8637 Durant Nixon Rd · Linden, NC 28356

$199,000

5 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · Manufactured public records · 24 Days on market

Built 1996 4.20 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +22.5/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +7.2/10.0
• 1% rule +4.9/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +3.1/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

TWO HOMES WITH 4 ACRES! PERFECT for INVESTORS & MULTI-GENERATIONAL FAMILIES. Convenient to Goodyear and I-295. PROPERTY 1---8637 Durant Nixon (1996, 24' x 44'). 3BR 2BA plus 2 added on "storage rooms" that were previously used by owner as bedrooms but are not included in sq ft. Septic pumped in 2021. New roof, HVAC, stove & vent hood, dishwasher. Newer water heater, 2019. PROPERTY 2---8633 Durant Nixon (2017 Fleetwood Clayton single wide, 16' x 76'). 3BR 2BA. Septic pumped in 2019. Each home is on separate electric and septic. CASH ONLY (lenders will not finance 2 homes on one parcel).

Key facts

• Huge garden tub
• Screened porch
• Two homes

Tags

• TWO HOMES
• HUGE GARDEN TUB
• SCREENED PORCH
• NEW ROOF

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $199k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (1.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $196k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#344 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
• Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Long Hill Elementary (math 52% / reading 53%, grade C-, #349 of 1,410 statewide, top 25%, 442 students, 99% FRL); Pine Forest Middle (math 38% / reading 49%, grade D, #182 of 475 statewide, top 40%, 738 students, 56% FRL); Pine Forest High (math 73% / reading 51%, grade B-, #184 of 535 statewide, top 37%, 1,572 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 55% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 53% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cumberland County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $155k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $196,015 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.99% ✗
• Cap rate: 8.30%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.18%
• DSCR: 1.32
• GRM: 8.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 29.5%
• Equity multiple: 3.33×
• Total profit: $129,553
• Equity at exit: $179,275

10-year hold

• IRR: 25.6%
• Equity multiple: 7.54×
• Total profit: $364,683
• Equity at exit: $386,613

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State North Carolina: 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 28356

• Home prices YoY: 16.1%
• Active inventory: 59
• Price-to-rent: 8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,969 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,044
• Tax from tax record: −$96 /mo · $1,147/yr
• Insurance: −$83
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$413
• Net cashflow: $333

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,547

Max offer price $199,000

Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $446	-5% $390	+0% $333	+5% $277	+10% $221
Rent	-10% $178	-5% $256	+0% $333	+5% $411	+10% $489
Rate	-1.0pp $434	-0.5pp $384	base $333	+0.5pp $282	+1.0pp $229

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $49,750
• Closing costs: $5,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-04-20
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-27
   listed $199,000 Active
3. 2022-09-15
   soldstatus $155,000 Closed 610-char remark

   Show marketing remark (621 chars)

   TWO HOMES WITH 4 ACRES! PERFECT for INVESTORS & MULTI-GENERATIONAL FAMILIES. Convenient to Goodyear and I-295. PROPERTY 1---8637 Durant Nixon (1996, 24' x 44'). 3BR 2BA plus 2 added on "storage rooms" that were previously used by owner as bedrooms but are not included in sq ft. Septic pumped in 2021. New roof, HVAC, stove & vent hood, dishwasher. Newer water heater, 2019. PROPERTY 2---8633 Durant Nixon (2017 Fleetwood Clayton single wide, 16' x 76'). 3BR 2BA. Septic pumped in 2019. Each home is on separate electric and septic. CASH ONLY (lenders will not finance 2 homes on one parcel).

4. 2022-09-15
   soldstatus $155,000 621-char remark

   Show marketing remark (621 chars)

   TWO HOMES WITH 4 ACRES! PERFECT for INVESTORS & MULTI-GENERATIONAL FAMILIES. Convenient to Goodyear and I-295. PROPERTY 1---8637 Durant Nixon (1996, 24' x 44'). 3BR 2BA plus 2 added on "storage rooms" that were previously used by owner as bedrooms but are not included in sq ft. Septic pumped in 2021. New roof, HVAC, stove & vent hood, dishwasher. Newer water heater, 2019. PROPERTY 2---8633 Durant Nixon (2017 Fleetwood Clayton single wide, 16' x 76'). 3BR 2BA. Septic pumped in 2019. Each home is on separate electric and septic. CASH ONLY (lenders will not finance 2 homes on one parcel).

