this one is gone!
-
2026-03-13price $312,000 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Welcome to 1123 Adams Street in beautiful Vermilion! Close proximity to the water, enjoy all this quaint area has to offer! Spacious 4 Bed / 3 Bath home situated in a great neighborhood! Enjoy your time on the back deck or outdoor patio with fire ring! Home is equipped with newer stainless steel appliances, brand new carpet in the bedrooms, and new on-demand gas water heater! Quality poured wall foundation gives you long-term peace of mind. Schedule your private showing before this one is gone!
-
2025-11-21price $324,000 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Welcome to 1123 Adams Street in beautiful Vermilion! Close proximity to the water, enjoy all this quaint area has to offer! Spacious 4 Bed / 3 Bath home situated in a great neighborhood! Enjoy your time on the back deck or outdoor patio with fire ring! Home is equipped with newer stainless steel appliances, brand new carpet in the bedrooms, and new on-demand gas water heater! Quality poured wall foundation gives you long-term peace of mind. Schedule your private showing before this one is gone!
-
2025-10-24price $334,000 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Welcome to 1123 Adams Street in beautiful Vermilion! Close proximity to the water, enjoy all this quaint area has to offer! Spacious 4 Bed / 3 Bath home situated in a great neighborhood! Enjoy your time on the back deck or outdoor patio with fire ring! Home is equipped with newer stainless steel appliances, brand new carpet in the bedrooms, and new on-demand gas water heater! Quality poured wall foundation gives you long-term peace of mind. Schedule your private showing before this one is gone!
-
2025-09-29$339,000 Active 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Welcome to 1123 Adams Street in beautiful Vermilion! Close proximity to the water, enjoy all this quaint area has to offer! Spacious 4 Bed / 3 Bath home situated in a great neighborhood! Enjoy your time on the back deck or outdoor patio with fire ring! Home is equipped with newer stainless steel appliances, brand new carpet in the bedrooms, and new on-demand gas water heater! Quality poured wall foundation gives you long-term peace of mind. Schedule your private showing before this one is gone!
-
2023-01-30soldstatus $245,000
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2023-01-27soldstatus $245,000 Closed 944-char remark
Show marketing remark (944 chars)
This 4 BR colonial with 2.5 baths has it all and is ready for you. From the front covered porch to the inviting wide Foyer. The first floor consists of Great room with gas fireplace, vaulted ceilings and plenty of natural light. Kitchen has upgraded cabinetry and tons of counter space with pantry as well. All the appliances stay! First floor laundry/mudroom along with half bath. Sliding patio doors off the Kitchen lead to the maintenance free composite deck and a huge patio (present owners use as basketball court) The second floor has Owner's suite with walk in closet and private bath. There are 3 additional bedrooms, 2 of which have walk-in closets, plus an additional full bath. The basement is ready to finish if you need additional living space and is plumbed for another bath. The Heated garage, extra large driveway for guests or boat/camperparking and a large storage shed are all pluses. Conveniently located. Call today to see!
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2023-01-27soldstatus $245,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (944 chars)
This 4 BR colonial with 2.5 baths has it all and is ready for you. From the front covered porch to the inviting wide Foyer. The first floor consists of Great room with gas fireplace, vaulted ceilings and plenty of natural light. Kitchen has upgraded cabinetry and tons of counter space with pantry as well. All the appliances stay! First floor laundry/mudroom along with half bath. Sliding patio doors off the Kitchen lead to the maintenance free composite deck and a huge patio (present owners use as basketball court) The second floor has Owner's suite with walk in closet and private bath. There are 3 additional bedrooms, 2 of which have walk-in closets, plus an additional full bath. The basement is ready to finish if you need additional living space and is plumbed for another bath. The Heated garage, extra large driveway for guests or boat/camperparking and a large storage shed are all pluses. Conveniently located. Call today to see!