5. 2022-09-15
   soldstatus $155,000

   Show marketing remark (621 chars)

   TWO HOMES WITH 4 ACRES! PERFECT for INVESTORS & MULTI-GENERATIONAL FAMILIES. Convenient to Goodyear and I-295. PROPERTY 1---8637 Durant Nixon (1996, 24' x 44'). 3BR 2BA plus 2 added on "storage rooms" that were previously used by owner as bedrooms but are not included in sq ft. Septic pumped in 2021. New roof, HVAC, stove & vent hood, dishwasher. Newer water heater, 2019. PROPERTY 2---8633 Durant Nixon (2017 Fleetwood Clayton single wide, 16' x 76'). 3BR 2BA. Septic pumped in 2019. Each home is on separate electric and septic. CASH ONLY (lenders will not finance 2 homes on one parcel).

6. 2022-07-21
   status Pending 610-char remark

   Show marketing remark (610 chars)

   TWO HOMES WITH 4 ACRES! PERFECT for INVESTORS & MULTI-GENERATIONAL FAMILIES. Convenient to Goodyear and I-295. PROPERTY 1---8637 Durant Nixon (1996, 24' x 44'). 3BR 2BA plus 2 added on "storage rooms" that were previously used by owner as bedrooms but are not included in sq ft. Septic pumped in 2021. New roof, HVAC, stove & vent hood, dishwasher. Newer water heater, 2019. PROPERTY 2---8633 Durant Nixon (2017 Fleetwood Clayton single wide, 16' x 76'). 3BR 2BA. Septic pumped in 2019. Each home is on separate electric and septic. CASH ONLY (lenders will not finance 2 homes on one parcel).

7. 2022-06-24
   price $155,000 610-char remark

   Show marketing remark (610 chars)

   TWO HOMES WITH 4 ACRES! PERFECT for INVESTORS & MULTI-GENERATIONAL FAMILIES. Convenient to Goodyear and I-295. PROPERTY 1---8637 Durant Nixon (1996, 24' x 44'). 3BR 2BA plus 2 added on "storage rooms" that were previously used by owner as bedrooms but are not included in sq ft. Septic pumped in 2021. New roof, HVAC, stove & vent hood, dishwasher. Newer water heater, 2019. PROPERTY 2---8633 Durant Nixon (2017 Fleetwood Clayton single wide, 16' x 76'). 3BR 2BA. Septic pumped in 2019. Each home is on separate electric and septic. CASH ONLY (lenders will not finance 2 homes on one parcel).

8. 2022-06-24
   status Active 610-char remark

   Show marketing remark (610 chars)

   TWO HOMES WITH 4 ACRES! PERFECT for INVESTORS & MULTI-GENERATIONAL FAMILIES. Convenient to Goodyear and I-295. PROPERTY 1---8637 Durant Nixon (1996, 24' x 44'). 3BR 2BA plus 2 added on "storage rooms" that were previously used by owner as bedrooms but are not included in sq ft. Septic pumped in 2021. New roof, HVAC, stove & vent hood, dishwasher. Newer water heater, 2019. PROPERTY 2---8633 Durant Nixon (2017 Fleetwood Clayton single wide, 16' x 76'). 3BR 2BA. Septic pumped in 2019. Each home is on separate electric and septic. CASH ONLY (lenders will not finance 2 homes on one parcel).

9. 2022-05-14
   historical 610-char remark

   Show marketing remark (610 chars)

   TWO HOMES WITH 4 ACRES! PERFECT for INVESTORS & MULTI-GENERATIONAL FAMILIES. Convenient to Goodyear and I-295. PROPERTY 1---8637 Durant Nixon (1996, 24' x 44'). 3BR 2BA plus 2 added on "storage rooms" that were previously used by owner as bedrooms but are not included in sq ft. Septic pumped in 2021. New roof, HVAC, stove & vent hood, dishwasher. Newer water heater, 2019. PROPERTY 2---8633 Durant Nixon (2017 Fleetwood Clayton single wide, 16' x 76'). 3BR 2BA. Septic pumped in 2019. Each home is on separate electric and septic. CASH ONLY (lenders will not finance 2 homes on one parcel).

10. 2022-05-07
    listed $165,000 610-char remark

    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    TWO HOMES WITH 4 ACRES! PERFECT for INVESTORS & MULTI-GENERATIONAL FAMILIES. Convenient to Goodyear and I-295. PROPERTY 1---8637 Durant Nixon (1996, 24' x 44'). 3BR 2BA plus 2 added on "storage rooms" that were previously used by owner as bedrooms but are not included in sq ft. Septic pumped in 2021. New roof, HVAC, stove & vent hood, dishwasher. Newer water heater, 2019. PROPERTY 2---8633 Durant Nixon (2017 Fleetwood Clayton single wide, 16' x 76'). 3BR 2BA. Septic pumped in 2019. Each home is on separate electric and septic. CASH ONLY (lenders will not finance 2 homes on one parcel).

11. 2022-05-07
    listed $155,000 621-char remark

    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    TWO HOMES WITH 4 ACRES! PERFECT for INVESTORS & MULTI-GENERATIONAL FAMILIES. Convenient to Goodyear and I-295. PROPERTY 1---8637 Durant Nixon (1996, 24' x 44'). 3BR 2BA plus 2 added on "storage rooms" that were previously used by owner as bedrooms but are not included in sq ft. Septic pumped in 2021. New roof, HVAC, stove & vent hood, dishwasher. Newer water heater, 2019. PROPERTY 2---8633 Durant Nixon (2017 Fleetwood Clayton single wide, 16' x 76'). 3BR 2BA. Septic pumped in 2019. Each home is on separate electric and septic. CASH ONLY (lenders will not finance 2 homes on one parcel).

12. 1990-02-05
    soldstatus $8,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,147 · $96/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,632 · $136/mo
• Expected delta: +$485/yr (+$40/mo · 42.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 74% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,628
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,147
• − Property taxes: −$1,147
• − Insurance: −$995
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,890
• − Management: −$1,890
• − Depreciation: −$5,789
• Taxable income: $769
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$185
• After-tax cash flow: $3,817/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Cumberland County Schools
• NCES district ID: 3700011
• Math proficiency: 32% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $44,168
• Composite: 31.0/100
• National rank: #6096
• State rank: #126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Linden

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #344
• US rank: #13788

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 5,747

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 330,855 people
• By 2030: 333,523 · +0.8%
• By 2040: 335,583 · +1.4%
• By 2050: 335,325 · +1.4%
• By 2075: 342,853 · +3.6%
• By 2100: 340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (64%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 64% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Native American 1% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

• 2024 margin: D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 40.02%
• Current HPI: 289.2973
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	2	$213B
▸Retail	2	$95B
▸Industrial Conglomerate	1	$38B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$35B
▸Utilities	1	$30B
▸Industrial Machinery	1	$19B

Price history

+2241.2% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-20 Pending — LPRMLS
• 2026-03-27 Listed $199,000 LPRMLS
• 2022-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
• 2022-09-15 Sold (MLS) $155,000 LPRMLS
• 2022-09-15 Sold (MLS) $155,000 TMLS
• 2022-07-21 Pending — TMLS
• 2022-06-24 Price Changed $155,000 TMLS
• 2022-06-24 Relisted — TMLS
• 2022-05-14 Listing Removed — TMLS
• 2022-05-07 Listed $155,000 LPRMLS
• 2022-05-07 Listed $165,000 TMLS
• 1990-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $8,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,147 · -10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.