-
2022-12-14status Pending
-
2022-12-12historical 944-char remark
Show marketing remark (944 chars)
This 4 BR colonial with 2.5 baths has it all and is ready for you. From the front covered porch to the inviting wide Foyer. The first floor consists of Great room with gas fireplace, vaulted ceilings and plenty of natural light. Kitchen has upgraded cabinetry and tons of counter space with pantry as well. All the appliances stay! First floor laundry/mudroom along with half bath. Sliding patio doors off the Kitchen lead to the maintenance free composite deck and a huge patio (present owners use as basketball court) The second floor has Owner's suite with walk in closet and private bath. There are 3 additional bedrooms, 2 of which have walk-in closets, plus an additional full bath. The basement is ready to finish if you need additional living space and is plumbed for another bath. The Heated garage, extra large driveway for guests or boat/camperparking and a large storage shed are all pluses. Conveniently located. Call today to see!
-
2022-11-16$265,000 944-char remark
Show marketing remark (944 chars)
This 4 BR colonial with 2.5 baths has it all and is ready for you. From the front covered porch to the inviting wide Foyer. The first floor consists of Great room with gas fireplace, vaulted ceilings and plenty of natural light. Kitchen has upgraded cabinetry and tons of counter space with pantry as well. All the appliances stay! First floor laundry/mudroom along with half bath. Sliding patio doors off the Kitchen lead to the maintenance free composite deck and a huge patio (present owners use as basketball court) The second floor has Owner's suite with walk in closet and private bath. There are 3 additional bedrooms, 2 of which have walk-in closets, plus an additional full bath. The basement is ready to finish if you need additional living space and is plumbed for another bath. The Heated garage, extra large driveway for guests or boat/camperparking and a large storage shed are all pluses. Conveniently located. Call today to see!
-
2022-11-16$265,000 Active
Show marketing remark (944 chars)
This 4 BR colonial with 2.5 baths has it all and is ready for you. From the front covered porch to the inviting wide Foyer. The first floor consists of Great room with gas fireplace, vaulted ceilings and plenty of natural light. Kitchen has upgraded cabinetry and tons of counter space with pantry as well. All the appliances stay! First floor laundry/mudroom along with half bath. Sliding patio doors off the Kitchen lead to the maintenance free composite deck and a huge patio (present owners use as basketball court) The second floor has Owner's suite with walk in closet and private bath. There are 3 additional bedrooms, 2 of which have walk-in closets, plus an additional full bath. The basement is ready to finish if you need additional living space and is plumbed for another bath. The Heated garage, extra large driveway for guests or boat/camperparking and a large storage shed are all pluses. Conveniently located. Call today to see!
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1992-10-28soldstatus $12,500
-
1992-08-18$19,875
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,494 · $291/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,040 · $337/mo
- Expected delta
- +$546/yr (+$46/mo · 15.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $100,344
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,469
- − Property taxes
- −$3,494
- − Insurance
- −$1,470
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,028
- − Management
- −$8,028
- − Depreciation
- −$8,553
- Taxable income
- $54,304
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$13,033
- After-tax cash flow
- $42,774/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vermilion Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904682
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,091
- Composite
- 49.61/100
- National rank
- #1981
- State rank
- #316 of 656 in OH
Livability — Vermilion
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #96
- US rank
- #1481
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vermilion, OH
- County
- Erie · 78,232 people
- Metro
- Sandusky, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,873
- Household income
- $72,045
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5.8
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 73,204 people
- By 2030
- 71,341 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 66,771 · -8.8%
- By 2050
- 62,512 · -14.6%
- By 2075
- 56,154 · -23.3%
- By 2100
- 49,045 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.1) · D 42.5% · R 56.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.0pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: -14.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.6 2016: R+9.8 2012: D+11.3 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.76%
- Current HPI
- 206.8223
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+1379.2% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $294,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $299,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $312,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $324,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $334,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-09-29 Listed $339,000 MLSNOW
- 2023-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
- 2023-01-27 Sold (MLS) $245,000 MLSNOW
- 2023-01-27 Sold (MLS) $245,000 FAOR
- 2022-12-14 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2022-12-12 Delisted — FAOR
- 2022-11-16 Listed $265,000 MLSNOW
- 2022-11-16 Listed $265,000 FAOR
- 1992-10-28 Sold (MLS) $12,500 MLSNOW
- 1992-08-18 Listed $19,875 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,494 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…